by Tom Clancy
“There’s our friend,” one of the EWOs said. “Bearing two-eight-one.”
Automatically, both pilot and copilot looked to their right. Unsurprisingly, they saw nothing. The copilot looked back in. At night you wanted to keep an eye on instruments. The lack of good external references meant you ran the risk of vertigo, the loss of spatial orientation, which all aviators feared. They seemed to be approaching some layered clouds. His eyes checked the external temperature gauges. Thirty-five, and that was good. Two or three degrees lower and you ran the risk of icing, and the B-1, like most military aircraft, didn’t have deicing equipment. Well, the mission was electronic, not visual, and clouds didn’t mean much to radar transmission or reception.
But clouds did mean moisture, and the copilot allowed himself to forget that the temperature gauge was in the nose, and the tail was quite a bit higher. The temperature there was thirty-one, and ice started forming on the bomber’s tailfin. It wasn’t even enough to cause any degradation in the controls. But it was enough to make a subtle change in the shape of the aircraft, whose radar cross section depended on millimeter tolerances.
“That’s a hard contact,” the Captain said on Kami-Two. He worked his controls to lock on it, transmitting the contact to the Colonel’s own display. “Maybe another one now.”
“I have it.” The contact, he saw, was leveling out and heading straight for Tokyo. It could not possibly be an airliner. No transponder. The base course was wrong. The altitude was wrong. The penetration speed was wrong. It had to be an enemy. With that knowledge, he told his two fighters to head for it.
“I think I can start interrogating it more—”
“No,” the Colonel replied over the IC phones.
The two F-15J fighters had just topped off their tanks and were well sited for the interception. The alpha-numeric symbols on the Kami’s screens showed them close, and aboard the fighters the pilots could see the same display and didn’t have to light off their own targeting radars. With their outbound speed of five hundred knots, and a corresponding speed on the inbound track, it wouldn’t be long.
At the same time a report was downlinked to the regional air-defense headquarters, and soon many people were watching the electronic drama. There were now three inbound aircraft plotted, spaced out as though to deliver an attack. If they were B-1 bombers, everyone knew, they could be carrying real bombs or cruise missiles, and they were well within the launch radius for the latter. That created a problem for the air-defense commander, and the time of day did not make it better. His precise instructions were not yet precise enough, and there was no command guidance he could depend on in Tokyo. But the inbounds were within the Air Defense Identification Zone, and they were probably bombers, and—what? the General asked himself. For now he ordered the fighters to split up, each closing on a separate target. It was going too fast. He should have known better, but you couldn’t plan for everything, and they were bombers, and they were too close, and they were heading in fast.
“Are we getting extra hits?” the aircraft commander asked. He planned to get no closer than one hundred miles to the airborne radar, and he already had his escape procedures in mind.
“Sir, that’s negative. I’m getting a sweep every six seconds, but no electronic steering on us yet.”
“I don’t think they can see us this way,” the pilot thought aloud.
“If they do, we can get out of Dodge in a hurry.” The copilot flexed his fingers nervously and hoped his confidence was not misplaced.
There could be no tally-ho call. The fighters were above the cloud layer. Descending through clouds under these circumstances ran risks. The orders came as something of an anticlimax after all the drills and preparation, and a long, boring night of patrolling. Kami-Two changed frequencies and began electronic beam-steering on all three of her inbound contacts.
“They’re hitting us,” the EWO reported at once. “Freq change, pulsing us hard on the Ku-band.”
“Probably just saw us.” That made sense, didn’t it? As soon as they plotted an inbound track, they’d try to firm it up. It gave him a little more time to work with. He’d keep going in for another few minutes, the Colonel thought, just to see what happened.
“He’s not turning,” the Captain said. He should have turned away immediately, shouldn’t he? everyone aboard wondered. There could only be one good reason why he hadn’t, and the resulting order was obvious. Kami-two changed frequencies again to fire-control mode, and an Eagle fighter loosed two radar-homing missiles. To the north, another Eagle was still just out of range of its newly assigned target. Its pilot punched burner to change that.
“Lock-up—somebody’s locked-up on us!”
“Evading left.” The Colonel moved the stick and increased power for a screaming dive down to the wavetops. A series of flares combined with chaff clouds emerged from the bomber’s tail. They stopped almost at once in the cold air and hovered nearly motionless. The sophisticated radar aboard the E-767 identified the chaff clouds and automatically ignored them, steering its pencil-thin radar beam on the bomber, which was still moving. All the missile had to do was follow it in. All the years of design work were paying off now, and the onboard controllers commented silently to themselves on the unexpected situation. The system had been designed to protect against Russians, not Americans. How remarkable.
“I can’t break lock.” The EWO tried active jamming next, but the pencil beam that was hammering the aluminum skin of their Lancer was two million watts of power, and his jammers couldn’t begin to deal with it. The aircraft lurched into violent corkscrew maneuvers. They didn’t know where the missiles were, and they could only do what the manual said, but the manual, they realized a little late, hadn’t anticipated this sort of adversary. When the first missile exploded on contact with the right wing, they were too close to the water for their ejection seats to be of any help.
The second B-1 was luckier. It took a hit that disabled two engines, but even with half power it was able to depart the Japanese coast too rapidly for the Eagle to catch up, and the flight crew wondered if they would make Shemya before something else important fell off of their hundred-million-dollar aircraft. The rest of the flight retreated as well, hoping that someone could tell them what had gone wrong.
Of greater moment, yet another hostile act had been committed, and four more people were dead, and turning back would now be harder still for both sides in a war without any discernible rules.
36
Consideration
It wasn’t that much of a surprise, Ryan told himself, but it would be of little consolation to the families of the four Air Force officers. It ought to have been a simple, safe mission, and the one bleak positive was that sure enough it had learned something. Japan had the world’s best air-defense aircraft. They would have to be defeated if they were ever to take out their intercontinental missiles—but taken out the missiles had to be. A considerable pile of documents lay on his desk. NASA reports of the Japanese SS-19. Tracking on the observed test-firings of the birds. Evaluation of the capabilities of the missiles. Guesses about the payloads. They were all guesses, really. He needed more than that, but that was the nature of intelligence information. You never had enough to make an informed decision, and so you had to make an uninformed decision and hope that your hunches were right. It was a relief when the STU-6 rang, distracting him from the task of figuring what he could tell the President about what he didn’t know.
“Hi, MP. Anything new?”
“Koga wants to meet with our people,” Mrs. Foley replied at once. “Preliminary word is that he’s not very pleased with developments. But it’s a risk,” she added.
It would be so much easier if I didn’t know those two, Ryan thought. “Approved,” was what he said. “We need all the information we can get. We need to know who’s really making the decisions over there.”
“It’s not the government. Not really. That’s what all the data indicates. That’s the only plausible reason why the RVS didn’t
see this coming. So the obvious question is—”
“And the answer to that question is yes, Mary Pat.”
“Somebody will have to sign off on that, Jack,” the Deputy Director (Operations) said evenly.
“Somebody will,” the National Security Advisor promised.
He was the Deputy Assistant Commercial Attaché, a young diplomat, only twenty-five, who rarely got invited to anything important, and when he was, merely hovered about like a court page from a bygone era, attending his senior, fetching drinks, and generally looking unimportant. He was an intelligence officer, of course, and junior at that job as well. His was the task of making pickups from dead-drops while on his way into the embassy every morning that the proper signals were spotted, as they were this morning, a Sunday in Tokyo. The task was a challenge to his creativity because he had to make the planned seem random, had to do it in a different way every time, but not so different as to seem unusual. It was only his second year as a field intelligence officer, but he was already wondering how the devil people maintained their careers in this business without going mad.
There it was. A soda can—a red Coca-Cola in this case—lying in the gutter between the left-rear wheel of a Nissan sedan and the curb, twenty meters ahead, where it was supposed to be. It could not have been there very long. Someone would have picked it up and deposited it in a nearby receptacle. He admired the neatness of Tokyo and the civic pride it represented. In fact he admired almost everything about these industrious and polite people, but that only made him worry about how intelligent and thorough their counterintelligence service was. Well, he did have a diplomatic cover, and had nothing more to fear than a blemish on a career that he could always change—his cover duties had taught him a lot about business, should he decide to leave the service of his government, he kept telling himself. He walked down the crowded morning sidewalk, bent down, and picked up the soda can. The bottom of the can was hollow, indented for easy stacking, and his hand deftly removed the item taped there, and then he simply dropped the can in the trash container at the end of the block before turning left to head for the embassy. Another important mission done, even if all it had appeared to be was the removal of street litter from this most fastidious of cities. Two years of professional training, he thought, to be a trash collector. Perhaps in a few years he would start recruiting his own agents. At least your hands stayed clean that way.
On entering the embassy he found his way to Major Scherenko’s office and handed over what he’d retrieved before heading off to his own desk for a brief morning’s work.
Boris Scherenko was as busy as he’d ever expected to be. His assignment was supposed to be a nice, quiet, commercial-spying post, learning industrial techniques that his country might easily duplicate, more a business function than one of pure espionage. The loss of Oleg Lyalin’s THISTLE network had been a professional catastrophe that he had labored for some time to correct without great success. The traitor Lyalin had been a master at insinuating himself into business operations while he himself had worked to effect a more conventional penetration of the Japanese government organs, and his efforts to duplicate the former’s achievements had barely begun to bear fruit when his tasking had changed back to something else entirely, a mission as surprising to him as the current situation doubtless was to the Americans who had been so badly stung by their erstwhile allies. Just one more truism that the Americans had allowed themselves to forget. You couldn’t trust anyone.
The package just delivered on his desk was at least easy to work with: two frames of thirty-five-millimeter film, black and white, already developed as a photographic negative. It was just a matter of peeling off the gray tape and unfolding it, a task that took some minutes. As sophisticated as his agency was, the actual work of espionage was often as tedious as assembling a child’s birthday toys. In this case, he used a pocket knife and a bright light to remove the film, and nearly cut himself in the process. He placed the two frames in cardboard holders, which went one at a time into a slide-viewer. The next task was to transcribe the data onto a paper pad, which was just one more exercise in tedium. It was worth it, he saw at once. The data would have to be confirmed through other sources, but the news was good.
“There’s your two cars,” the AMTRAK executive said. It had been so obvious a place to look that a day had been required to realize it. The two oversized flatcars were at the Yoshinobu launch facility, and beside them were three transporter-containers for the SS-19/H-11 booster, just sitting there in the yard. “This might be another one, sticking out of the building.”
“They have to have more than two, don’t they?” Chris Scott asked.
“I would,” Betsy Fleming replied. “But it could just mean a place to stash the cars. And it’s the logical place.”
“Here or at the assembly plant,” Scott agreed with a nod.
Mainly they were waiting now for nonvisual data. The only KH-12 satellite in orbit was approaching Japan and already programmed to look at one small patch of a valley. The visual information had given them a very useful cue. Another fifty meters of the rail spur had disappeared from view between one KH-11 pass and another. The photos showed the catenary towers ordinarily used for stringing the overhead power lines needed for electrically powered trains, but the towers did not have wires on them. They had possibly been erected to make the spur look normal to commuters who traveled the route in the Bullet Trains, just one more exercise in hiding something in plain sight.
“You know, if they’d just left it alone ...” the AMTRAK guy said, looking at the overheads again.
“Yeah,” Betsy responded, checking the clock. But they hadn’t. Somebody was hanging camouflage netting on the towers, just around the first turn in the valley. The train passengers wouldn’t notice, and, given slightly better timing, the three of them wouldn’t have either. “If you were doing this, what would you do next?”
“To hide it from you guys? That’s easy,” the executive said. “I’d park track-repair cars there. That way it would look ordinary as hell, and they have the room for it. They should have done it before. Do people make mistakes like this all the time?”
“It isn’t the first,” Scott said.
“And now you’re waiting for what?” the man asked.
“You’ll see.”
Launched into orbit eight years earlier by the Space Shuttle Atlantis, the TRW-built KH-12 satellite had actually survived far beyond its programmed life, but as was true of many products made by that company—the Air Force called it “TR-Wonderful”—it just kept on ticking. The radar-reconnaissance satellite was completely out of maneuvering fuel, however, which meant you had to wait for it to get to a particular place and hope that the operating altitude was suitable to what you wanted.
It was a large cylindrical craft, over thirty feet in length, with immense “wings” of solar receptors to power the onboard Ku-band radar. The solar cells had degraded over the years in the intense radiation environment, allowing only a few minutes of operation per revolution. The ground controllers had waited what seemed a long time for this opportunity. The orbital track was northwest-to-southeast, within six degrees of being directly overhead, close enough to see straight down into the valley. They already knew a lot. The geological history of the place was clear. A river now blocked with a hydroelectric dam had cut the gorge deep. It was more canyon than valley at this point, and the steep sides had been the deciding factor in putting the missiles here. The missiles could launch vertically, but incoming warheads would be blocked from hitting them by the mountains to east and west. It didn’t make any difference whose warheads they were. The shape and course of the valley would have had the same effect on Russian RVs as Americans’. The final bit of genius was that the valley was hard rock. Each silo had natural armor. For all those reasons, Scott and Fleming had bet much of their professional reputations on the tasking orders for the KH-12.
“Right about now, Betsy,” Scott said, checking the wall clock.
&nb
sp; “What exactly will you see?”
“If they’re there, we’ll know it. You follow space technology?” Fleming asked.
“You’re talking to an original Trekkie.”
“Back in the 1980s, NASA orbited a mission, and the first thing they downloaded was a shot of the Nile delta, underground aquifers that feed into the Mediterranean Sea. We mapped them.”
“The same one did the irrigation canals down in Mexico, right, the Mayans, I think. What are you telling me?” the AMTRAK official asked.
“It was our mission, not NASA’s. We were telling the Russians that they couldn’t hide their silos from us. They got the message, too,” Mrs. Fleming explained. Right about then the secure fax machine started chirping. The signal from the KH-12 had been crosslinked to a satellite in geostationary orbit over the Indian Ocean, and from there to the U.S. mainland. Their first read on the signals would be unenhanced, but, they hoped, good enough for a fast check. Scott took the first image off the machine and set it on the table under a bright light, next to a visual print of the same place.
“Tell me what you see.”
“Okay, here’s the mainline ... oh—this thing picks up the ties. The rails are too small, eh?”
“Correct.” Betsy found the spur line. The concrete rail ties were fifteen centimeters in width, and made for a good, sharp radar return that looked like a line of offset dashes.
“It goes quite a way up the valley, doesn’t it?” The AMTRAK guy’s face was down almost on the paper, tracing with his pen. “Turn, turn. What are these?” he asked, touching the tip to a series of white circles.
Scott placed a small ruler on the sheet. “Betsy?”
“Dense-packed it, too. My, aren’t we clever. It must have cost a fortune to do this.”
