Not Born Yesterday

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Not Born Yesterday Page 46

by Hugo Mercier


  Galton, Francis, 71

  Haig, David, 21

  Gardner, Howard, 68

  Handbook of the Law of Evidence

  gazelles. See Thomson’s gazelles

  (McCormick), 182

  Gelman, Andrew, 140, 246

  Hatfield, Elaine, 98

  Gendelman, Max, 86

  Henrich, Joe: on cultural learning and

  gene- culture coevolution, 13; Boyd and

  success, 11; on prestige bias, 12; on

  Richerson on, 10

  success bias, 11–12

  Gentzkow, Matthew, 212–13

  Hepach, Robert, 104

  German soldiers studies, and Nazi

  Heraclitus: on credulity, 8–9; on crowd

  propaganda, 130–31

  psy chol ogy, 34

  Germinal (Zola), 262–63

  hidden dependencies: open vigilance

  Gervais, Wil , 37–38

  mechanisms and, 174; religious

  Gilbert, Daniel: credulity experiments

  beliefs and, 176; sourcing and, 172–75

  on, 36–37, 43–44; on gullibility, 8

  historical evidence, 56–57

  Gil- White, Francisco: on prestige bias,

  History of the Peloponnesian War

  12; on success bias, 11–12

  (Thucydides), 167

  Gneezy, Uri, 254

  Hitler, Adolf, 34; as demagogue, 116–21;

  God: Barrett on canonical features of,

  as propagandist, 128; Selb and

  223; omniscience of, 217, 223, 230,

  Munzert on, 116

  302n34; religious concept of, 220

  Hitler Myth, The (Kershaw), 116

  Gödel, Kurt, 56

  Ho Chi Minh, 191

  ind e x 357

  humoral theory of disease, 202–4,

  intel igence, 68, 195

  214–15; Galen support of, 199–200

  interlocutors: opinion of, 283n31;

  Hussein, Saddam, 48–49, 173, 190

  sourcing and, 166, 170–71

  interrogators, confessions and, 184,

  Iannaccone, Laurence, 124

  295n14

  Icke, David, 172

  intuition, xvii, 277n22; beliefs and,

  ideological polarization, 212–13

  58–62, 152; children display of,

  illusion of una nim ity, 112

  68–69; counterintuitiveness and

  imitation, reliable expertise and, 66–67

  thinking in, 222–23; soundness of, 54

  immigration, Trump on, 268

  intuitive beliefs, 152, 261; misconcep-

  incentives, 282n26; alignment of, 84–85,

  tions of, 260; religious beliefs and, 178

  86, 88, 92, 282n24, 283n29; children intuitive physics, 223–24, 224

  and, 86–87; Gendelman and

  Iraq War: backfire effect and, 48–49;

  Kirschner example, 86; reputation

  Bush justification for, 172–74

  monitoring, 88; Reyes- Jaquez and

  Echols experiment on, 86–87;

  Japan: confessions in, 185; kamikaze,

  Sniezek study on, 85–86; social

  conformity bias of, 12

  alignment of, 89; trust and, 84–87

  Johnson, Martin, 137

  inclusive fitness, 19, 20

  Jones, Alex: conspiracy theories of, 4,

  individuals: cultural learning from

  228; Welch influenced by, 4

  successful, 11; signals for affiliation of,

  Jordan, Michael, 142

  241; stock in majority opinion, 70–71

  justifications, 237; for alternative

  inefficiency, of campaigners, 139–40

  treatments, 206–7, 214; for beliefs,

  inferences, 59, 170

  214; competition and, 207; for death

  influence: cascade of, 285n56; difficulty

  penalty, 210; fake news and, 206–8;

  of, xvi; power of, 15

  of Iraq War, by Bush, 172–74; for

  information: Boyer and Parren on,

  negative judgments, 206; polariza-

  226–27; gains, trust and, 252–54; re-

  tion and, 208–9; reputation credit

  jection, 93; relevance of, 159–60; social

  and, 227–29

  cost of inaccurate, 246; social rel-

  evance of, 159–60; spread of, 160, 161

  Kahneman, Daniel, 35–36, 37

  informational access: experiments on,

  Kalla, Joshua, 138, 140

  64, 65; eyewitness advantage and,

  Kaluli language, evidentials of, 178–79

  64; Robinson on, 64

  Kassin, Saul, 184

  informational environment, open

  Kay, Jonathan, 153

  vigilance mechanisms and, xvii

  Kershaw, Ian, 116, 118; on Nazi

  InfoWars website, 228

  propaganda, 129–30, 131, 259

  Innocent III (pope), Children’s

  Kierkegaard, Søren, 70

  Crusade influenced by, 3

  Kim, Eunji, 205

  insight prob lems, 51

  Kim, Jin Woo, 205

  358 inde x

  Kim, Young Oon, 123

  Lie to Me tele vi sion show, 79

  Kim Jong-il, xiv, xviii, 190–91, 195; logical prob lems, arguments and, 51–52

  extreme flattery and, 193, 296n40

  Long, Huey, 116

  Kim Jong-un, 190, 296n40

  Luther, Martin, 58

  kin se lection, alarm calls and, 22

  lying, trust and, 81–82

  King, Gary, 140, 246

  Lysenko, Trofim, 266

  Kirschner, Karl, 86

  Kishinev accusations, rumors on, 200,

  Madden, Joah, 27

  204, 215

  majority opinion, xiv; assembly

  Klapper, Joseph, 136

  example, 70–71, 72, 73; of baboons,

  knowledge, best: competence and,

  71–72; Dockendorff, Schwartzberg,

  76–77; eyewitness advantage, 64–65;

  Mercier on, 71; evolutionarily valid

  majority pull and, 74–76; past

  cues and, 73, 74; Galton on

  per for mance, 67–69; rationality,

  aggregation and, 71; individuals

  70–74; reliable expertise, 65–67

  stock in, 70–71; Kierkegaard on, 70;

  Koji, Aoki, 110

  Morgan experiment on, 72–73;

  Korean War, POWs brainwashing in,

  Munroe xkcd “Bridge” comic strip

  32–33, 42–43

  on, 71, 72; re sis tance to, 74–76;

  Twain on, 70

  Lacan, Jacques, 218, 238, 239; charismatic maladaptive cultural practices, xiv, 13

  authority of, 225; guru effect and,

  mandatory cognitive mechanisms, 100,

  234–36; obscurity of, 234–36;

  101–2, 105

  teachings of, 219

  Mao Zedong, 266–67

  Laland, Kevin, 11

  Maps of Meaning (Peterson), 238

  language: and evidentials, 168–69; and

  Márquez, Xavier, 133; on flattery

  Kaluli evidentials, 178–79; Wanka

  inflation, 195

  Quechua, on sourcing, 168–69

  Marx, Karl, 13, 124

  Lanzetta, John, 97, 105

  mass conversions, from preachers, 122

  Latour, Bruno, 219

  mass persuasion, xviii, 14, 259; Catholic

  leaders, charismatic, xiv, 225–26

  Church and, 144; patterns of, 143;

  learning: cultural, 11; open vigilance

  plausibility checking and, 113–14;

  mechanisms for, 258–59; transfer

  re sis tance and, 144

  effects in, 280n11

  mass psychogen
ic illness, 106–8

  Le Bon, Gustave, 34, 96

  McCain, John, 205

  Le Roy Ladurie, Emmanuel, 125

  McCarthy, Jenny, 60

  Levine, Tim, 82

  McCarthyism, 32

  Lévi- Strauss, Claude, 225, 236

  McCloskey, Michael, 223

  liars, 282n17; detection of, 78; Levine

  McCormick, Charles, 182

  on, 82; nonverbal cues of, 78–79;

  media: campaigners influence and,

  Reid on, 82

  136–37, 140; Gelman and King on

  ind e x 359

  politics influenced by, 246; mass,

  negligence, 83–84

  160. See also fake news; social media

  New Religious Movements, 121, 122;

  Mein Kampf (Hitler), 128

  Anthony on, 123–24

  membership costs, in groups, 191–92

  9/11 terrorist attacks: rational crowds

  Meno (Plato), 53

  and, 111–12; reflective beliefs on, 260;

  Mercier, Hugo, 71, 73

  rumors of, 165

  microexpressions, trust and: Ekman

  Nongqawuse, Xhosa influenced by,

  on, 79–80; Porter, and ten Brinke

  2–4, 118

  on, 80–81

  nonverbal cues: Freud on, 78; for liars,

  Milgram, Stanley, 6–8, 75, 232–33

  78–79

  millenarian movements: Christian,

  Norenzayan, Ara, 37–38

  120–21; prophets and, 119–20; Weber

  Nyhan, Brendan, 48–49, 205

  on, 120

  Miller, Arthur, 185

  Obama, Barack, 146, 205–6

  minimal plausibility, rumors and,

  omniscient God, religious beliefs of,

  160–62

  217, 223, 230, 302n34

  misperception, of partisanship and

  omnivorous diets evolution analogy,

  polarization, 244

  39–42

  Mitnick, Kevin, 249–50

  open vigilance mechanisms, xv,

  Miton, Helena, 74

  292n20; arms race analogy for, 31–32,

  Moonies, 121, 123; Barker on, 122

  38, 41, 46; burning bridges and,

  moral contagion, 96

  191–98; children and, 248; confes-

  Moreau, Sabine, 63, 64

  sions and, 182–90, 295n23; cues for,

  Morgan, Thomas, 72–73

  18–19, 73–74, 78–79, 161, 240–41,

  Morin, Edgard, 167

  247–50, 255; current informational

  Mormonism, 121, 122

  environment and, xvii; hidden

  Moscovici, Serge, 5–6

  dependencies and, 174; information

  movements: Cattle- Kil ing, 118–19;

  rejection and, 93; for learning,

  millenarian, 119–21; New Religious

  258–59; mass persuasion and,

  Movements, 121–24; in public

  xviii, 14, 113–14, 133, 143–44, 259;

  opinion, 268; Truth, 153

  motivations for, xviii; open-

  MSNBC, liberal Demo crats and,

  mindedness and, 30–46, 54, 58, 63;

  242–43

  plausibility checking in, 47–48,

  Munroe, Randall, 71

  50–55, 113–14, 221; psychological

  Munzert, Simon, 116

  experiments on, 144–45; reasoning

  Mussolini, Benito, 34

  and, 52–54, 58, 98–101; sourcing and,

  166–75, 238n38

  natu ral se lection, 28; evolution by, 19

  open- mindedness, 30–31, 63; cognitive

  Nazi propaganda, 143–44; Kershaw on

  sophistication and, 38–42; reasoning

  effectiveness of, 129–30, 131, 259

  and, 54, 58

  360 inde x

  opinion: advertisers and preconceived,

  208–11; Gentzkow and Shapiro on

  141; beliefs and contrary, 48–50;

  ideological, 212–13; justifications and,

  convergence of, 174; demagogues’

  208–9; misperception of, 244; po liti-

  reliance of existing, 114–18; of

  cal, 210, 213; social media and, 210–11

  interlocutors, 283n31. See also

  polarization, U.S., 214; Fiorina on, 211;

  majority opinion; public opinion

  impression of increased, 212; in

  Origgi, Gloria, 179

  politics, 211; social media users and,

  Osborne, Sarah, 185–86

  212–13, 244

  Osnos, Evan, 132

  politics: advertisers and campaigns in,

  overconfidence: reputation and, 91–93;

  141; crowd psy chol ogy and, 34; fake

  trust and, 90–92, 283n37

  news in, 207–8; Gelman and King

  on media influence on, 246;

  panic, in crowds, 111–12

  polarization in, 210, 213; public

  pareidolia, 157

  opinion and, 267–68; trust and, 94;

  Parren, Nora, 226–27

  U.S. polarization in, 211

  partisanship: of cable news networks,

  Porter, Ethan, 49

  242; misperception of, 244

  Porter, Stephen, 80–81

  Passions within Reason (Frank), 99

  Postman, Leo, 147

  past per for mance: best knowledge and,

  Poulin- Dubois, Diane, 103–4

  67–69; evaluation of, 66; reliable

  Pound, John, 149

  expertise and, 65–66; reputation

  Powel , Colin, 173

  credit and, 226

  preachers: Catholic Church and,

  pathogens: Canetti on, 97; contagion

  124–25, 127; crusades and, 2, 3, 126;

  analogy and, 97, 106–7

  Eusebius on, 122; mass conversions

  Peires, Jeff, 118

  and, 122; Mormonism and, 121, 122;

  Peloponnesian War, 1

  New Religious Movements, 121, 122,

  per for mance: examples of, 69;

  123–24

  observations of, 68; from observed

  predator- deterrent signals, 23–24

  to competence, 68; past, 65–69, 226

  preexisting beliefs, 47–48

  persuasion: false confessions and, 182.

  pregnancy, 17, 20, 21, 28

  See also mass persuasion

  prestige bias, 13; celebrity suicide and, 12;

  Peterson, Jordan, 238

  Henrich and Gil- White on, 12

  Planck, Max, 56

  prisoners of war (POWs), 32–33, 42–43

  Plato, on democracy, 3

  propagandists, 264–65; China Cultural

  plausibility checking, 47–48, 221;

  Revolution, 132–34, 289n37; failures

  argumentation beyond, 50–55;

  of, 133; Goebbels, 128, 129; Hitler as,

  insight prob lems and, 51; mass

  128; Soviet, 131–32; threats and, 134

  persuasion and, 113–14

  prophets, 117, 121; millenarian

  polarization: on death penalty, 210; in

  movements of, 119–20; Xhosa and

  discussion groups, 209; fake news and,

  Nongqawuse as, 2–4, 118–19

  ind e x 361

  Psy chol ogy of Rumor, The (Allport and

  religious concepts: counterintuitive-

  Postman), 147

  ness and, 220, 222–23; of God, 220

  public opinion: movements in, 268;

  religious people, trust in, 247

  politics and, 267–68; thermostatic

  #Republic: Divided Democracy in the Age

  model of, 268

  of Social Media (Sunstein), 210

  punishment, fo
r unreliable messages, 88

  Republicans, Fox News Channel and

  Putin, Vladimir, 265, 305n18; Trump

  conservative, 242–43, 245–46

  and, 267

  reputation: incentives and monitoring

  of, 88; overconfidence and, 91–93;

  Rapson, Richard, 98

  trust and, 87–90

  rational crowds: Koji on, 110; Bataclan

  reputation credit, 230, 237; justifica-

  attacks and, 111–12; England peasant

  tions and, 227–29; past per for mance

  revolt and, 109–10; in French Revo-

  and, 226; threats in, 226–27, 228;

  lution, 108–9; illusion of una nim ity

  valuable information and, 226

  and, 112; 9/11 terrorist attacks and,

  Reyes- Jaquez, Bolivar, 86–87

  111–12; panic and, 111–12; Red Guards Rice, Condoleezza, 173

  spontaneous mobs, 110; Shays’

  Richerson, Peter, 10, 275n32; on

  Rebel ion, 110; soldiers and, 112

  celebrity advertising, 142; on

  reasoning: in arguments, 52–53; open-

  cultural learning and success, 11

  mindedness, 54, 58; vigilance and, 54

  rituals, 10

  reflective beliefs, 152; burning bridges

  Roberts, Margaret, 133

  strategy and, 196; counterintuitive-

  Robinson, Elizabeth, 64

  ness and, 261; of Duna, 178; on 9/11

  Romans, Humbert de, 125–27

  terrorist attacks, 260; Origgi on, 179;

  Rothbard, Murray, 194

  religious beliefs and, 178; in

  Rudé, George, 108–9

  witchcraft, 189–90

  rumeur d’Orléans, 146, 148, 153–55,

  Reid, Thomas, 82

  161–64, 200; Morin on, 167; sources

  Reifler, Jason, 48–49

  and, 166, 171

  reliable expertise: best knowledge and,

  rumors: acting on, 165; anxiety and,

  65–67; imitation and, 66–67; past

  147–48; of crisis, 147–48, 158–59; per for mance and, 65–66; preschoolers

  about Dao and United Airlines, 146,

  on, 76

  165, 292n2; on Darjeeling landslide,

  religious beliefs, 288n68, 288n75;

  147; escape from real ity and, 162–64;

  Baumard on, 229; culture and,

  exaggerated threats and, 261–62; on

  294n21; of Duna, 176–77; hidden

  Kishinev accusations, 200, 204, 215;

  dependencies and, 176; of omni-

  metarumors and, 295n40; minimal

  scient God, 217, 223, 230, 302n34;

  plausibility and, 160–62; of 9/11

  reflective instead of intuitive, 178;

  terrorist attacks, 165; about Obama,

  social transmission of, 175, 177;

  146, 205–6; rabies outbreak, 150–51; variety of, 217; in world religions, 230

  rewarding relays of, 159–60; of

  362 inde x

  rumors (cont.)

  Signer, Michael, 114

  rumeur d’Orléans, 146, 148, 153–55,

  Sinha, Durganand, 147

  161–64, 166–67, 171, 200; sourcing Sniezek, Janet, 85–86

 

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