The Future: Six Drivers of Global Change

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The Future: Six Drivers of Global Change Page 65

by Al Gore


  311 woman who was not a candidate for traditional reconstructive surgery

  “Transplant Jaw Made by 3D Printer Claimed as First,” BBC News, February 6, 2012, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-16907104.

  312 field of transplantation because of the current shortage of organs

  Ibid.

  313 regenerative medicine scientists at Wake Forest University

  Wake Forest Baptist Medical Center, press release, “Lab-Engineered Kidney Project Reaches Early Milestone,” June 21, 2012; Wake Forest Baptist Medical Center, press release, “Researchers Engineer Miniature Human Livers in the Lab,” October 30, 2010.

  314 precisely copied the size and shape of the windpipe

  Henry Fountain, “A First: Organs Tailor-Made with Body’s Own Cells,” New York Times, September 16, 2012.

  315 sensed the matrix of the scaffolding being broken down

  Henry Fountain, “Human Muscle, Regrown on Animal Scaffolding,” New York Times, September 17, 2012.

  316 developing silicon nanowires a thousand times smaller

  Elizabeth Landieu, “When Organs Become Cyborgs,” CNN, August 29, 2012.

  317 which the U.S. shares with all other countries besides Iran

  Stephen J. Dubner, “Human Organs for Sale, Legally, in … Which Country?,” Freakonomics blog, April 29, 2008, http://www.freakonomics.com/2008/04/29/human-organs-for-sale-legally-in-which-country/.

  318 transplantation into people living in wealthy countries

  “Organ Black Market Booming,” UPI, May 28, 2012.

  319 “the longest chain of kidney transplants ever constructed”

  Kevin Sack, “60 Lives, 30 Kidneys, All Linked,” New York Times, February 19, 2012.

  320 “organ donor” as one of the items to be updated

  Matt Richtel and Kevin Sack, “Facebook Is Urging Members to Add Organ Donor Status,” New York Times, May 1, 2012.

  321 the process to print more advanced artificial limbs

  Ashlee Vance, “3-D Printing Spurs a Manufacturing Revolution,” New York Times, September 14, 2010.

  322 using it to make numerous medical implants

  “The Printed World,” Economist, February 10, 2011.

  323 print vaccines and pharmaceuticals from basic chemicals

  Tim Adams, “The ‘Chemputer’ That Could Print Out Any Drug,” Guardian, July 21, 2012.

  324 essentially the same product

  Eric Topol, The Creative Destruction of Medicine: How the Digital Revolution Will Create Better Health Care (New York: Basic Books, 2012), ch. 10.

  325 activated by shining a laser light on them from outside the body

  Avi Schroeder et al., “Remotely Activated Protein-Producing Nanoparticles,” Nano Letters 2, no. 6 (2012): 2685–89; George Dvorsky, “Microscopic Machines Could Produce Medicine Directly Inside Your Body,” io9, July 29, 2012, http://io9.com/5922447/microscopic-machines-could-produce-medicine-directly-inside-your-body.

  326 Specialized prosthetics for the brain

  Cookson, “Healthcare: Into the Cortex.”

  327 digital devices on the surface of the brain and, in some cases, deeper within the brain

  Wilson, “Bionic Brains and Beyond”; Allison Abbott, “Brain Implants Have Long-Lasting Effect on Depression,” Nature, February 7, 2011.

  328 activate and direct the movement of robots with their thoughts

  Cookson, “Healthcare: Into the Cortex.”

  329 dispense with the wires connecting the chip to a computer

  Ibid.

  330 Scientists and engineers at the University of Illinois

  Ibid.

  331 “nanotechnology, micro-power generation—to provide therapeutic benefit”

  Ibid.

  332 rat’s brain stem to interpret information

  Linda Geddes, “Rat Cyborg Gets Digital Cerebellum,” New Scientist, September 27, 2011.

  333 “synthetic correlates before the end of the century”

  Ibid.

  334 in humans, including prosthetics for bladder control

  Monica Friedlander, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, “Neural Implants Come of Age,” Science and Technology Review, June 2012.

  335 relief of spinal pain

  Ibid.

  336 remediation of some forms of blindness

  Wilson, “Bionic Brains and Beyond.”

  337 and deafness

  Ibid.

  338 to enhance focus and concentration

  Ibid.

  339 people to enhance concentration at times of their choosing

  Ibid.

  340 Adderall, Ritalin, and Provigil to improve their test scores

  Margaret Talbot, “Brain Gain: The Underground World of ‘Neuroenhancing’ Drugs,” New Yorker, April 27, 2009.

  341 “ranges from 15 percent to 40 percent”

  Alan Schwarz, “Risky Rise of the Good-Grade Pill,” New York Times, June 10, 2012.

  342 doctors who work with low-income families have started prescribing Adderall

  Alan Schwarz, “Attention Disorder or Not, Pills to Help in School,” New York Times, October 9, 2012.

  343 felt they improved their memory and ability to focus

  Drew Halley, “Brain-Doping at the Lab Bench,” Project Syndicate, April 20, 2009.

  344 the promise of actually boosting intelligence

  Jamais Cascio, “Get Smarter,” Atlantic, July/August 2009; Ross Anderson, “Why Cognitive Enhancement Is in Your Future (and Your Past),” Atlantic, February 6, 2012.

  345 as little stigma as cosmetic surgery does today

  V. Cakic, “Smart Drugs for Cognitive Enhancement: Ethical and Pragmatic Considerations in the Era of Cosmetic Neurology,” Journal of Medical Ethics 35 (2009): 611–15; Anderson, “Why Cognitive Enhancement Is in Your Future (and Your Past).”

  346 used for object recognition in order to improve the training of snipers

  Sally Adee, “Zap Your Brain into the Zone: Fast Track to Pure Focus,” New Scientist, February 6, 2012.

  347 first double amputee track athlete ever to compete

  Jere Longman, “After Long Road, Nothing Left to Do but Win,” New York Times, August 5, 2012.

  348 relay, in which the South African team reached the finals

  David Trifunov, “Oscar Pistorius Eliminated in 400m Semifinal at London 2012 Olympics,” Global Post, August 5, 2012.

  349 “it is unfair to the able-bodied competitors”

  Longman, “After Long Road, Nothing Left to Do but Win.”

  350 according to Pistorius

  “Oscar Pistorius Apologizes for Timing of Paralympics Criticism,” BBC Sport, September 3, 2012.

  351 (EPO)—which regulates the production of red blood cells

  “Genetically Modified Olympians?,” Economist, July 31, 2008.

  352 delivering more oxygen to the muscles for a longer period of time

  Lana Bandoim, “Erythropoietin Abuse Among Athletes Can Lead to Vascular Problems,” Yahoo, December 25, 2011, http://sports.yahoo.com/top/news?slug=ycn-10747311.

  353 He has admitted use of EPO, along with other illegal enhancements

  “Landis Admits EPO Use,” ESPN, May 20, 2010, http://www.espn.co.uk/more/sport/story/23635.html.

  354 Armstrong was stripped of his championships and banned from cycling

  Juliet Macur, “Lance Armstrong Is Stripped of His 7 Tour de France Titles,” New York Times, October 22, 2012

  355 use of EPO, steroids, and blood transfusions

  “Lance Armstrong Won’t Fight Charges,” ESPN, August 24, 2012.

  356 detecting new enhancements that violate the rules

  Matthew Knight, “Hi-Tech Tests to Catch Olympics Drug Cheats at London 2012,” CNN, July 31, 2012, http://edition.cnn.com/2012/04/12/sport/drugs-london-2012-olympics-laboratory/index.html; Andy Bull, “Ye Shiwen’s World Record Olympic Swim ‘Disturbing,’ Says Top US Coach,” Guardian, July 30, 2012.

  357 produce more red blood cells
<
br />   “Fairly Safe,” Economist, July 31, 2008.

  358 ruling without genetic testing of the athlete’s relatives

  “Genetically Modified Olympians?,” Economist.

  359 called myostatin that regulates the building of muscles

  Aaron Saenz, “Super Strength Substance (Myostatin) Closer to Human Trials,” Singularity Hub, December 8, 2009.

  360 “sperm-making biological machine”

  “Artificial Testicle, World’s First to Make Sperm, Under Development by California Scientists,” Huffington Post, January 19, 2012, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/01/19/artificial-testicle_n_1215964.html.

  361 the first so-called test tube baby in 1978, Louise Brown

  Donna Bowater, “Lesley Brown, Mother of First Test Tube Baby Louise Brown, Dies Aged 64,” Telegraph, June 21, 2012.

  362 debate about the ethics and propriety of the procedure

  Robert Bailey, “The Case for Enhancing People,” New Atlantis, June 20, 2012.

  363 diminish parental love and weaken generational ties

  Ibid.

  364 “People want children”

  Fiona Macrae, “Death of the Father: British Scientists Discover How to Turn Women’s Bone Marrow into Sperm,” Daily Mail, January 31, 2008.

  365 born to infertile people wanting children

  Jeanna Bryner, “5 Million Babies Born from IVF, Other Reproductive Technologies,” Live Science, July 3, 2012.

  366 I saw this pattern repeated many times

  See, for example: Subcommittee on Investigations and Oversight and the Subcommittee on Science, Research, and Technology, Committee on Science and Technology, U.S. House of Representatives, “Commercialization of Academic Biomedical Research,” June 8–9, 1981; Subcommittee on Investigations and Oversight, Committee on Science and Technology, U.S. House of Representatives, “Genetic Screening and the Handling of High-Risk Groups in the Workplace,” October 14–15, 1981.

  367 Dr. Christiaan Barnard

  Lawrence K. Altman, “Christiaan Barnard, 78, Surgeon for First Heart Transplant, Dies,” New York Times, September 3, 2001.

  368 “My God, it’s working!”

  Personal conversation with author.

  369 preimplantation genetic diagnosis

  “Saviour Siblings—the Controversy and the Technique,” Telegraph, May 6, 2011.

  370 “savior sibling”

  Ibid.

  371 who can serve as an organ

  Stephen Wilkinson, “ ‘Saviour Siblings’ as Organ Donors,” Sveriges Yngre Läkares Förening (Swedish junior doctors’ association), November 2, 2012, http://www.slf.se/SYLF/Moderna-lakare/Artiklar/Nummer-2-2012/Saviour-Siblings-as-Organ-Donors/.

  372 tissue

  Robert Sparrow and David Cram, “Saviour Embryos? Preimplantation Genetic Diagnosis as a Therapeutic Technology,” Reproductive BioMedicine Online, May 15, 2010, http://www.ivf.net/ivf/saviour-embryos-preimplantation-genetic-diagnosis-as-a-therapeutic-technology-o5043.html.

  373 bone marrow

  Josephine Marcotty, “ ‘Savior Sibling’ Raises a Decade of Life-and-Death Questions,” Star Tribune, September 22, 2010.

  374 or umbilical cord stem cell donor

  “Saviour Siblings—the Controversy and the Technique,” Telegraph.

  375 the instrumental purpose of such conceptions devalues the child

  Stephen Wilkinson, Choosing Tomorrow’s Children: The Ethics of Selective Reproduction (New York: Oxford University Press, 2010).

  376 important cure for the first with the assistance of the second

  K. Devolder, “Preimplantation HLA Typing: Having Children to Save Our Loved Ones,” Journal of Medical Ethics 31 (January 2005): 582–86.

  377 “three-parent babies”

  David Derbyshire, “Babies with THREE Parents and Free of Genetic Disease Could Soon Be Born Using Controversial IVF Technique,” Daily Mail, March 12, 2011.

  378 genetic modification is one that will affect

  James Gallagher, “Three-Person IVF ‘Is Ethical’ to Treat Mitochondrial Disease,” BBC, June 11, 2012, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-18393682.

  379 be left to the pregnant woman herself, at least in the earlier stages of the pregnancy

  World Public Opinion, “World Publics Reject Criminal Penalties for Abortion,” June 18, 2008, http://www.worldpublicopinion.org/pipa/articles/btjusticehuman_rightsra/492.php.

  380 that are designed to identify the gender of the embryo

  Rachel Rickard Straus, “To Ensure Prized Baby Boy, Indians Flock to Bangkok,” Times of India, December 27, 2010.

  381 abortion of 500,000 female fetuses each year

  Madeleine Bunting, “India’s Missing Women,” Guardian, July 22, 2011.

  382 better enforce the prohibition against the sex selection of children

  “Delhi Govt to Crack Down on Sex-Selection Tests,” Times of India, January 5, 2012.

  383 identification procedures in India utilize ultrasound machines

  Bunting, “India’s Missing Women.”

  384 Some couples from India

  Straus, “To Ensure Prized Baby Boy, Indians Flock to Bangkok.”

  385 blood samples taken from pregnant mothers

  “Baby Sex ID Test Won’t Be Sold in China or India Due to Fears of ‘Gender Selection,’ ” Associated Press, August 10, 2011.

  386 sample from the pregnant woman and a saliva sample from the father

  Andrew Pollack, “DNA Blueprint for Fetus Built Using Tests of Parents,” New York Times, June 6, 2012.

  387 an estimated $20,000 to $50,000 for one fetal genome

  Ibid.

  388 last year, the cost was $200,000 per test

  Mara Hvistendahl, “Will Gattaca Come True?,” Slate, April 27, 2012.

  389 likely to continue falling very quickly

  Ibid.

  390 widely available within two years for an estimated $3,000

  Stephanie M. Lee, “New Stanford Fetal DNA Test Adds to Ethical Issues,” San Francisco Chronicle, July 26, 2012.

  391 serious disorders that might be treated through early detection

  Drew Halley, “Revolution In Newborn Screening Saves Newborn Lives,” Singularity Hub, March 10, 2009.

  392 are terminating their pregnancies

  Ross Douthat, “Eugenics, Past and Future,” New York Times, June 9, 2012.

  393 “sophisticated methods of eugenic selection”

  Leroi, “The Future of Neo-Eugenics.”

  394 embryos for such traits as hair

  Hvistendahl, “Will Gattaca Come True?”; Kleiner, “Designer Babies.”

  395 and eye color

  Kleiner, “Designer Babies.”

  396 skin complexion

  Ibid.

  397 “98.1 percent of death-row inmates do”

  David Eagleman, “The Brain on Trial,” Atlantic, July/August 2011.

  398 yet another round of difficult ethical choices

  Leroi, “The Future of Neo-Eugenics.”

  399 markers associated with hundreds of diseases before implantation

  Drew Halley, “Prenatal Screening Could Eradicate Genetic Disease, Replace Natural Conception,” Singularity Hub, July 21, 2009.

  400 preserved for potential later implantation

  Denise Grady, “Parents Torn over the Fate of Frozen Embryos,” New York Times, December 4, 2008.

  401 women who undergo the in vitro fertilization procedure

  Ibid.; Laura Bell, “What Happens to Extra Embryos After IVF?,” CNN, September 1, 2009, http://articles.cnn.com/2009-09-01/health/extra.ivf.embryos_1_embryos-fertility-patients-fertility-clinics?_s=PM:HEALTH.

  402 to improve the odds that one will survive

  Tiffany Sharples, “IVF Study: Two Embryos No Better Than One,” Time, March 30, 2009.

  403 in vitro fertilization than in the general population

  U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, “Contribution of Assisted Reproductive Technology and Ovulation-Indu
cing Drugs to Triplet and Higher-Order Multiple Births—United States, 1980–1997,” MMWR, June 23, 2000.

  404 The United Kingdom has set a legal limit on the number of embryos

  Sarah Boseley, “IVF Clinics Told to Limit Embryo Implants to Curb Multiple Births,” Guardian, January 6, 2004.

  405 Auxogyn, is using digital imaging

  Reproductive Science Center, “Auxogyn,” http://rscbayarea.com/for-physicians/auxogyn.

  406 select the embryo that is most likely to develop

  Yahoo Finance News, “Auxogyn and Hewitt Fertility Center Announce First Availability of New Non-Invasive Early Embryo Viability Assessment (Eeva) Test in the European Union,” September 17, 2012, http://finance.yahoo.com/news/auxogyn-hewitt-fertility-center-announce-060000428.html.

  407 to allow the pregnant woman to control the choice on abortion

  Leroi, “The Future of Neo-Eugenics.”

  408 right to require a pregnant woman to have an abortion

  Ibid.

  409 so significant that they justify such experiments

  Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life, “Stem Cell Research Around the World,” July 17, 2012, http://www.pewforum.org/Science-and-Bioethics/Stem-Cell-Research-Around-the-World.aspx.

  410 Shinya Yamanaka at Kyoto University

  Alok Jha, “Look, No Embryos! The Future of Ethical Stem Cells,” Guardian, March 12, 2011.

  411 was awarded the 2012 Nobel Prize in Medicine

  Nicholas Wade, “Cloning and Stem Cell Work Earns Nobel,” New York Times, October 8, 2012.

  412 unique qualities and potential that justify their continued use

  Andrew Pollack, “Setback for New Stem Cell Treatment,” New York Times, May 13, 2011.

  413 restore some vision to mice with an inherited retinal disease

  Sarah Boseley, “Medical Marvels: Drugs Treat Symptoms. Stem Cells Can Cure You. One Day Soon, They May Even Stop Us Ageing,” Guardian, January 29, 2009.

  414 forms of blindness in humans may soon be treatable

  Fergus Walsh, “ ‘Blind’ Mice Eyesight Treated with Transplanted Cells,” BBC, April 18, 2012, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-17748165.

  415 rebuild nerves in the ears of gerbils and restore their hearing

  James Gallagher, “Deaf Gerbils ‘Hear Again’ After Stem Cell Cure,” BBC, September 12, 2010.

  416 sperm when transplanted into the testicles of mice that were infertile

 

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