2029
Space: First orbital hotel established.
China establishes first base on Moon.
2030 (60 SE)
Econ: $1/2000 = $2.15/2030, world GDP 300 trillion
Space: Ticket cost to Mars of $500,000/person (Musk)
Robots outnumber humans in Earth orbit.
Populations:
Orbit: 43
Mars: 67
Moon/Japanese: 20
Moon/US: 15
Moon/China: 6
GeoPol: Japan will attempt to establish a sphere of influence as far away as Vladivostok, Sakhalin Island, and the Chinese coast north of Shanghai (500 mile radius). Japan will build its navy, air force, and space surveillance systems accordingly. The U.S. will need to reevaluate its view of Japan.
Reacting to the advent of ANI and brain-computer interfacing, an alliance of relativity low-tech nations with strong religious populations launches a volley of terrorist attacks, mostly cyberattacks. Some are successful in causing power and internet outages. Global surveillance networks and robotic drones enable US and others to identify and neutralize the terrorists.
2031
Energy: First Compact Fusion Reactors come online. Capable of providing power for up to 80,000 households.
Culture: Following the previous years terrorist attacks, sousveillance (open surveillance) of private activities becomes more prevalent.
Space: Meeting of UN to codify Mars colonization
2032
GeoPol: A World Council is formed to better deal with the new technologies. Similar to EU and pulls power away from the UN.
Story: Whatsoever You Do - John Jackson becomes biological researcher to find cure for viral plagues.
2033
GeoPol: World Council establishes a police, surveillance and military under the control of specialized ANI which becomes known as the “Nanny”. Human governments still regulate national laws and policies in coordination with the Nanny. The Nanny immediately detects and disrupts several potentially dangerous advanced terrorist plots.
2035
Tech: Technical developments slow because of physical limits reached in areas of semiconductors, computer speed, storage capacity.
2037
Health: Push for targeted pharmaceuticals and quicker development to meet dangers begins.
GeoPol: Last terrorist nuclear attack is aimed at Washington, D.C. U.S. government moves to Richmond
Tech: Ships, airplanes, railroads using CFRs.
Space: Compact Fusion Reactors (CFR) starting to be used in space missions.
First homestead in LEO established. First manufacturing park established in LEO.
2039
Family: Donner Starlifter Jackson born to John Jackson by second wife.
2040
Econ: $1/2000 = $2.79/2040
2043 (73 SE)
Energy: Known (as of 2000) fossil fuels depleted (Zubrin, but not according to others, see below). Methane hydrates become a viable source of natural gas. CFRs are pushing most of the fossil fuel sources out of the market.
Space: StarLifter, a maglev transportation system which can launch cargo to orbit at a cost as low as $50/kg. Maglev/C launches a 40 ton, 2 meter diameter spacecraft with 35 tons of payload. Each Maglev/C launch facility is expected to be able to ramp up to 12 launches a day with the capability to put 100,000 tons of cargo into orbit per year.
Out of thousands of Earth-like worlds, 2 have bio-markers. An international mission of robotic exploration is being put together to investigate these two worlds.
(Latest year for Thrifty Starship Dyson)
Small “O'Neill” cylinder built in Earth orbit.
Mars Pop. Initial base on Mars, reaches 606 people. Extended base building begins. (Zubrin)
GeoPol: China, struggling with internal disruption and economic decline begins a campaign to limit foreign presence.
A Washington/Beijing/Seoul alliance has emerged in response to growing Japanese military power projection.
Turkey has become the power center in its region after the Russian collapse. The Arabian Peninsula will look to Turkey for its security.
The U.S. begins to look upon Turkey as a rival because of its regional hegemony.
2045
GeoPol: Flareup with Japan and Turkey causes supporters of space control platforms to win argument. US begins development of SCCPs (Space Command & Control Platform) to cover globe. SCCPs will conduct info gathering and control of space based defenses as well as hypersonic missile technology. Pressure on Japan and Turkey grows.
2050 (80 SE)
Econ: $1/2000 = $3.6/2050
Populations:
Earth: 10.6 billion (UN), 1.5 billion over 65 (BBC 11/15/13)
Orbit: 181
Mars: 5067
Moon/Japanese: 100
Moon/US: 45
Moon/China: 36
Moon/India: 16
Space: chemical, maglev(cargo) to orbit, ion, sails, nuclear used for some deep space.
GeoPol: Europe pop. drops from 730 million to 600 million, world pop. growing 10% in second half.
Mexican pop. From 107 million(2005) to 120 million. Mexico moves from 15th largest economy into 10th. US-Mexican border confrontations.
Russian pop. drops from about 145 million to 110 million.
Japanese population has dropped from 128 million to about 107 million, 40 million are over 65 and 15 million are under 14. Now with labor concerns joining energy concerns Japan will have no choice but to attempt to become a regional power. Japan with need for resources and Turkey with need for regional stability begin confrontation with US as a trans-regional power.
Health: Life expectancy from 82(2025) to 88 advanced nations, from 66(2025) to 76 in poorest nations.
2054 (84 SE)
Energy: Fossil fuels will account for about 14% of demand, down from current level of 80%, mix will likely be coal (25%), natural gas (28%), oil (11%), renewables and others (36%) All other energy provided by compact fusion reactors
OLD Forecast:
Fossil fuels will account for about 64% of demand, down from current level of 80%, mix will likely be coal (25%), natural gas (28%), oil (11%), nuclear (11%), renewables and others (25%) (Shell’s “Mountains” primary energy scenario presented by Badr Jafar for 2060)
Tech: Many ANI (Artificial Narrow Intelligence) expert systems bordering on AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) in use.
Wearable tech monitors and warns of exposures to toxins.
3D printing allows most purchases to be realized in the home. Nanomaterials, self-assembling mechanisms, smart matter, all printable in the home.
Early intervention can disrupt formation of most major storms.
No human driven vehicles allowed on national roadways.
Personal quantum computing devices available.
Work: Majority of professions performed by robotic/expert systems. People tend to contract for work, and work longer because they live longer.
Health: Drugs targeted to personal needs common, most major disease curable or treatable. Stem cells allow testing of drugs, both clinically, and at a personal level for compatibility.
Nanobots diagnose and in some cases cure disease in the body. Almost all organs can be grown outside body and transplanted.
Telomere repair common.
Health care robots and virtual companions are common and affordable.
GeoPol: Three SCCPs are preparing to become operational.
Japan and Turkey unable to reach a compromise with US form a coalition. Japan implements first strike plan to take out US space control platforms. Turks distract US with Balkan crisis.
Story: War Through the Pines Beginning followed through eyes of Donner Jackson, age 15 in remote mountain valley.
War:
11.16.54
Discussions begin in Geneva to defuse the Balkan crisis.
11.22.54 7:48am
Japanese start war games as a diversion.
11.23
.54 12pm
Japan launches active kinetic weapon from secret moon base against SCCPs (Battle Stars). Launched in multiple trajectories, none aimed directly at SCCPs, trajectories would be corrected later.
11.26.54 12pm
Final burn on projectiles aiming them directly at SCCPs
11.26.54 3pm
SCCPs begin firing defenses but overwhelmed by number of projectiles.
11.26.54 5pm
All three SCCPs explode killing those still to be evacuated.
11.26.54 5:05pm
Confirmation of SCCP destruction, Japanese launch thousands of hypersonic robotic aircraft at US targets. Turkey then launches attacks against Polish block and India, US allies.
11.26.54 5:15pm
US space recon decimated but old system to detect ICBM launches still working. Pinpoints launches from Japan/Turkey. US hypersonics take off against targets but many are caught on the ground.
11.26.54 7pm
U.S. space and hypersonic force will be devastated. The United States will have lost command of space and have only a few hundred aircraft left. Its allies in Europe will have had their forces overwhelmed. U.S. warships around the world will have been attacked and sunk. The Indians will have lost their assets as well. The American coalition will be militarily devastated.
11.26.54 7:30pm
Japan/Turkey transmit settlement terms.
11.26.54 8:08pm
US refuses terms but is willing to negotiate.
12.04.54
Negotiations begin in Geneva.
12.07.54 7:48am
US after reconfiguring remaining space based assets and deploying secret defenses launches an attack on coalition space assets.
12.07.54 9:48am
Coalition space assets decimated, coalition essentially blind.
12.07.54 9:50am
All remaining hypersonic assets launched against Japan/Turkey, destruction is almost total.
12.08.54
US destroys Japanese moon bases. Turkey will attack Polish bloc on ground using augmented soldier.
12.29.54
Hungary is occupied.
12.30.54
Romanians sign peace treaty with Turks.
2.07.55
US launches airstrikes against Turks in support of Poles, Turkish Army suffers high losses.
4.20.55
Turks convince Germans to strike Poles. The force that will attack Poland will be quite small in terms of actual troops. The human force will consist of armored robotic infantrymen, fanned out as infantrymen usually are, but with clear and overlapping fields of fire— and these fields now will measure dozens of miles. Linked together by computer networks, they will command not only the weapons they carry but also robotic systems and hypersonic aircraft thousands of miles away that they can call on as needed.
5.1.55
British enter war with intact air force to restrain Germans.
6.1.55
Poles destroy their electric grid as they retreat to thwart Turk/German automated infantrymen. Supply lines begin to be stretched thin. Turk/Germans unable to stop them from destroying electric grid also hoping to cause Polish forces to be supplied from US. Poland goes black.
6.16.55
After two weeks of destruction Turks/Germans begin massive attack but find US/Polish bloc forces and British air support overwhelming. The US has employed a new space based system to supply power over microwaves to the ground troops.
11.26.55
US space and ground based assets rebuilt to high levels.
1.5.56
US unleashes it massively rebuilt air and space forces against the coalition. The US will stop at annihilating the coalition forces and offer a peaceful solution (no doubt owing to nuclear armaments also).
Aftermath
Turkey will have to retreat out of the Balkans but not the Caucasus. Turkey will have to accept the Chinese in central Asia. Japan will have to withdraw from China. New nations will be formed to make it hard for coalitions to again form. The US will have complete control of space, a booming economy and a new power source (space based power satellites). 50000 lives lost in war.
2055
Space: Mars colonists propose independence, UN rejects proposal Mars colonists declare self-government.
2060 (90 SE)
Econ: $1/2000 = $4.66/2060
Tech: $1000 buys a computer more intelligent than every human on Earth combined.
Space: UN base established on moon to ostensibly study, among other things, global warming.
StarLifter adds personnel transport to its capability. Up to 10000/yr at $50k each. Donner Jackson pilots first flight.
2062
Space: New UN moon base finds Earth is cooling, requires urgent action.
Ticket from earth to Mars drops to $45k.
2063
Family: Donner Jackson and Ruth immigrate to Mars.
Space: UN moon base is lost
2064
Family: Abel Jackson born to Donner (25) and Ruth on Mars.
Energy: Fossil fuels and renewables will account for about 12% of demand, mix will likely be coal (25%), natural gas (24%), oil (13%), nuclear (11%), renewables and others (27%) (Shell’s “Mountains” primary energy scenario presented by Badr Jafar) CFR account for remaining 88%.
2nd Century SE
2070
Health: Genomic writing of a human becomes possible but ethical questions block efforts.
Econ: $1/2000 = $6.02/2070
2071 (101 SE)
Space: Mars colonists establish commercial base on Earth’s moon.
40% of manufacturing now moved to industrial parks in Earth orbit.
2075
Space: UN peace keeping mission to Mars is lost during Mars entry, UN accuses colonists, colonists prove loss due to poor planning and execution.
Populations:
Earth: 11.2 billion (UN)
Orbit: 452
Mars: 62500
Moon/US: 95
Moon/China: 25
Moon/India: 30
Moon/Mars: 10
Moon/UN: 6
Health: Life expectancy from 88(2050) to 94 advanced nations, from 76(2050) to 86 in poorest nations.
Genomic tinkering becoming widespread and bringing attention from authorities.
2076
Space: chemical, ion, solar sails, Maglev/C/P, nuclear/fusion by Mars colonists(30 days to Mars, 2 months to Saturn)
Second moon base established by UN
2078 (108 SE)
Space: War on moon, UN forces lose moon war, surrender to Mars base
Ticket to Mars drops to $25,000
2079
Space: Mars colonists propose Space Federation. UN rejects Space Federation proposal. UN proposes Terran Federation for space settlements.
Mars puts up first space elevator. Ticket to Mars drops to $15,000.
GeoPol: 26 countries accept Martian proposal, withdraw from UN
2080
Econ: $1/2000 = $7.79/2080
2083
Space: First information received from planet probe launched 40 years earlier.
2087 (117 SE)
Space: First asteroid cycler, Earth to Mars orbit
Energy: OLD Forecast: Estimated (as of 2000) fossil fuels depleted
2090 (120 SE)
Econ: $1/2000 = $10.7/2090
GeoPol: 22 more countries have joined Terran Federation, leaving UN
2095
GeoPol: New Mexican/US border skirmishes break out
Russia breaks apart into eastern part and western part.
Family: John Abel Jackson born to Abel Jackson (31) on Mars.
Health: Genomic writing of human genome proscribed except in the case of genetic illnesses.
Energy: Fusion reactor operational on Mars
2100
Econ: $1/2000 = $13.02/2100, medium world GDP growth 300 trillion, high world GDP growth 1300 trillion
Populations:
Earth:
11.8 billion
Orbit: 699
Mars: 105000
From the Earth: A Future Chronology Anthology Page 25
