Implosion: India’s Tryst with Reality

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Implosion: India’s Tryst with Reality Page 47

by John Elliott


  It is, of course, possible to put a positive spin on India’s way of doing things. Shivshankar Menon, Manmohan Singh’s national security adviser, tried to do this in his November 2011 lecture on foreign policy. Answering a question about the turmoil in Indian politics and government, he said: ‘We love arguing about it [India’s problems]. We love bringing ourselves down ... that’s up to us. It’s part of the way we do our business. We make a huge amount of noise ... I tell my Chinese friends, “We do in public everything that you do in private – all the arguing, all the policy making”. At the end of it, after getting to all the extremes, we come somehow to the middle and we find our way through, and we normally find a good solution, so I’m not worried by turmoil – turmoil is creative, tension is creative, and it works.’

  The second part of the editor’s remark raised a more vital point – that powerful vested interests do not want India’s problems to be tackled and therefore impede effective government. The elite, I suggested in the article, had shuddered since 1947 at the prospect of the poorly fed and poorly educated half of the population rapidly entering mainstream society. That elite has expanded massively in recent years to include the newly rich and powerful, who have their own vested interests in resisting change. Sooner or later, I wrote, the electorate would tire of non-performing governments. Then a new grouping would emerge, led by younger politicians ‘probably involving the Congress without Sonia Gandhi in the lead’. India would then move forward again, as it always does. Quite possibly, a national crisis would suddenly trigger change and help to set the country on a new course, as had happened in 1991. I thought, however, that the dominant picture would continue to be the dichotomy of a country that was becoming internationally important in geo-political and economic terms, but whose democracy was becoming anarchic. That was not the India I had seen when I arrived in India in the 1980s when newspaper headlines and politicians’ speeches were peppered with phrases saying the country was ‘poised for take-off ‘ and ‘on the springboard for success’.

  The question now is whether India has reached that point when it will move forward. Certainly, the government of Manmohan Singh and Sonia Gandhi has led people to ‘tire of non-performing governments’. There is a generational change in prospect with Rahul Gandhi, 42, emerging at the top of the Congress party to challenge Narendra Modi, the 63-year-old controversial and abrasive chief minister of Gujarat who is the BJP’s prime ministerial candidate. But they are both being challenged by a popular movement that started with the country-wide anti-corruption protests three years ago and led on to the mass demonstrations over rape and the treatment of women at the end of 2012. Out of this emerged the Aam Aadmi Party, led by Arvind Kejriwal, 45, which has provided a platform for people to become part of a movement that could be an alternative to self-serving and corrupt national and regional political parties. India’s middle classes – especially the young – are not (yet) cohesive enough to be mobilised to fight collectively for change, but they are angry enough to spread the AAP’s presence. How far Kejriwal can go, having conquered New Delhi and become chief minister, is hard to judge. The AAP’s best chance of making a difference would be to grow as a minority party that maybe forces established politicians to change the way they behave.

  In his independence speech in 1947, Jawaharlal Nehru used the memorable phrase ‘tryst with destiny’. India is now facing its tryst with reality, not just over immediate problems of economic growth and a weak government, but over its long-term failure to tackle mounting problems in the way that democracy functions. On my first visit to India in 1982, my driver from the Taj Hotel in Bombay had gone up the wrong side of a central reservation on the road to Pune. When I asked him why, his charming reply was, ‘Don’t worry, sahib, both roads go same place’. That, I had soon learned, was a metaphor for the way India likes to work, but it is no longer apt. There are choices to be made about which way India will go – whether democracy will continue to provide a cover for the country’s inequality, injustice, corruption and appalling governance, or whether new and younger political leaders and a more vocal expanding middle class will ensure that India, with all its advantages of history, culture, brain power and aspiration, avoids the risk of implosion.

  Notes

  1. Examples of Manmohan Singh using the phrase are here http://www.mydigitalfc.com/news/i-am-not-blocking-deal-jpc-says-pm-750 and http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/upa-government-bows-to-allies-mamata-banerjee-m-karunanidhi/1/178501.html

  2. Vikram S. Mehta, now chairman, Brookings India, in conversation with JE, and in an article, ‘Dimming of Brand India, Indian Express’, 2 September 2013, http://m.indianexpress.com/news/dimming-of-brand-india/1163302/

  3. JE, ‘A BMW kills six, no questions asked. India has become ungovernable. But who cares? Good government might threaten the elite’, New Statesman, 22 April 2002, http://www.newstatesman.com/node/142790?quicktabs_most_read=0

  Index

  Aadhaar biometric identification scheme

  Aam Aadmi Party (AAP)

  Abdullah, Farooq

  Abdullah, Omar

  Abdullah, Sheikh

  accountability

  Actual Ground Position Line (AGPL)

  Adani Group

  Aditya Birla Group

  administrative problems

  Advanced Radio Masts (ARM), Hyderabad

  Aeronautical Development Agency (ADA)

  Afghanistan

  Afro-Asian Games

  Agni

  AGNI V

  agricultural credit and finance systems

  Ahluwalia, Isher

  Ahluwalia, Montek Singh

  Ahuja, Gautam

  Air Deccan

  Air India

  Aiyar, Mani Shankar

  Aiyar, Swaminathan

  Akash surface-to-air missile

  Akbar, M.J.

  akhara (sect of Hindu Sadhus)

  Aksai Chin

  Alcan, Canada

  Alcatel, France

  Alcatel-Lucent

  Alfred, King

  All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK)

  Alpha Technologies

  Ambani, Anil

  Ambani, Dhirubhai

  Ambani, Mukesh

  Ambanis

  Ambassador car

  Ambedkar, Bhim Rao

  Amethi, Uttar Pradesh

  Anand, J.S.

  Anatronic

  Andaman and Nicobar Islands

  Andhra Pradesh: business communities, corruption scandals, economic growth, irrigation in the 1800,s

  Andhra Pradesh Beverages Corporation

  Anne, Princess

  Antony, A.K.

  appropriate technology

  Arab Spring uprisings

  Araku Valley

  Arcelor Mittal

  Arjun battle tank

  Armellini, Antonio

  Army jeep scandal

  Arora, G.S.

  Arunachal Pradesh (North-East Frontier Agency): Chinese excursions

  Asian community in America

  Asian Games (1982)

  Asia-Pacific region and China, American initiative

  Association for Democratic Reforms

  Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN)

  Atlas Cycles

  Augusta Westland Company

  Aung San Suu Kyi

  Aurobindo Pharma

  Austin-Morris Mini

  authoritarianism

  auto industry

  automated logistics systems and warehousing

  Azad Kashmir

  Baalu, T.R.

  Badal, Prakash Singh

  BAE Systems

  Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP)

  Baijal, Pradip

  Bajaj in autos

  Bajpai, K. Shankar

  Bajpai, Kanti

  Balwa, Shahid

  Bandaranaike dynasty

  Bandra–Worli Sea Link

  Banerjee, Mamata. see also Singur and Nandigram

  Bangladesh, Awami
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  League, dynastic rivalries, liberation war (1971). see also Pakistan

  banking and insurance regulation

  Bansal, Pawan

  Barak missile systems

  Baru, Sanjaya

  Basu, Jyoti

  bauxite mining

  BBC

  Beant Singh

  Bedi, Rahul

  Beejna, Panipat, Haryana

  Bennett Coleman group

  Bentley

  Bhagat, Chetan

  Bhagavadgita

  Bhalla, Surjit

  Bharat Carpet Manufacturers

  Bharat Dynamics

  Bharat Earth Movers (BEML)

  Bharat Electronics

  Bharat Forge

  Bharathi Cement

  Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), led coalition

  Bhargava, Jitendra

  Bhargava, R.C.

  Bharti Airtel

  Bhartiya, Shobhana

  Bhaskar group

  Bhaskar, Uday

  Bhattacharjee, Buddhadeb

  Bhattacharya, Ranjan

  Bhopal gas tragedy

  Bhushan

  Bhutan, and Indo-China relations dynastic rule to democracy, Gross National Happiness (GNH)

  Bhutto family

  Bhutto, Benazir

  Bhutto, Zulfiqar Ali

  Bihar: lack of governance

  Biju Janata Dal (BJD)

  biotechnology regulations

  Birla, Aditya

  Birla, Kumar Mangalam

  Bissel, Bim

  black-marketing of construction material. see also corruption and bribery

  Blackwill, Robert

  Board of Control for Cricket in India (BCCI)

  Boeing

  Boeing Lockheed Martin’s aircraft

  Bofors gun corruption scandal black listing unbanned agents

  Bosch

  Bose, Sumantra

  Brahmaputra river

  Brahmo missiles

  British Morris Oxfords

  Brookings Institution

  BT brinjal (genetically modified version of vegetable)

  bureaucracy: and companies, nexus, corruption, hierarchy, politicization, tendering processes

  Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) System

  Bush family

  Bush, George

  business class in India

  Business Standard

  business transformation after reforms

  C& C Alpha Group

  Cambodia

  Cameron, David

  capital dislocation

  capitalism

  Carmel Asia Holdings

  cash compensatory scheme

  Cass, Alain

  caste system

  Castro, Fidel

  cement prices, decontrol

  Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI)

  central government and states, clashes

  Centre for Science and Environment (CSE)

  Chaddha, Win

  Chander, Avinash

  Chandra, Naresh

  Chandrashekhar

  Chaudhary, Rahul

  Chautala, Ajay

  Chautala, Om Prakash

  Chawla, Kalpana

  Chellaney, Brahma

  Chemon group

  Chennai Superkings

  Chidambaram, P.

  child motality

  China, aggression in East China Sea biggest weapon importer till Communist Party, corruption, Cultural Revolution, (late s), defence capability, economic development, economic reforms, has encircled India and Indo-US relations Pakistan, relations/military aid to Peoples’ Liberation Army (PLA) State Grid Corporation, Tiger farms

  China and India, relations: Agreement on the Maintenance of Peace and Tranquility (1993), border disputes , business security risks future contours Himalayan struggles Panchsheel Agreement war (1962)

  Cho Soung-Sik

  Chou en-Lai. see Zhou Enlai

  Choudhrie, Sudhir ‘Bunny’

  Churchill, Winston

  civil services and judiciary, undermining

  climate change

  Clinton, Bill

  Clinton, Hilary

  Coal India

  coal, coal mines, corruption and bribery, Coalgate and development projects and environmental clearances, freed from industrial licensing production management, crises. see also mining, illegal

  coalition governments, compulsions

  coastal development guidelines

  Cohen, Stephen P.

  Cold War

  colonization

  Commonwealth Games (2010) inefficiency, bad governance, shoddy work and corruption Swiss firm’s contract for the games

  Commonwealth Games Organizing Committee

  Communist Party of India (CPI)

  Communist Party of India (Marxist) {CPI(M)}

  Comptroller and Auditor General (CAG), and RTI

  Confederation of Indian Industry (CII)

  Congress, and Andhra scam, corruption, defeated in Delhi (2013), dynastic politics (families galore), and Rahul Gandhi Sonia years split, and Telangana issue, won general elections (1991) (2004), Youth

  Conran, Terence

  Constitution of India

  consumerism

  Continental Resources, United States

  Controller General of Defence

  Accounts (CGDA)

  Controller of Capital Issue

  Cooper, Ken

  Corbusier, Le

  corporate taxation laws

  corruption and bribery, and loss of architectural and cultural legacy in bureaucracy, Commonwealth Games (2010), on defence contracts in democracy and dynastic ambitions, and environment, and plunder of land, of public institutions, protests and pressure against, and unauthorized colonies, see also right to information

  Corus

  Cotton, Arthur Thomas

  counterterrorism policies

  Crate & Barrel

  cricket match-fixing scandal

  Crown Corporation

  Cuban missile crisis

  current account deficit

  Czechoslovakia

  Daewoo

  Daiichi Sankyo

  Dalai Lama

  Dalmia

  Damodaran, Harish

  Darshan,

  Das, Tarun

  Dasgupta, Rana

  Dasgupta, Sunil

  Dassault of France

  DB Realty

  Deccan Plateau rock landscape,

  decision-making and execution

  defence: capability deals, use of agents and payment of commission development and production programmes, equipment India, the largest buyer, graft, foreign manufacturers and suppliers being blacklisted public failings public sector units (DPSUs) , purchasing procedure (DPP) (2011)-(2013), research and production corporations Russia-assisted missile programme

  Defence Research and Development Authority (DRDO)

  Delhi restrictions on development

  Delhi class destroyer

  Delhi Development Authority (DDA)

  Delhi gang rape case (Nirbhaya): brutal policing a frightened government punishment to rapists a repressed patriarchal society waves of protest

  Delhi-Gurgaon project

  Delhi-Jaipur highway

  Delhi Metro Rail Corporation (DMRC)

  Delhi Mumbai Industrial Corridor (DMIC) project

  democracy and political dynasties

  demographic disaster

  demographic dividend

  Denel company

  Deng Xiaoping

  deregulation

  devaluation

  developers and governments relationship

  development: and displacement and land scams, opportunities waste

  Devi, Rabri

  Dhar, P.N.

  Dharavi, Mumbai

  Dharma, Odisha

  Dhawan, R.K.

  Dikshit, Sheila

  disaster aversion and management

  discretionary powers

  distrust in public life

  D
ixit, Mani

  DLF (Delhi Land and Finance)

  domestic controls over production

  domestic manufacturing industry

  domestic priorities

  Dongriya Kondh tribals

  Dr. Reddy’s Laboratory

  Dravida Munnettra Kazhagam (DMK)

  Drèze, Jean

  dual-use technologies

  Dubey, Suman

  Dwivedi, Janardhan

  dynastic surge, dynastic politics

  East China sea

  ecological security

  economic and social changes

  economic development and growth, impact of reforms

  economic performance, decline

  economic reforms China and India, comparison Gandhis’ blockage to impact on economic growth lessons and debate Manmohan’s over-stated role political viability second generation, eak

  consensus for

  Egeland, Jan

  election(s): campaigns, cost, and corruption

  Election Commission

  electoral politics

  electricity reforms

  electronic voting machines

  Electronics Corporation of India Limited (ECIL)

  Emergency (1975–1977). see also Gandhi Indira Gandhi, Sanjay

  Enforcement Directorate (ED)

  English language advantage with India

  Enron

  environment, loss of, versus development, neglect

  environmental clearances

  environmental laws and regulations

  Ericsson

  Essar

  Etisalat of Abu Dhabi

  Eureka

  Eurofighter

  European Economic Community (EEC)

  export-import controls

  Fab City, Maheshwaram

  Fabindia

  Facebook

  facilitation payments

  family bonds, breakdown

  farm houses

  fatalism and inevitability of chalta hai

  fatka

  fault lines

  Federation of Mining Industries

  Fernandes, George

  Fiat

  FICCI

  financial crisis

  Financial Times

  Finmeccanica helicopters’ corruption allegations

  fire safety

  fiscal deficit

 

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