Collision 2012: Obama vs. Romney and the Future of Elections in America

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Collision 2012: Obama vs. Romney and the Future of Elections in America Page 55

by Balz, Dan


  in battleground states, 299, 319, 332; see also specific states

  candidates in, 91–92, 106, 120, 130, 159, 181, 187, 199–200; see also specific candidates

  and debates, 131–37, 140–41, 149–52, 154–57, 168, 173, 183–84, 227, 351–52

  and midterm elections (2010), 100–101, 102–5

  Republican Party:

  as apocalypse party, 100–105

  and budget cuts, 43, 61

  and Congress, 38–39, 48–49, 52, 61, 104, 226

  conservative base of, 33, 44, 57, 99, 100–101, 102, 114–16, 168, 174–75, 200, 214, 221, 222, 224, 225, 232, 274, 314, 330, 349–50

  and debt ceiling, 46–48, 60–61

  and demographic shifts, 243–44, 341, 350

  and the economy, 72; see also economy

  and election results, 332–35, 346, 350

  evangelical base in, 110, 224

  and Gang of Seven, 211

  and general election campaign (2012), 84, 208, 222, 225, 226; see also Romney, Mitt

  and George Romney, 29

  identity crisis of, 199–200

  and immigration issue, 228–31, 243, 346

  intraparty differences in, 98, 100, 102, 103, 122, 133, 200, 206, 216, 223, 226

  and McCain-Palin ticket (2008), 62, 111, 112, 129, 264

  media firms of, 89, 247

  and midterm elections (2010), 7, 101, 102, 103, 104, 105, 112, 119, 180

  new rules played under, 49, 93, 100, 176, 180–81, 187, 197, 220

  nomination battle in, see Republican nomination contest

  opposition to Obama, 3, 4, 12, 38, 41, 42–43, 48–50, 52, 56, 61, 62, 64, 66–70, 72, 94, 102, 104–5, 140, 188–89, 199, 226, 234, 244, 257, 261, 277–78, 349

  as out of control, 110

  public dissatisfaction with, 8, 226

  shrinking the government, 43–44, 173, 245

  shutting down the government, 43, 163

  and super PACS, 253, 258, 259, 261, 279, 298, 322, 351

  and Tea Party, 7, 35, 47–48, 62, 67, 94, 100, 101–5, 112, 127, 180, 199–200

  and values, 71, 72, 148, 346, 350

  and women’s issues, 297–98

  Restore Our Future (ROF), 171, 177, 186, 203, 261

  Rhoades, Matt, 175, 285

  and debates, 197, 308, 309, 341

  on election day, 21, 337, 345

  and health care, 95

  mapping the race, 89, 91, 95, 96

  and running mate selection, 273, 274

  and 2012 general election campaign, 234, 257, 259, 260

  and 2012 primary campaign, 128, 137–38, 148, 157–58, 169, 170, 179, 197, 198, 207, 210, 214, 221, 223, 228

  Rhodes, Ben, 11, 316

  Rich, Frank, 36

  Rivera, Craig, 161

  Rivera, David, 271

  Rivera, Geraldo, 161

  Roberts, John, 256

  Robinson, Craig, 173

  Rogers, Ed, 108–9

  Rollins, Ed, 111, 136–37, 147

  Romney, Ann Davies, 285–86, 337, 338

  and campaigning, 16, 20, 23, 89, 216

  and cancer, 33

  and Christie, 126

  convention speech by, 281–82

  and debates, 311

  and decision to run, 87–88, 90, 96, 340

  horse owned by, 272

  marriage of Mitt and, 29

  Romney, Craig (son), 87

  Romney, George (father), 28–29, 216, 343

  Romney, Joe (grandson), 20

  Romney, Lenore (mother), 30

  Romney, Matt (son), 89

  Romney, Mitt, 28–33

  attack ads against, 57, 246–47, 249–52, 254, 255–56, 259, 262, 280, 297, 322–24, 344

  attack ads against Obama by, 98–99, 258, 259, 260, 277–78

  “Believe in America” slogan, 98

  biographers of, 30

  as businessman, 5, 22, 29–30, 57, 58–59, 91, 183, 184, 186–88, 204, 215, 221, 235, 246–47, 249, 258, 289, 294

  and campaign financing, 351

  changing political views of, 32–33, 57–58, 95–96, 127, 135, 151, 227, 229, 341

  concession speech by, 337–38, 345

  and conservatism, 33, 99, 174–75, 200, 214, 225, 232, 274, 314, 349–50

  “Corporations are people” comment, 169

  and debates, 18, 217, 301–11, 314–17, 324, 329, 341, 344–46

  decision to run, 87–88, 90, 96–97, 339, 340

  early years of, 29

  on election day, 20–21, 332–35, 337–38, 345–46

  and Etch A Sketch comment, 227, 242

  as family man, 5, 87–88, 90, 235, 335, 340

  as flip-flopper, 33, 57–58, 95, 151, 229

  formal announcement of candidacy, 98–99

  and 47 percent video, 6, 293–95, 296, 298, 300, 309, 315, 346–48

  as front-runner, 90, 92, 93, 99, 106, 110, 120–21, 122, 130, 138, 142, 159, 168, 184, 189, 190, 196, 205, 220, 226

  and fund-raising, 208, 234–35, 247, 259–61, 269, 271, 351

  and Gingrich, 174, 176, 177, 178, 183–84, 194, 197–201, 203–4, 206, 213, 233–34, 250

  as governor of Massachusetts, 31–33, 89, 94, 97, 148, 183, 201, 214, 249, 255, 258, 341

  and health care, 31–32, 94–99, 108, 127, 133, 135, 174, 217, 340

  and his father, 28–29, 216, 343

  and Hurricane Sandy, 331–32, 340

  “I like to fire people,” 294

  and immigration issue, 228–31

  international travel of, 271–72

  Kennedy-Romney debates, 33, 288

  lack of Republican Party enthusiasm for, 5, 122, 127, 159, 168, 199, 200, 210, 212–13, 235, 297, 298

  mapping the race, 87–99

  marriage to Ann, 29

  media interviews with, 174–75, 339–48

  and Mormon religion, 29, 88, 92, 93, 340–41

  No Apology, 88, 127, 175

  personal qualities of, 22, 23, 29

  political persona of, 28, 29, 32–33, 57–58, 90, 97, 98–99, 235, 249

  on poverty, 207, 294

  public image of, 5, 6, 23, 105, 207, 218, 219, 227, 231–33, 235, 249, 251, 262, 280, 281, 294–95, 298, 309, 314, 324, 333, 335, 345

  and Republican convention, 286

  and Ryan, 263–64, 276

  selecting a running mate, 264–68, 271–72, 273–76

  and Senate campaign (1994), 30–31, 94, 171, 177, 183–84, 250

  and super PACs, 171–72, 176, 186, 197–98, 203, 221–22, 233, 351

  support for Republican Party, 88–89, 169

  tax returns of, 189, 190, 194, 197, 200, 202, 249, 250, 258, 266n, 277, 288

  and 2008 presidential campaign, 5, 22–23, 33, 90–91, 95, 106, 129, 200

  and 2012 nomination contest, 5–6, 8, 132–33, 134–35, 137–38, 140, 143, 148–51, 154, 157, 158, 168–71, 173, 175–79, 182–84, 187–91, 194–96, 197–208, 226–27, 249

  and 2012 presidential campaign, 16–18, 19, 21, 51, 57–59, 67, 70, 73, 87–99, 234–35, 247–48, 259–62

  vulnerabilities of, 58–59, 184, 199, 200, 208, 213, 220, 227–28, 231, 249

  wealth of, 5, 28, 30, 189–90, 202–3, 204, 227, 231, 232, 235, 250, 258, 262, 264, 288, 322, 340, 341, 344, 348

  and Winter Olympics (2002), 31, 201, 217, 271

  Romney, Tagg (son):

  and campaign, 89

  and debates, 311, 317

  and decision to run, 87–88, 96–97, 340

  and election day, 20, 21

  Romney team:

  campaign strategies of, 90–93, 295–96, 308–9, 315, 323–25, 330

  and “Day One” campaign
, 260–61

  and debates, 301, 306, 308–9, 310–11, 312–15, 317, 344–46

  and decision to run, 88–89

  exploratory committee, 92

  field operations, 325–26, 335–36, 340

  and fund-raising, 89, 120, 279–80, 322, 344

  and general election funds, 279, 280

  members of, 89

  and polarization, 276–78

  political action committees (PACs; super PACs), 88–89, 186, 197–98, 233

  and polls, 19, 95, 189, 199, 299–300, 312, 329–31, 333, 345

  presentation styles tested by, 98–99

  research and data, 262

  state-by-state plan of, 92–93

  and technology, 335–36

  Roosevelt, Franklin D., 27, 148, 240

  Roosevelt, Theodore, 3, 72

  Root, Jay, 156

  Rose, Charlie, 50, 257, 285

  Rosen, Hillary, 304

  Ross, Brian, 191

  Rove, Karl, 123, 145, 147, 149, 172, 336

  Courage and Consequence, 40

  Rubio, Marco, 205, 229–31, 267, 271, 275, 283, 342–43

  Rucker, Philip, 30, 174, 195, 264, 273, 298

  Russia, arms treaty with, 38, 39

  Ryan, Nick, 174

  Ryan, Paul, 19, 70, 122, 136

  acceptance speech by, 283

  and budget cuts, 42–45, 163–64, 175, 270, 276

  campaigning, 320, 328

  and debate, 313–14

  and election day, 20–21, 335, 337

  and Medicare plans, 198, 274, 276

  “The Path to Prosperity,” 44

  as running mate, 263–64, 273–76, 278, 299–300, 319

  and shrinking government, 43–44

  Sabato, Larry, 205

  same-sex marriage, 350

  Sanders, Sarah Huckabee, 139

  Santelli, Rick, 101

  Santorum, Karen, 174, 224

  Santorum, Rick, 209–24

  and debates, 132, 140, 160, 183, 193, 201, 217–19

  family concerns of, 210, 211, 224

  and Gang of Seven, 211

  It Takes a Family, 211

  Red, White and Blue Fund, 222

  reelection bid (2006), 212

  and Tea Party, 212

  and 2008 primary campaign, 91–92

  and 2012 primary campaign, 174, 177, 178–79, 183, 184, 187, 195, 209–12, 213–20, 221–22, 224, 232, 343

  withdrawal of, 224, 260

  Saturday Night Live, 204

  Schiavo, Terri, 212

  Schieffer, Bob, 316

  Schmidt, Eric, 41, 79

  Schriefer, Russ, 220, 275

  and ad campaigns, 201, 260, 273, 343

  and ad media, 89, 247

  and convention, 281, 282, 283, 285, 286

  Schroeder, Bob, 138

  Schultz, Greg, 325

  Scozzafava, Dede, 102

  Scully, Matthew, 286

  SDI (Steel Dynamics of Indiana), 259

  SEALs, and bin Laden, 46

  Seamus (Romney family dog), 305

  Second Amendment, 104

  Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), 267–69

  Service Employees International Union (SEIU), 52, 53

  Shapiro, Walter, 136

  Sharp, John, 144

  Sides, John, and Lynn Vavreck, The Gamble, 261–62

  Silver, Nate, 73, 338, 352

  Simas, David, 52, 313

  Simon, Roger, 305–6

  Simpson, Alan, 45

  60 Minutes, 36, 299

  Slaby, Michael, 76

  Slate, 64

  Smith, Adam, 202

  Smith, Erik, 287

  Smith, Sylvia, 135

  Smoot, Julianna, 254

  social media, 40, 78–79, 118, 204, 294, 301–5, 315, 335, 352

  Social Security, 148–49, 150–51, 157–58, 229, 341

  Solmonese, Joe, 39

  Sonmez, Felicia, 320

  Soptic, Joe, 246, 277

  Sorenson, Kent, 178

  Soros, George, 220

  South Carolina:

  debates in, 132, 160, 187–89, 192–93, 197, 198, 200, 201

  Gingrich’s comeback in, 185–86, 187–89, 190–96, 197, 198, 208, 209, 342

  Obama campaign in, 75

  Republican campaigns in, 41, 93, 176, 185–96, 199, 200, 207, 209, 210

  Romney campaign in, 93, 95, 176, 185–87, 197, 198, 200, 207, 221, 224, 342, 343

  SpeechNow.org v. Federal Election Commission, 172

  Sperling, Gene, 289, 290

  Spies, Charles, 172

  Springsteen, Bruce, 13, 14, 119

  “Stage” (ad), 324

  Standard & Poor’s, 61

  “Steel” (ad), 246–47, 251, 254, 259

  Steinbrenner, George, 121

  Stephanopoulos, George, 218

  Stevens, Christopher, 296, 308

  Stevens, Stuart, 247–49, 273, 285, 295

  and ad campaign, 149, 259, 278

  and ad media, 89, 247

  and debates, 308, 311

  and decision to run, 341

  on nomination battles, 227

  and Romney’s public appearances, 98, 286

  and running mate selection, 273

  and super PAC, 198

  and 2012 campaign, 148–49, 207, 248–49, 343

  Stewart, Alice, 137

  Stewart, Jon, 145

  Stewart, Mitch, 75, 80, 81, 322

  Strauss, Bob, 291

  Strayhorn, Carole Keeton, 143

  Strickland, Ted, 288, 322, 325

  Sullivan, Andrew, 303, 306

  Sullivan, Ray, 146, 147, 152–53, 156, 192

  super PACs, 185, 220

  and Gingrich, 171, 172, 186–87, 188, 203, 233, 250

  and Obama team, 277

  and Romney, 171–72, 176, 186, 197–98, 203, 221–22, 233, 351

  Super Tuesday, 221–23

  and Romney campaign, 92, 220, 221

  and voting patterns, 223–24

  Supreme Court, U.S.:

  and antisodomy laws, 212

  and campaign financing, 172, 351

  and health care, 94, 256–57

  Tanenhaus, Sam, The Death of Conservatism, 100–101

  Tapper, Jake, 141, 170

  Targeted Sharing, 78–79

  Tea Party:

  and Americans for Prosperity, 218

  anti-Obama stance of, 102, 103, 136

  and Bachmann, 136

  birth of, 101

  and Boehner, 47

  and Cain, 159–60

  and Congress, 42, 46, 47, 100, 104

  and debates, 131

  and debt ceiling, 46, 47

  demographics of, 104

  and the economy, 45, 72

  and Gingrich, 200

  and grassroots movement, 103, 105

  and midterm elections (2010), 35, 112

  and Occupy Wall Street, 70

  and Palin, 106, 112, 113

  and Paul, 173

  and Pawlenty, 127

  and Perry, 143, 152

  political orthodoxy demanded by, 102, 103

  public image of, 101–2

  and Republican Party, 7, 35, 47–48, 62, 67, 94, 100, 101–5, 112, 127, 180, 199–200

  and running mate selection, 267

  and Santorum, 212

  ultraconservative stance of, 102, 103, 105

  Tennessee:

  Romney’s loss in, 224

  Santorum’s victory in, 222

  Texas:

  election results in, 334
r />   and immigration issue, 228

  primary in, 207, 224

  Thaler, Richard, 352

  This Week, 141, 218

  Thompson, Fred, 93

  Thune, John, 89, 91

  Title X, 217

  Todd, Chuck, 176, 256, 302

  Tomasky, Michael, 303

  Trump, Donald, 109–10, 139, 207, 220

  Tsongas, Paul, 177

  Tucson, Arizona, shooting in, 42, 62, 112

  Tumulty, Karen, 110, 111, 166

  Twitter, 301–5, 315, 335, 352

  Tyler, Rick, 164, 165, 172

  Tyson, Mike, 39

  Undefeated, The (movie), 113

  unemployment, 3, 35–36, 189, 239, 240, 322, 340

  Utah, midterm elections in (2010), 102

  Van Susteren, Greta, 113, 162, 164

  Vavreck, Lynn, 261

  Ventura, Jesse, 129

  Vermont, Republican contest in, 222

  VFW convention, Las Vegas, 272

  Vietnam War, and presidential politics, 29

  Virginia:

  as battleground state, 299, 319, 332, 333

  election results in, 332, 333, 336

  Obama campaign in, 75, 253, 319

  polls in, 329, 330

  Republican contest in, 222, 224

  Romney campaign in, 224, 299, 329

  Wagner, Dan, and analytics, 19, 76, 80, 81

  Wake Up Wal-Mart, 75

  Walker, Robert, 188

  Walker, Scott, 319

  Wallace, Chris, 150, 151, 160

  Wall Street Journal, 48, 96, 97, 112, 232

  Warfield, Nelson, 152, 156

  Warren, Elizabeth, 71

  Washington, D.C., dysfunctional government in, 5, 7, 23–24, 38, 48–49, 50, 56, 61, 62, 64, 69, 72, 239, 244, 349

  Washington Post, 72, 103, 227, 245, 255–56

  Wasserman, David, 332

  Weaver, John, 179–80

  Weber, Vin, 134, 195–96

  Weeks, David, 153

  Wehner, Pete, 152, 286

  Welch, Jack, 131

  welfare reform, 206–7, 277, 278, 324

  Westen, Drew, 62–63

  White, Bill, 143

  White, Bob, 20

  and Bain, 89, 250–51, 256, 259

  and debate preparation, 308

  and election day, 338

  and Romney’s public image, 251

  and running mate selection, 273, 274

  White, Ginger, 162

  White House Correspondents’ Association Dinner, 46, 110, 180

  Wicks, Buffy, 75

  Will, Mari, 156

  Williams, Brian, 149, 201, 272

  Williams, Juan, 188, 190, 192

  Williams & Connolly, 108

  Wilson, Scott, 24

  Winning Our Future, 185–87

  Winston, David, 188

  Winter Olympics (2002), 31, 201, 217, 271

 

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