Countdown: Our Last, Best Hope for a Future on Earth?

by Alan Weisman

  Klein, Alice. “Uganda’s Fledgling Oil Industry Could Undermine Development Progress.” Guardian (UK), December 12, 2011.

  Lirri, Evelyn. “The Tragedy of the Nation’s Many Unwanted Pregnancies.” Monitor (Uganda), May 28, 2011.

  Loconte, Joseph. “The White House Initiative to Combat AIDS: Learning from Uganda.” Heritage Foundation Backgrounder, no. 1692 (September 29, 2003).

  Maykuth, Andrew. “Uncertain Times in the Impenetrable Forest.” Philadelphia Inquirer, Sunday Magazine, April 23, 2000.

  Nanteza, Winnie. “Will Mother Nature Survive Population Pressure?” New Vision (Uganda), July 7, 2010.

  Nordland, Rod. “Death March.” Newsweek, March 14, 1999.

  Palacios, G., L. J. Lowenstine, M. R. Cranfield, K. V. K. Gilardi, L. Spelman, M. Lukasik-Braum, et al. “Human Metapneumovirus Infection in Wild Mountain Gorillas, Rwanda.” Emerging Infectious Diseases, vol. 17, no. 4 (April 2011).

  Plumptre, A. J., A. Kayitare, H. Rainer, M. Gray, I. Munanura, N. Barakabuye, S. Asuma, M. Sivha, and A. Namara. “The Socio-economic Status of People Living Near Protected Areas in the Central Albertine Rift.” Albertine Rift Technical Reports, vol. 4 (2004): 127.

  Songa, Martha. “Stop Talking and Take Action on Reproductive Health.” New Vision, July 5, 2011.

  “3 Rebels Charged in U.S. Tourist Killings.” Chicago Tribune, March 4, 2003.

  Tumusha, Joseph. “The Politics of HIV/AIDS in Uganda.” Social Policy and Development Programme, Paper Number 28. United Nations Research Institute for Social Development, August 2006.

  “Uganda Biodiversity and Tropical Forest Assessment.” U.S. Agency for International Development. Final report, July 2006.

  Wambi, Michael. “When Women Go Without Needed Contraceptives.” InterPress Service-Uganda, June 28, 2011.

  Wax, Emily. “Ugandans Say Facts, Not Abstinence, Will Win AIDS War.” Washington Post, July 9, 2003.

  Chapter Eight: The Great Wall of People

  BOOKS

  Fong, Vanessa L. Only Hope: Coming of Age Under China’s One-Child Policy. Palo Alto, CA: Stanford University Press, 2004.

  Greenhalgh, Susan. Just One Child: Science and Policy in Deng’s China. Berkeley: University of California Press, 2008.

  Hvistendahl, Mara. Unnatural Selection: Choosing Boys Over Girls, and the Consequences of a World Full of Men. New York: Public Affairs, 2011.

  Meadows, Donella, Dennis Meadows, Jørgen Randers, and W. W. Behrens III. The Limits to Growth. New York: Universe Books, 1972.

  Shapiro, Judith. Mao’s War Against Nature: Politics and the Environment in Revolutionary China (Studies in Environment and History). New York: Cambridge University Press, 2001.

  Watts, Jonathan. When a Billion Chinese Jump: How China Will Save Mankind—Or Destroy It. London: Faber & Faber, 2010.

  ARTICLES

  Bethune, Brian. “The Women Shortage: Interview with Mara Hvistendahl, Beijing Correspondent for Science Magazine.” Maclean’s, June 14, 2011.

  Brinkley, Joel. “Abortion Opponents Play Chinese Dissident Card.” San Francisco Chronicle, June 30, 2012.

  Brown, Lester R. “Can the United States Feed China?” Plan B Updates, Earth Policy Release, March 23, 2011.

  Burkitt, Laurie. “Agency Move Hints at Shift in China’s One-Child Policy.” Wall Street Journal, Eastern edition (New York), March 11, 2013.

  “Buying Farmland Abroad: Outsourcing’s Third Wave.” The Economist, May 21, 2009.

  “China to Maintain Family Planning Policy: Official.” Xinhua News Agency (China), March 11, 2013. http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/90785/8162924.html.

  Collins, Gabe, and Andrew Erickson. “The 10 Biggest Cities in China That You’ve Probably Never Heard of.” China SignPost, no. 37, June 1, 2011.

  Cruz, Anthony dela. “Chinese Investments in the Philippines.” China Business, June, 2008.

  Daily, Gretchen C. “Conservation and Development for the 21st Century: Harmonizing with Nature.” PowerPoint presentation to the Chinese Academy of Sciences, September 24, 2010.

  Earle, Christopher J., ed. “Gymnosperms of Sichuan.” The Gymnosperm Database, November 11, 2011. http://www.conifers.org/topics/sichuan.php.

  Ehrlich, Paul R., Peter M. Kareiva, and Gretchen C. Daily. “Securing Natural Capital and Expanding Equity to Rescale Civilization.” Nature, vol. 486 (June 2012): 68–73.

  Ennaanay, Driss. “InVEST: A Tool for Mapping and Valuing Hydrological Ecosystem Services.” PowerPoint presentation to the Chinese Academy of Sciences, September 24, 2010.

  Gittings, John. “Growing Sex Imbalance Shocks China.” Guardian (UK), May 12, 2002.

  Goodkind, Daniel. “Child Underreporting, Fertility, and Sex Ratio Imbalance in China.” Demography, vol. 48, no. 1 (February 2011): 291–316.

  Greenhalgh, Susan. “Fresh Winds in Beijing: Chinese Feminists Speak Out on the One-Child Policy and Women’s Lives.” Signs (University of Chicago Press), vol. 26, no. 3 (Spring 2001): 847–86.

  _______.“Science, Modernity, and the Making of China’s One-Child Policy.” Population and Development Review, vol. 29, no. 2 (June 2003): 163–96.

  “Growing Urban Population Strains Chinese Cities.” Agence France-Presse. June 26, 2011.

  Gupta, Monica Das. “Explaining Asia’s ‘Missing Women’: A New Look at the Data.” Population and Development Review, vol. 31, no. 3 (September 2005): 529–35.

  “Hope in Reforming China’s One-Child Rule?” The Economist, July 25, 2011.

  Huang, Shu-tse. “China’s Views on Major Issues of World Population.” Speech to the 1974 United Nations World Population Conference, Peking Review, no. 35, August 30, 1974.

  Hvistendahl, Mara. “Has China Outgrown the One-Child Policy?” Science, vol. 329, no. 5998 (September 2010): 1458–61.

  _______.“Of Population Projections and Projectiles.” Science, vol. 329, no. 5998 (September 2010): 1460.

  Jiang, Steven. “Forced Abortion Sparks Outrage, Debate in China.” CNN, June 15, 2012.

  Jihong, Liu, Ulla Larsen, and Grace Wyshak. “Factors Affecting Adoption in China, 1950–87.” Population Studies, vol. 58, no. 1 (March 2004): 21–36.

  Johansson, Sten, and Ola Nygren. “The Missing Girls of China: A New Demographic Account.” Population and Development Review, vol. 17, no. 1 (March 1991): 35–51.

  Jones, David. “The Baby Panda Factory.” Daily Mail (UK), July 30, 2010.

  Kim, Hyung-Jin, and Yu Bing. “South Korea Finds Smuggled Capsules Contain Human Flesh.” Associated Press, May 8, 2012.

  Larsen, Janet. “Meat Consumption in China Now Double That in the United States.” Plan B Updates, Earth Policy Institute, April 24, 2012.

  “Learning Chinese: Budget Brides from Vietnam.” Globaltimes.cn, April 23, 2012. http://www.globaltimes.cn/DesktopModules/DnnForge%20-%20NewsArticles/Print.aspx?tabid=99&tabmoduleid=94&articleId=706219&moduleId=405&PortalID=0.

  Li, Jie, Marcus W. Feldman, Shuzhuo Li, and Gretchen C. Daily. “Rural Household Income and Inequality Under the Sloping Land Conversion Program in Western China.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, May 10, 2011.

  Li, Laifang, Xu Xiaoqing, and Xu Yang. “Population Policy to Be Improved.” Xinhua News Agency (China), March 5, 2013. http://www.xinhuanet.com.

  “The Loneliness of the Chinese Birdwatcher.” The Economist, December 18, 2008.

  Merli, M. Giovanna. “Underreporting of Births and Infant Deaths in Rural China: Evidence from Field Research in One County of Northern China.” China Quarterly, no. 155 (September 1998): 637–55.

  Moore, Malcolm. “China’s Mega City: The Country’s Existing Mega Cities.” Telegraph (UK), January 24, 2011.

  Myers, Norman, Russell A. Mittermeier, Cristina G. Mittermeier, Gustavo A. B. da Fonseca, and Jennifer Kent. “Biodiversity Hotspots for Conservation Priorities.” Nature, vol. 403 (February 2000): 853–58.

  Oster, Shai. “China: New Dam Builder for the World.” Wall Street Journal, December 28, 2007.

  _______.“China Traf
fic Jam Could Last Weeks.” Asia News, August 24, 2010.

  Ouyang, Zhiyun. “Ecosystem Services Valuation and Its Applications.” PowerPoint presentation to the Chinese Academy of Sciences, September 24, 2010.

  Patranobis, Sutirtho. “China Softens Its One-Child Policy.” Hindustan Times (Beijing), March 7, 2013.

  Peng, Xizhe. “China’s Demographic History and Future Challenges.” Science, vol. 333, no. 6042 (2011): 581–87.

  Pinghui, Zhuang. “Officials Suspended After Forced Late-Term Abortion.” South China Morning Post, June 15, 2012.

  Roberts, Dexter. “China Prepares for Urban Revolution.” Bloomberg Businessweek, November 13, 2008.

  Rosenthal, Elisabeth. “China’s Widely Flouted One-Child Policy Undercuts Its Census.” New York Times, April 14, 2000.

  “Second Probe into Capsules ‘Made from Dead Babies.’ ” Shanghai Daily, May 9, 2012.

  “South-to-North Water Diversion Project, China.” Water-technology.net. Net Resources International, 2012. http://www.water-technology.net/projects/south_north/.

  Springer, Kate. “Soaring to Sinking: How Building Up Is Bringing Shanghai Down.” Time, May 21, 2012.

  Sudworth, John. “Chinese Officials Apologize to Woman in Forced Abortion.” BBC News, June 15, 2012.

  Thayer Lodging Group. “What Is the Opportunity in China?” PowerPoint Presentation, October 2, 2011. http://www.hotelschool.cornell.edu/about/dean/documents/.

  Wang, Yukuan. “Ecosystem Service Assessment and Management.” PowerPoint Presentation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, September 24, 2010.

  Webel, Sebastian. “Sustainability Boom.” Pictures of the Future Magazine (Siemens), Spring 2012: 90–94. http://www.siemens.com/pof.

  Webster, Paul, and Jason Burke. “How the Rise of the Megacity Is Changing the Way We Live.” Observer (UK), January 21, 2012.

  Weiss, Kenneth R. “Beyond 7 Billion: The China Effect.” Los Angeles Times, July 22, 2012.

  Wines, Michael. “Qian Xuesen, Father of China’s Space Program, Dies at 98.” New York Times, November 3, 2009.

  Wong, Edward. “Reports of Forced Abortions Fuel Push to End Chinese Law.” New York Times, July 22, 2012.

  “The Worldwide War on Baby Girls.” Economist, March 4, 2010.

  Yi, Zeng, Tu Ping, Gu Baochang, Xu Yi, Li Bohua, and Li Yongping. “Causes and Implications of the Recent Increase in the Reported Sex Ratio at Birth in China.” Population and Development Review, vol. 19, no. 2 (June 1993): 283–302.

  Yin, Runsheng, Jintao Xu, Zhou Li, and Can Liu. “China’s Ecological Rehabilitation: The Unprecedented Efforts and Dramatic Impacts of Reforestation and Slope Protection in Western China.” China Environment Series (Wilson Center), no. 7 (2005): 17–32.

  Zhao, Xing. “Chinese Men Head to Vietnam for the Perfect Wife.” CNN-Go, February 19, 2010. http://www.cnngo.com/shanghai/.

  Chapter Nine: The Sea

  BOOKS

  Aliño, Porfirio M. Atlas of Philippine Coral Reefs. Quezon City, Philippines: Goodwill Trading Co., 2002.

  Bain, David Haward. Sitting in Darkness: Americans in the Philippines. New York: Houghton Mifflin, 1984.

  Coastal Resource Management Project/Fisheries Resource Management Project/Department of Agriculture. Coastal Resource Management for Food Security. Makati City, Philippines: The Bookmark, Inc., 1999.

  Concepcion, Mercedes B., ed. Population of the Philippines. Manila: Population Institute, University of the Philippines, 1977.

  Goldoftas, Barbara. The Green Tiger: The Costs of Ecological Decline in the Philippines. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2006.

  Kiple, Kenneth F., and Kriemhild Coneè Ornelas, eds. The Cambridge World History of Food. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2000.

  ARTICLES

  Alave, Kristine L. “Contraception Is Corruption.” Philippine Daily Inquirer, August 5, 2012.

  Anderson, Maren C. “History and Future of Population-Health-Environment Programs: Evolution of Funding and Programming.” MPP Professional Paper, University of Minnesota, 2010.

  Annual Report 2010, PATH Foundation Philippines.

  Aragon-Choudhury, Perla. “11 Filipinas Die in Childbirth Daily—What About Their Rights to Prenatal Care?” Womens Feature Service, September 9, 2010.

  Barclay, Adam. “Hybridizing the World.” Rice Today, October/December 2010: 32–35.

  Barlaan, Karl Allan, and Christian Cardiente. “So We Would All Be Informed: Dissecting the Flood Problem in Metro Manilan.” Manila Standard Today, August 8, 2011. http://www.manilastandardtoday.com/insideOpinion.htm?f=2011/.

  “Birth Control Proponents Retreat on 2 Key Fronts.” Manila Standard, March 26, 2011.

  “Bishop Open to Plebiscite on RH Bill.” GMA News, November 17, 2010. http://www.gmanews.tv/story/206151/bishop-open-to-plebiscite-on-rh-billLBG/VVP/RSJ, GMANews.TV.

  Boncocan, Karen. “RH Bill Finally Signed into Law.” Philippine Daily Inquirer, December 28, 2012.

  “Budget for Condoms from P880M to Zero.” Philippine Daily Inquirer, December 18, 2010.

  Bugna-Barrer, Sahlee. “Increasing Population and Growing Demand Push Biodiversity to Its Limits.” Business Mirror, July 8, 2012.

  Cabacungan, Gil. “UN to Stop Funding Philippine Population Plan.” Philippine Daily Inquirer, September 1, 2011. http://www.mb.com.ph/articles/351065/unity-earth-population-devt-last-two-parts.

  Calonzo, Andreo. “Pacquiao Says Marquez KO Strengthened His Opposition to RH Bill.” GMA News Online, December 13, 2012. http://www.gmanetwork.com/news/story/286164/news/nation/.

  Carpenter, Kent E., and Victor G. Springer. “The Center of the Center of Marine Shore Fish Biodiversity: The Philippine Islands.” Environmental Biology of Fishes, vol. 72 (2005): 467–80.

  Castro, Joan R., and Leona A. D’Agnes. “Fishing for Families: Reproductive Health and Integrated Coastal Management in the Philippines.” Focus on Population, Environment, and Security, no. 15 (April 2008).

  _______, and Carmina Angel Aquino. “Mainstreaming Reproductive Health and Integrated Coastal Management in Local Governance: The Philippines Experience.” Prepared for the CZAP conference: Cebu, Philippines, 2004. PATH Foundation Philippines.

  “Catholics Criticize, Praise Aquino over Family Planning.” Sun Star Davao, September 30, 2010. http://www.sunstar.com.ph/davao/local-news/catholics-criticize-praise-aquino-over-family-planning.

  “Catholics Launch ‘Anti-RH with a Smile’ Campaign.” GMA News, July 22, 2011.

  “China Sets Up Yuan Longping Institute of Science and Technology.” People’s Daily, August 7, 2000.

  “Church OKs Info Drive on Family Planning.” Philippine Daily Inquirer, December 20, 2010.

  D’Agnes, Leona A. Overview Integrated Population and Coastal Resource Management (IPOPCORM) Approach. PATH Foundation Philippines, January 2009.

  _______, Heather D’Agnes, J. Brad Schwartz, Maria Lourdes Amarillo, and Joan Castro. “Integrated Management of Coastal Resources and Human Health Yields Added Value: A Comparative Study in Palawan (Philippines).” Environmental Conservation, vol. 37, no. 4 (2010): 1–12.

  “Demographic Trends in Philippines Marine Biodiversity Conservation Priority Areas.” PATH Foundation Philippines, November 2009.

  Diokno, Benjamin E. “RH Bill over the Hump.” BusinessWorld, December 19, 2012.

  Domingo, Ronnel. “Large Population May Boost Economic Growth, Says BSP: But Raising Purchasing Power Is Crucial.” Philippine Daily Inquirer, October 24, 2010.

  Eaton, Sam. “Food for 9 Billion: Turning the Population Tide in the Philippines.” PBS NewsHour, January 23, 2012.

  Esguerra, Christian V. “Why Pacquiao Voted No Even if He’s No Longer a Catholic.” Philippine Daily Inquirer, December 14, 2012.

  “EU to Infuse 35M to Support PHLs Health System Reforms.” GMA News, April 15, 2011.

  “Facts on Barriers to Contraceptive Use in the Philippines.” Guttmacher Institute, In Brief Series, May 2010.

  “Forsaken Lives: The Harmful Impact of the Phi
lippine Criminal Abortion Ban.” Center for Reproductive Rights, 2010.

  Gutierrez, Jason. “Fewer Bites for Philippine Fishermen.” Agence France-Presse, July 8, 2011.

  Hamilton, Ruaraidh Sackville. “Agricultural Biodiversity: The Lasting Legacy of Early Farmers.” Rice Today, October–December 2010.

  Herdt, R. W., and C. Capule. Adoption, Spread, and Production Impact of Modern Rice Varieties in Asia. International Rice Research Institute, Los Banos, Laguna, Philippines: 1983.

  IPOPCORM Monograph. “Overview, Key Lessons & Challenges.” PATH Foundation Philippines, September 2007.

  Javier, Luzi Ann. “Philippines May Lose 600,000 Tons Rice from Typhoon.” Bloomberg, October 18, 2010.

  Jimenez-David, Rina. “At Large: The Shadow of the A Word.” Philippine Daily Inquirer, August 10, 2010.

  Khan, Natasha, and Norman P. Aquino. “Condom Queues Incite Church Tensions in Philippines.” Bloomberg, March 27, 2012.

  Li, Jiming, Xin Yeyun, and Yuan Longping. “Hybrid Rice Technology Development: IFPRI Discussion Paper 00918.” International Food Policy Research Institute, November 2009.

  Lynch, Wyeth. “General Studies on Hybrid Rice.” China National Hybrid Rice Research and Development Center, 2004.

  Manson, Jamie L. “Church’s Ban on Contraception Starves Families and Damages Ecosystem.” National Catholic Review, Grace Margins (blog), February 6, 2012. http://ncronline.org/blogs.

  Manthorpe, Jonathan. “Lawmakers Back Away from Family Planning Bill.” Vancouver Sun, November 19, 2012.

  Maramag, Sarah Katrina. “Overseas Filipino Nurses, Ailing Healers.” Philippine Online Chronicles, July 10, 2010.

  McDonald, Mark. “In Philippines, a Turning Point on Contraception.” New York Times, December 18, 2012.

  “Meeting Women’s Contraceptive Needs in the Philippines.” Guttmacher Institute, In Brief Series, no. 1, 2009.

  Michael, Christopher. “C4 Rice and Hoping the Sun Can End Hunger: Tales of Plants, Evolution, Transgenics and Crisis.” PhD diss., University of California, Davis, 2012. ProQuest (UMI 3540557).

  “ ‘Miracle Rice’ Finding Proves We Can Never Stop Rice Breeding.” International Rice Research Institute, E! Science News, Earth & Climate, October 8, 2010. http://esciencenews.com/articles/2010/10/08/miracle.rice.finding.proves.we.can.never.stop.rice.breeding.