The Structure of Evolutionary Theory

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The Structure of Evolutionary Theory Page 28

by Stephen Jay Gould


  I proceed in this way for a principled reason, and not merely as a convenience. All major evolutionary theories before Darwin, and nearly all important versions that followed his enunciation of natural selection as well, retained fealty to an ancient Western tradition, dating to Plato and other clas­sical authors, by presenting a fundamentally “internalist” account, based upon intrinsic and predictable patterns set by the nature of living systems, for development or “unfolding” through time. (Ironically, such internalist theo­ries follow the literal meaning of “evolution” (unfolding) far better than the Darwinian system that [Page 161] eventually absorbed the term. Darwin understood this etymological point perfectly well, and he initially declined to use the word “evolution” — preferring “descent with modification” — probably because he recognized the difference between the literal meaning of “evolution” and his own concept of life's history and change by natural selection — see Gould, 2000a.)

  Darwin's theory, in strong and revolutionary contrast, presents a first “externalist” account of evolution, in which contingent change (the summation of unpredictable local adaptations rather than a deterministic unfolding of in­herent potential under internal, biological principles) proceeds by an interac­tion between organic raw material (undirected variation) and environmental guidance (natural selection). Darwin overturned all previous traditions by thus granting the external environment a causal and controlling role in the di­rection of evolutionary change (with “environment” construed as the ensem­ble of biotic and abiotic factors of course, but still external to the organism, however intrinsically locked to, and even largely defined by, the presence of the organism itself). Thus, and finally, in considering the validity of extrapo­lation to complete the roster of essential Darwinian claims, the role of the geological stage becomes an appropriate focus as a surrogate for more overtly biological discussion.

  If the uniqueness of Darwinism, and its revolutionary character as well, inheres largely in the formulation of natural selection as a theory of interaction between biological insides and environmental outsides — and not as a theory of evolutio, or intrinsic unfolding — then “outsides” must receive explicit dis­cussion as well, a need best fulfilled within this treatment of extrapolation. Under internalist theories of evolution, environment, at most, holds power to derail the process by not behaving properly — drying up, as on Mars, or freez­ing over, as nearly occurred on Earth more than once during our planet's geo­logical history. Under Darwinian functionalism, however, environment be­comes an active partner in both the modes and directions of evolutionary change.

  As the Utopian tradition recognizes, we can often devise lovely and optimal systems in abstract principle, but then be utterly unable to apply them in practice because an imperfect world precludes their operation. The central logic of Darwinism faces an issue of this kind. The two essential biological postulates of natural selection — its operation at the organismal level, and its creativity in crafting adaptations — build a sufficient theoretical apparatus to fuel the system. The play of evolution can run with such a minimal cast, but we do not know whether the drama can actually unfold on our planet until we also examine and specify the character of the theater — the geological and environmental stage for the play of natural selection. The geological stage therefore becomes a major actor in the drama set on its own premises.

  Moreover, and reinforcing my argument that Darwin's strength lies in his brave specificity, Darwin places a great burden on geology and environment by devising such stringent conditions for the nature of this external setting. Again, we encounter the Goldilocks problem — environment cannot impose too much or provide too little, but must be “just right” in the middle.

  Environment, as an active Darwinian agent, cannot under perform. In particular, [Page 162] an absence of environmental change would probably bring evolution to an eventual halt, as selective pressures for adaptive alteration diminished (see Stenseth and Maynard Smith, 1984). Purely biotic interaction might drive evolution for some time following a cessation of environmental change, but probably not indefinitely.

  The possibility of too little change has rarely been viewed as a threat to Darwinism, largely because the geological record seems so clearly to empha­size potential dangers in the other direction (though see pp. 492–502 on Lord Kelvin). The specter of “too much” change, on the other hand, has haunted Darwinism from the start. In particular, if the theory of geological catastrophism were generally true, or even just sufficiently important in relative frequency, then Darwinism would be compromised as the primary agent of pattern in the history of life.

  By catastrophism, I mean to designate the classical theory of global parox­ysm as a primary agent of geological change — in particular, the idea that mass extinctions thus engendered might lie largely outside the domain of tradi­tional Darwinism. Of course, mass extinctions cannot be construed as “undarwinian” per se. If environment changes so rapidly that organisms cannot adapt fast enough by natural selection, then many species will die. But, in a conceptual world of relative frequency, where Darwinism must not only op­erate, but also dominate as the creator of change, such formative power for mass extinction constitutes a serious challenge. If we survey the entire history of life, and find that catastrophic mass extinction, with non-Darwinian fortu­ity in causes of change (on either the “random” or the “different rules” model — see Chapter 12, and Gould, 1985a, 1993c), establishes more features of overall pattern than the ordinary interplay of taxa during normal times (between such episodes of coordinated death) can build and maintain, then Darwin's view of life lacks the generality once accorded. In particular, the key uniformitarian argument will then fail. The adaptive struggles of immediate moments will not extrapolate to explain the patterns of life's history. More­over, if these undarwinian components of fortuity in extinction, and success for reasons unrelated to the original adaptive basis of traits, also maintain strong influence at lesser scales of smaller mass extinctions (Raup and Sepkoski, 1984), and even, in a fractal manner, for some ordinary extinctions in normal times (Raup, 1991), then the challenge may become truly pervasive.

  These characterizations of Darwinian requirements cannot be dismissed or downgraded as conjectures or reconstructions, only inferentially based on deductions from premises stated by Darwin for different reasons. Darwin de­voted an entire chapter of the Origin, number 10 “on the geological succes­sion of organic beings,” to an exploration of the geological stage and its requirements for natural selection. He argues that biotic competition, gradualistically expressed through time as coordinated waxing and waning of in­teracting clades, marks the overall pattern of life — and that the apparent fos­sil evidence for more rapid change, set by physical environments and leading to mass extinctions, must generally be read as artifacts of an imperfect record (see Chapter 12 for detailed exegesis of Darwin's arguments on this subject). [Page 163] This issue exposes another essential Darwinian theme not yet discussed (but receiving full treatment in Chapter 6) — the nature of competition; the preva­lence of biotic over abiotic effects; the metaphor of the wedge; and the funda­mental role of Darwinian ecology as a validator of progress (in the absence of any available defense from the bare-bones mechanism of natural selection it­self). Thus, the argument for uniformitarian change in geology undergirds a central conviction of the Darwinian corpus.

  We cannot overestimate the depth of Darwin's debt to his intellectual hero, Charles Lyell. The uniformitarianism of his mentor not only provided, by transfer into biology, a theory of evolutionary change. The doctrine of unifor­mity also supplied, on its original geological turf, a world that could grant enough slow and continuous environmental change to fuel natural selec­tion — but not so much, or so quickly, that selection would be overcome, and the rein of pattern seized by environment in its own right. In natural selec­tion, environment proposes and organisms dispose; this subtle balance of in­side and outside must be maintained. But in a world of
too much environ­mental change, the external component does not only propose, but can also dispose of organisms and species without much backtalk. Darwinism does not run well on such a one-way street.

  Judgments of Importance

  In the difficult genre of comprehensive historical reviews, a few special books stand out as so fair in their judgments and so lucid in their characterizations that they set the conceptual boundaries of disciplines for generations. In mor­phology, E. S. Russell's Form and Function (1916) occupies this role for the brilliance and justice of its characterizations, even though Russell, as an avowed Lamarckian, made no secret about his own preferences (and made the wrong choice by modern standards). In evolutionary biology, similar plaudits may be granted to Vernon L. Kellogg's Darwinism Today (1907). Kellogg, a great educator and entomologist from Stanford, had collaborated with David Starr Jordan on the best textbooks of his generation. He also played an ironic role in the history of evolution by serving a term (while America maintained her early neutrality) as chief agent for Belgian relief, posted to the German General Staff in Berlin during World War I. There, he listened in horror to German leaders perverting Darwinism as a justification for war and conquest — and he exposed these distortions in his fascinating volume, Headquarters Nights (1917). William Jennings Bryan read this book and, understanding the abuse but blaming the victims of misinterpretation rather than the perpetrators, launched his campaign to ban the teaching of evolution as a result (see Gould, 1991b).

  As the Darwinian centennial of 1909 neared, Kellogg decided to write a volume providing a fair hearing for all varieties of Darwinism, and all alter­native views in a decade of maximal agnosticism and diversity in evolution­ary theories. Kellogg's book adopts the same premise as this treatise — that [Page 164] Darwinism embodies a meaningful central logic, or “essence,” and that other proposals about evolutionary mechanisms can be classified with reference to their consonance or dissonance with these basic Darwinian commitments.

  I was particularly pleased to learn that Kellogg's categories, though differ­ently named and parsed, are identical with those recognized here. He divides the plethora of proposals under discussion in his time into those “auxiliary to” and those “alternative to” natural selection. Among auxiliaries that aid, expand, improve, or lie within the spirit of Darwinism, Kellogg highlights two principal themes: studies of Wagner, Jordan, and Gulick on the role of isolation in the formation of species; and hierarchical models of selection as espoused by Roux and Weismann (discussed in detail in Chapter 3). I noted with special gratification that Kellogg recognized hierarchy as an auxiliary, not a confutation, to Darwinism, for this same contention sets a principal theme of this book.

  In his second category of confutations, Kellogg identified “three general theories, or groups of theories, which are offered more as alternative and substitionary theories for natural selection than as auxiliary or supporting theories” (1907, p. 262): Lamarckism (inheritance of acquired characters in the form advocated by late 19th century neo-Lamarckians), orthogenesis, and heterogenesis (Kellogg's designation for saltationism).

  Kellogg's taxonomy works particularly well in evaluating the central principles of Darwinism. His “auxiliaries” aid selection (by addition of other principles that do not challenge or diminish selection, or by expansion of se­lection to other levels); but his “alternatives” confute particular maxims of the minimal commitments for Darwinian logic. The Kelloggian “alterna­tives” all deny the fundamental postulate of creativity for selection by desig­nating other causes as originators of evolutionary novelties, and by relegating selection to a diminished status as a negative force. Each alternative rejects a necessary Darwinian postulate about the nature of variation (see pp. 141–146): Lamarckism and orthogenesis deny the principle of undirected variabil­ity; saltationism refutes the claim that variation must be small in extent.

  I warmly endorse Kellogg's approach. As practicing scientists, we often do not pay enough respect to the logical structure of an argument — to its rigors and its entailments. We tend to assume that conclusions flow unambiguously from data, and that if we observe nature closely enough, and experiment with sufficient care and cleverness, the right ideas will somehow coalesce or flow into place by themselves. But scholars should know, from the bones and guts of their practice, that all great theories originate by intense and explicit men­tal struggle as well. We should not castigate such efforts as “speculation” or “armchair theorizing” — for mental struggle deserves this designation only when the thinker opposes or disparages our shared conviction that, ulti­mately, empirical work or testing must accompany and validate such exer­cises in thought (and then all scientists would agree to let the calumny fall). Great theories emerge by titration of this basically lonely mental struggle with the more public, empirical acts of fieldwork and bench work.

  One need look no further than Charles Darwin for proper inspiration. He [Page 165] rooted his theory in practical testability, and he continually devised and performed clever experiments, despite limited resources (of available equipment and personnel at Down, not of funds; for Darwin was a wealthy man and did not need to spend his time seeking patronage, his generation's equivalent of modern grant swinging). But natural selection did not flow from the external world into a tabula rasa of Darwin's mind. He carried out with himself, as re­corded in his copious notebooks (Barrett et al., 1987), one of the great men­tal struggles of human history — proposing and rejecting numerous theories along his slow and almost painful journey by inches, accompanied by lateral feints and backward plunges, towards the theory of natural selection. That theory, when fully formulated in the 1850's, emerged as an intricately devised amalgam of logically connected parts, each with a necessary function — and not as a simple message from nature. We must treat this theory, as Kellogg does, with respect for its integrity.

  With the coalescence and hardening of the Modern Synthesis (Gould, 1983b), culminating in the Darwinian celebrations of 1959, orthodoxy descended over evolutionary theory, and a generation of unprecedented agreement ensued (often for reasons of complacency or authority). However, the press of new concepts and discoveries has since fractured this shaky con­sensus, and we now face a range of options and alternatives fully as broad as those available in the contentious decade of Kellogg's review. In this renewed context, I recommend Kellogg's procedure as both intellectually admirable and maximally useful — namely, to arrange and evaluate various views and challenges by classification according to their attitudes towards the minimal commitments of Darwinism. I say “admirable” because such an approach pays proper respect to the intellectual power of Darwin's synthesis, and “use­ful” because taxonomy by minimal commitments of an essential logic allows us to rank, assess, and interconnect an otherwise confusing array of proposals and counterproposals. And just as the widespread debate of Kellogg's time led to the Modern Synthesis of the next generation, I believe that the re­newed arguments of our day will pay dividends in the form of a richer and more adequate consensus for our new millennium. Kellogg's characterization of his own era therefore becomes relevant to our current situation:

  The present time is one of unprecedented activity and fertility both in the discovery of facts and in attempts to perceive their significance in rela­tion to the great problems of bionomics. Both destructive criticism of old, and synthesis of new hypotheses and theories, are being so energeti­cally carried forward that the scientific layman and educated reader, if he stand but ever so little outside of the actual working ranks of biology, is likely to lose his orientation as to the trends of evolutionary advance. Precisely at the present moment is this modification of the general point of view and attitude of philosophical biologists unusually important and far-reaching in its relation to certain long-held general conceptions of bi­ology and evolution (1907, p. ii).

  I have therefore followed Kellogg's lead and attempted, in this introductory chapter, to characterize the central logic and minimal commitmen
ts of Darwinism — an essence, if you will, to invoke a good word and concept that [Page 166] has become taboo in our profession. I will then use this characterization as a foundation for classifying various challenges and controversies — just as Kellogg did — according to their stance towards the essential concepts of Darwinism. The most interesting and far-reaching challenges directly engage these essential concepts, either as alternatives to refute them in part, or as auxiliaries to expand and reinterpret them in fundamental ways. This book presents, as its primary thesis, the notion that (i) Darwinism may be viewed as a platform with a tripod of essential support; (ii) each leg of the tripod now faces a serious reforming critique acting more as an auxiliary than an alterna­tive formulation; and (iii) the three critiques hold strong elements in com­mon, and may lead to a fundamentally revised evolutionary theory with a re­tained Darwinian core.

  We must rank challenges by their degree of engagement with the Darwin­ian core; we cannot follow a strategy of mindless “raw empiricism” towards the Origin and simply compile a list of Darwin's mistakes. All great works are bursting with error; how else could true creativity be achieved? Could anyone possibly reformulate a universe of thought and get every detail right the first time? We should not simply count Darwin's errors, but rather assess their im­portance relative to his essential postulates. (Consider, for example, the stan­dard rhetorical, and deeply anti-intellectual, ploy of politically motivated and destructive critics, American creationists in particular. They just list the mis­takes, envelop each in a cloud of verbal mockery, and pretend that the whole system has drowned in this tiny puddle of inconsequential error.)

 

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