The communications shift
405. The first billion users of Internet and wireless . . . New Core and Gap markets. On this, see Michael S. Malone, “Taking On the World,” Wall Street Journal, April 5-6, 2008.
405. The key goal for America . . . lot of people will be able to live and work anywhere. On this, see Andreas Kluth, “Nomads: A Special Report on Mobile Telecoms,” The Economist, April 12, 2008.
The urbanization shift
406. The planet as a whole has just reached . . . vast majority of the world’s network traffic. On this, see Amy Meyers Jaffe, “The Coastal-Cities Phenomenon,” Esquire, October 2006.
The feminization shift
407. This emerging market trend . . . in advanced economies. Chart: “Balancing the Scales of Justice: More Women Are Attending U.S. Law Schools,” USA Today, June 27, 2008.
The health shift
408. This could be a source of great political . . . they nor their governments can afford.” Robert J. Shapiro, Futurecast: How Superpowers, Populations, and Globalization Will Change the Way You Live and Work (New York: St. Martin’s Press, 2008), pp. 247-66.
The market shift
409. They see four strategies as paramount . . . in natural resources (“natural capital”). See Paul Hawken, Amory Lovins, and L. Hunter Lovins, Natural Capitalism: Creating the Next Industrial Revolution (Boston: Little, Brown, 1999), pp. 1-21.
The governance shift
409. The political scientist Francis Fukuyama divides . . . the strength of their power. Francis Fukuyama, State-Building: Governance and World Order in the 21st Century (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 2004), pp. 15-16.
410. The new emerging consensus . . . overall culture of respect for legality. See “Order in the Jungle: The Rule of Law Has Become a Big Idea in Economics. But It Has Had Its Difficulties,” The Economist, March 15, 2008.
410. One crucial caveat here . . . to influence this global debate is slowly diminishing. See Adam Liptak, “U.S. Court, a Longtime Beacon, Is Now Guiding Fewer Nations,” New York Times, September 18, 2008.
The Better Normal: The Great Compromise
414. If you accept this minimal rule set . . . in defense of these proposed global rules. My thanks to Jerome E. Barnett for this concept.
414. In sum, we won’t use force unless . . . employment—as in, every round fired. For an example of what this must ultimately resemble down the road, see Al Baker, “11 Years of Police Gunfire, in Painstaking Detail,” New York Times, May 8, 2008.
CODA: THE FUTURE PERFECT TENSE
417. Richard Nixon believed that nations aspiring to great power . . . great ideas. Nixon said this to Kissinger in a phone conversation on May 11, 1969, according to David S. Patterson, editor, Foreign Relations, 1969-1976: Volume I, Foundations of Foreign Policy, 1969-1972 (Washington, DC: Government Printing Office, 2003), p. 142; cited in MacMillan, Nixon and Mao, p. 10.
419. The critical-mass reality . . . most assuredly we shall all hang separately.” Attributed to Franklin at the signing of the Declaration of Independence.
420. Karl Marx believed that . . . a notion he himself proved. As Marx argued in the preface to his 1859 book, A Contribution to the Critique of Political Economy, “The mode of production of material life conditions the general process of social, political and intellectual life,” and thus “It is not the consciousness of men that determines their existence, but their social existence that determines their consciousness”; find the preface online at www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1859/critique-pol-economy/preface.htm.
421. Which brings me to . . . The Shape of Things to Come. H. G. Wells, The Shape of Things to Come (New York: Penguin Books, 2005).
Index
Abizaid, John
Abolition movement, U.S.
Abortion controversy
Abundance; religions and
Acheson, Dean
Activism, social
Adams, John
Adams, John Quincy
Adaptation, Americans and
Afghanistan; and al Qaeda
Africa; China and; fake states; foreign aid; integration of; maritime space; Salafist movement; sub-Saharan; USAID programs
African Union
Africa’s Silk Road (World Bank)
AFRICOM (U.S. Africa Command) ; Congress and
Agency for International Development, U.S. (USAID)
Aging populations
Agricultural production, early U.S.
Agricultural subsidies
Ahmadinejad, Mahmoud
Air Force, U.S.
Air power, American, use of
Air-traffic control
al Qaeda. See Qaeda, al
Alabama
Albright, Madeleine K.
Alcoholics Anonymous, twelve steps
Alien and Sedition Acts
Alliances, international; service-oriented
America, capitalism in; and globalization; immigrants, international standing, and oil production; as pacifying force; public support of Middle East situation; and religion, strategic alliances, ; trade deficit with China
American companies, Asia and
American System; China and; economic institutions; global economy and; globalization and, , Lincoln and; and middle class; Theodore Roosevelt and, transfer of
Americanism
Americanization, globalization as
Americans; and globalization
Amistad revolt
Anbar “awakening”
Anglosphere colonies
Anti-Americanism; Iran and
Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty
Anti-Federalists
Antiglobalization
Antiquities Act
Arabs, and Treaty of Versailles
ARAMCO (Arabian American Oil Co.)
Arbatov, Georgi
Arbitrationism
Archilochus
Architecture
Army, U.S.; and war; and westward expansion. See also Military, U.S.
Army Advisory Corps
Artificial states
Asia: and automobile industry; capitalism in; cultural wars; fake states; and global economy; and global warming, infrastructure development, middle-class growth; Muslims in; oil demand; Persian Gulf oil
“Asia After Viet Nam” (Nixon)
Asians, in America
Assassination of American presidents
Asymmetrical warfare
Atlantic Charter
Australia; anti-Americanism in
Authoritarian capitalism
Authoritarian regimes, and terrorism
Automobiles
Ayittey, George
Baby boomer generation
Bacevich, Andrew
Baghdad; Petraeus and
Baker, James
Bamboo network
Bank of the United States
Banking industry, China
Barbary Coast pirates
Barnett, Thomas P. M.; adopted daughter; Blueprint for Action; “The Monks of War,” The Pentagon’s New Map
Barnett family
Barone, Michael
Bates, Edward
Battle of New Orleans
Baumol, William
Beckstrom, Rod
Beijing Consensus
Beijing Olympics (2008)
Berlin Airlift
Berlin Wall, fall of
Big Bang strategy ; Iran and
“Big firm” capitalism
Big-war forces; and counterinsurgency
Bilateral treaties
Bill of Rights, British
bin Laden, Osama; goal of
Biological weapons
Biotechnology
Bipartisanship
Birthrates, European
Black globalization
Black Swan, The (Taleb)
Blackwater
Blueprint for Action (Barnett)
Bolshevik Revolution
Boot, Max
Borders of states, and economies
r /> Borgwardt, Elizabeth
“Bottom billion,” 451n; globalization and
Bottom of the pyramid, selling to
Bound Together (Chanda)
Boyd, John
Brafman, Ori
Brave New War (Robb)
Brazil
Bremer, Paul
Bremmer, Ian
Bretton Woods Agreements
Brezhnev, Leonid
“BRIC” quartet (Brazil, Russia, India, China)
Brownstein, Ronald
Buffett, Warren
Bush, George H. W.
Bush, George W., Big Bang strategy, and China; and foreign aid, foreign policy reversals; Hurricane Katrina and; and Saddam Hussein; and Iraq war, Rice and
Bush-Cheney administration, and Africa; and Iran, and Iraq; sins of; and U.S. military; virtues of,
Business, infrastructure for
Business trust, climate of
BusinessWeek
Buyer chains
Canada
Cantor Fitzgerald
Capitalism; American; American-style, authoritarian; in China; civil liberties and; globalization of, institutionalization of, politics and
Capitalist powers, league of
Carnegie, Andrew
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Carson, Iain
Carson, Kit
Carter, Jimmy
Casualties: Iraq; World War II,
Catherine II the Great of Russia
Cedar Revolution, Lebanon
Central Command, U.S., in Djibouti
Central government, early views
Central Intelligence Agency (CIA); and Soviet threat
Central planning of economy
Cerf, Vint
Chalabi, Ahmed
Chanda, Nayan
Chandrasekaran, Rajiv
Change: Americans and; globalization and; grand strategy and; social, religion and,
Character, national
Charm Offensive (Kurlantzick)
Chase, Salmon
Chávez, Hugo
“Cheetah” generation, Africa
Chen Shui-bian (President of Taiwan)
Chen Yun
Cheney, Dick. See also Bush-Cheney administration
Chernow, Ron
Chicago World’s Fair (1893)
China; and Africa, and automobile industry; demographics; diet improvement; economy, emigrants; and environment, and fake states; foreign relations; and Gap regions; globalization and, ideological threat, infrastructure development, Internet; and Middle East; military force, and missile defense; nationalism; Nixon and; and oil production; soft power strategy; tainted products; and U.S., vulnerability; Wolfowitz Doctrine and
China Shakes the World (Kynge)
Chinese Revolution
Christianity, American
Churchill, Winston
CIA (Central Intelligence Agency); and Soviet threat
CIC (Council on Islamic Courts)
Cities, nineteenth century
Citizens, rights of
Civil liberties
Civil Operations, Revolutionary Development Support (CORDS)
Civil rights movement, U.S.
Civil War, U.S.
Civilian workers, military and
CJTF-HOA (Combined Joint Task Force- Horn of Africa)
Clark, Gregory
Class structure, global
Clay, Henry
Clements, Kendrick
Clifford, Clark
Climate change. See Global warming
Clinton, Bill
Clinton, DeWitt
Clinton, Hillary
Clinton administration
Coal, Chinese imports
Coalition Provisional Authority, Iraq (CPA)
Coast Guard, U.S.
Cody, William “Buffalo Bill,”
Cohen, Eliot
COIN. See Counterinsurgency
Colbert, Stephen
Cold War ; American System and; capitalism and; containment policy ; economy and; end of; OSCE and ; outcome of
Collective intelligence
Collier, Paul
Colonial system, change of
Colonialism; and borders of states; capitalism and
Colonization, globalization and
COLs (contingency operating locations)
Commercial expansionism
Commitment
Commodity prices, global, China and
Communication networks, security of
Communications: global; technologies
Communism, China and
Communist movement, international
Communities of practice
Competition: globalization and; religious
Confederate States. See also Civil War, U.S.
Congress, U.S.; and AFRICOM, 460n; and Chinese military; and counterinsurgency; and Department of Everything Else; and Native Americans; Truman and; Wilson and
Congressional Government (Wilson)
Connectivity; economic; global; globalization and, lack of; and status of women
Conservation movement, Theodore Roosevelt and
Conservatism, social
Constitution, U.S.
Consumption: American; global changes
Containment strategy
Contemporary Operating Environment
Cool It (Lomborg)
Coolidge, Calvin
Cooper, James Fenimore
Copenhagen Consensus project
CORDS (Civil Operations, Revolutionary Development Support)
Core regions; globalization and; networks of
Corporate scandals
Corruption; China and
Cotton production
Council on Foreign Relations
Counterinsurgency; global; goal of; outsourcing of; privatization of; U.S. military and
Counterinsurgency (COIN) doctrine
Counterinsurgency Field Manual
Counterinsurgency Lessons from Malaya and Vietnam (Nagl)
Counterinsurgency Warfare (Galula)
Counterparties, economy and
Counterterrorism
CPA (Coalition Provisional Authority, Iraq)
Crane, Conrad
Creativity: legislative; revolution and
Crisis, culture and
Croatians
Crook, George
Cuban Missile Crisis
Cultural identity, globalization and
Cultural Revolution, China
Culture: American, immigration and, crisis and; globalization and
Currency, paper
Customs Service, U.S.
Dairy products
Dangerous Nation (Kagan)
Darfur; China and; ICC and
de las Casas, Gustavo
Deal-making
DeAngelis, Stephen
Decolonization, after World War II
Dedication
Defense, security and
Defense Department, U.S.
Defense Planning Guidance (DPG)
Defense spending, U.S.
Demand, in global economy
Demand center, global, U.S. as
Democracies: American-style; and income increase
Democracy; American, annual income; bottom-up, China and; demographics and; entrepreneurial capitalism and, in Gap regions; globalization and; and leadership; Lincoln and; middle class and, 439n; religion and; worldwide emergence
Democratic Party
Democratization; economic globalization and; Middle East, New Core and
Demographics; Asian; China, in emerging economies; global, changes in, and infrastructure development, Middle East
Demonization of enemies
Deng Xiaoping ; and market economy
Department of Everything Else
Depression, economic, American leadership; and
bipartisanship
Deregulation of financial markets
Descartes, René
Desert Storm
> Detachment, grand strategy of
Détente, European
Deterrence, search for
Deus ex machina
Developing countries, and democracy
Developing economies, foreign aid to
Development-in-a-Box
DeYoung, Karen
Diamond, Jared
Dictatorships
Diet, improvement of
Dignam, Michael
DIME package (diplomacy, information, military, economic)
Diplomacy; Bush-Cheney and, and nuclear weapons; Theodore Roosevelt and
Diplomatic compromises
Discipline, wars of
Disconnectedness
Disestablishment of religion
Djibouti, U.S. Central Command
“Domino effect,”
DPG (Defense Planning Guidance)
Draft, end of
Drury, Allen
D’Souza, Dinesh
Dulles, John Foster
Easterly, William; The White Man’s Burden
Eastern European immigrants
Eberstadt, Nicholas
Economic Consequences of the Peace, The (Keynes)
Economic liberty, politics and
Economies: global, comparative rankings ; non-Western
Economy, Elizabeth
Economy: American System; Cold War and; institutionalization of; international, after World War I, Iraq, postwar; Middle East, and war on terror; neo-Marxist views; politics and; religion and; Soviet; strategic realignments, China; and terrorism; transportation and; U.S.; after World War II, planning --global; Asian nations and; deregulation and, expansion of; flexibility in; infrastructure development, liberal trade order and; private-sector demand and; radical extremism and; terrorism and,
Egypt; U.S. and
Eisenhower, Dwight D.
Elections, U.S.; early American
Elite class: and authoritarianism; economy dominated by; and globalization
Emancipation Proclamation
Emerging economies
Emerging powers, alliances with
Enemies of America; demonization of ; globalization and
Enemy at Home, The (D’Souza)
Energy: global demand; sources, India and
Energy independence
Enriquez, Juan
Enterra Solutions
Entrepreneurial capitalism
Entrepreneurship; and middle class; revolution and
Great Powers Page 61