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The Future Page 54

by Al Gore


  81 twice the amount of information presently generated

  Tony Hoffman, “IBM Preps Hyper-Fast Computing System for World’s Largest Radiotelescope,” PC Magazine, April 2, 2012.

  82 billions of messages posted each day on social networks

  Chui, Löffler, and Roberts, “The Internet of Things”; McKinsey Institute, “Big Data.”

  83 Twitter Earthquake Detector

  Tim Lohman, “Twitter to Detect Earthquakes, Tsunamis,” Computer World, June 1, 2011.

  84 the Global Pulse program Ban Ki-moon launched

  Steve Lohr, “The Internet Gets Physical,” New York Times, December 17, 2011.

  85 predict social unrest in countries and regions of particular interest

  John Markoff, “Government Aims to Build a ‘Data Eye in the Sky,’ ” New York Times, October 10, 2011.

  86 predict how well Hollywood—and Bollywood—movies will perform

  Ibid.

  87 dominant content on the Internet is printed words

  Roger E. Bohn and James E. Short, “How Much Information? 2009 Report on American Consumers,” December 2009, http://​hmi.​ucsd.​edu/​pdf/​HMI_​2009_​ConsumerReport_​Dec9_​2009.​pdf.

  88 massive crowds of election protesters in Moscow

  Alissa de Carbonnel, “Social Media Makes Anti-Putin Protests ‘Snowball,’ ” Reuters, December 7, 2011.

  89 spotlighting the excesses of elites

  Thomas Friedman, “This Is Just the Start,” New York Times, March 1, 2011.

  90 used by rebels in Misrata to guide their mortars

  Tom Coghlan, “Google and a Notebook: The Weapons Helping to Beat Gaddafi in Libya,” Times (London), June 16, 2011.

  91 across the border to collaborators in the diaspora living in Thailand

  Mridul Chowdhury, Berkman Center for Internet & Society, “The Role of the Internet in Burma’s Saffron Revolution,” September 2008, http://​cyber.​law.​harvard.​edu/​sites/​cyber.​law.​harvard.​edu/​files/​Chowdhury_​Role_​of_the_​Internet_​in_Burmas​_Saffron_​Revolution.​pdf_0.​pdf.

  92 completely blacking out the Internet inside the country’s borders

  Ibid.

  93 Aung San Suu Kyi, from her long house arrest

  Tim Johnson, “Aung San Suu Kyi Freed,” Financial Times, November 13, 2010.

  94 destined to take control of the government

  Dean Nelson, “Aung San Suu Kyi ‘Wins Landslide Landmark Election’ as Burma Rejoices,” Telegraph, April 1, 2012.

  95 protest against the fraudulent presidential election

  Bruce Etling, Robert Faris, and John Palfrey, “Political Change in the Digital Age: The Fragility and Promise of Online Organizing,” SAIS Review 30, no. 2 (2010).

  96 controlling Internet use by the protesters

  Ibid.

  97 the tragic death of Neda Agha-Soltan

  Ibid.

  98 protest movement were almost completely shut down

  Ibid.

  99 the government simply blacked it out

  Ibid.

  100 stifle any effective resistance to the dictatorship’s authority

  Will Heaven, “Iran and Twitter: The Fatal Folly of the Online Revolutionaries,” Telegraph, December 29, 2009; Christopher Williams, “Iran Cracks Down on Web Dissident Technology,” Telegraph, March 18, 2011.

  101 Iran and the retro-Stalinist dictatorship of Belarus

  Larry Diamond, “Liberation Technology,” Journal of Democracy 21, no. 3 (July 2010).

  102 turn the Internet within China into a national intranet

  Ibid.

  103 was censored and made unavailable to the people of China

  Josh Chin, “Netizens React: Premier’s Interview Censored,” China Real Time Report blog, Wall Street Journal, October 7, 2010.

  104 open values of the world’s largest search engine, Google

  Clive Thompson, “Google’s China Problem (and China’s Google Problem),” New York Times Magazine, April 23, 2006.

  105 “in certain areas the genie has been put back in the bottle”

  Tim Carmody, “Google Co-Founder: China, Apple, Facebook Threaten the ‘Open Web,’ ” Wired, April 16, 2012.

  106 “It’s hopeless to try to control the Internet”

  Ian Katz, “Web Freedom Faces Greatest Threat Ever, Warns Google’s Sergey Brin,” Guardian, April 15, 2012.

  107 more than 500 million people, 40 percent of its total population

  Matt Silverman, “China: The World’s Largest Online Population,” Mashable, April 10, 2012; Jon Russell, “Internet Usage in China Surges 11%,” USA Today, July 19, 2012.

  108 to take to the Internet themselves in order to respond to public controversies

  Lye Liang Fook and Yang Yi, EAI Background Brief No. 467, “The Chinese Leadership and the Internet,” July 27, 2009, http://www.eai.nus.edu.sg/BB467.pdf.

  109 Dmitri Medvedev also felt the pressure to engage personally on the Internet

  “Medvedev Believes Internet Best Guarantee Against Totalitarianism,” Itar-Tass News Agency, July 30, 2012, http://​www.itar-​tass.​com/​en/​c154/​484098.html.

  110 four out of every ten Tunisians were connected to the Internet

  Zahera Harb, “Arab Revolutions and the Social Media Effect,” M/C Journal [Media/Culture Journal] 14, no. 2 (2011).

  111 with almost 20 percent of them on Facebook

  Ibid.

  112 80 percent of the Facebook users were under the age of thirty

  Ibid.

  113 as censoring political dissent on the Internet

  Reporters without Borders, “Enemies of the Internet,” March 12, 2010, http://​en.rsf.​org/​IMG/​pdf/​Internet_​enemies.​pdf.

  114 It was the downloaded video that ignited the Arab Spring

  John D. Sutter, “How Smartphones Make Us Superhuman,” CNN, September 10, 2012.

  115 In Saudi Arabia, Twitter has facilitated public criticism

  Robert F. Worth, “Twitter Gives Saudi Arabia a Revolution of Its Own,” New York Times, October 20, 2012.

  116 feisty and relatively independent satellite television channel Al Jazeera

  Jon Alterman, “The Revolution Will Not Be Televised,” Middle East Notes and Comment, Center for Strategic and International Studies, March 2011; Heidi Lane, “The Arab Spring’s Three Foundations,” per Concordiam, March 2012.

  117 even in countries where they are technically illegal

  Angelika Mendes, “Media in Arab Countries Lack Transparency, Diversity and Independence,” Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung, June 25, 2012, http://​www.​kas.​de/​wf/​en/​33.​31742/; Lin Noueihed and Alex Warren, The Battle for the Arab Spring: Revolution, Counter-Revolution and the Making of a New Era (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 2012), p. 50; Lane, “The Arab Spring’s Three Foundations.”

  118 the Internet had spread throughout Egypt and the region

  Harb, “Arab Revolutions and the Social Media Effect”; Alterman, “The Revolution Will Not Be Televised.”

  119 Al Jazeera and its many siblings were the more important factor

  Alterman, “The Revolution Will Not Be Televised.”

  120 “All that trouble from this little matchbox?”

  “Special Report: Al Jazeera’s News Revolution,” Reuters, February 17, 2011.

  121 shut down access to the Internet in the way Myanmar and Iran had

  Harb, “Arab Revolutions and the Social Media Effect.”

  122 the public’s reaction was so strong that the fires of revolt grew even hotter

  Ibid.

  123 including Malcolm Gladwell

  Malcolm Gladwell, “Small Change: Why the Revolution Will Not Be Tweeted,” New Yorker, October 4, 2010.

  124 actually represented a tiny fraction of Egypt’s huge population

  Noah Shachtman, “How Many People Are in Tahrir Square? Here’s How to Tell,” Wired Danger Room blog, February 1, 2011, http://​www.​wired.​com/​da
ngerroom/​2011/​02/​how-​many-​people-​are-​in-​tahrir-​square-​heres-​how-​to-​tell/.

  125 new political consensus around what kind of government

  David D. Kirkpatrick, “Named Egypt’s Winner, Islamist Makes History,” New York Times, June 25, 2012.

  126 from those advocated by most of the Internet-inspired reformers

  Ibid.

  127 when the Ottoman Empire banned the printing press

  Fatmagul Demirel, Encyclopedia of the Ottoman Empire, edited by Gabor Agoston and Bruce Masters (New York: Facts on File, 2009), p. 130.

  128 they had deprived themselves of the fruits of the Print Revolution

  Ishtiaq Hussain, “The Tanzimat: Secular Reforms in the Ottoman Empire,” Faith Matters, February 5, 2011, http://​faith-​matters.​org/​images/​stories/​fm-​publications/​the-​tanzimat-​final-​web.​pdf.

  129 depending on how they are used and who uses them to greatest effect

  Evgeny Morozov, “The Dark Side of Internet for Egyptian and Tunisian Protesters,” Globe and Mail, January 28, 2011; Louis Klaveras, “The Coming Twivolutions? Social Media in the Recent Uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt,” Huffington Post, January 31, 2011, http://​www.​huffingtonpost.​com/​louis-​klarevas/​post_​1647_​b_​815749.​html.

  130 have even experimented with Internet voting in elections and referenda

  Sutton Meagher, “Comment: When Personal Computers Are Transformed into Ballot Boxes: How Internet Elections in Estonia Comply with the United Nations International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights,” American University International Law Review 23 (2008).

  131 proposals placed by citizens on a government website

  Freedom House—Latvia, 2012, http://​www.​freedomhouse.​org/​report/​nations-​transit/​2012/​latvia.

  132 achieve higher levels of quality in the services they deliver

  Tina Rosenberg, “Armed with Data, Fighting More Than Crime,” New York Times, Opinionator blog, May 2, 2012, http://​opinionator.​blogs.​nytimes.​com/​2012/​05/​02/​armed-​with-​data-​fighting-​more-​than-​crime/.

  133 productive dialogues and arguments about issues and legislation

  Clay Shirky, “How the Internet Will (One Day) Transform Government,” TEDGlobal 2012, June 2012.

  134 watch Internet videos on television screens

  Jenna Wortham, “More Are Watching Internet Video on Actual TVs, Research Shows,” New York Times, September 26, 2012.

  135 “be appropriated into the realm of the digital”

  William Gibson, “Back from the Future,” New York Times Magazine, August 19, 2007.

  136 any other activity besides sleeping and working

  Joe Light, “Leisure Trumps Learning in Time-Use Survey,” Wall Street Journal, June 22, 2011.

  137 watches television more than five hours per day

  Nielsen, “State of the Media: Consumer Usage Report,” 2011, p. 3. The American Video Viewer, 32 hours, 47 minutes of TV viewing weekly = 4.7 hours per day, http://​www.​nielsen.​com/​content/​dam/​corporate/​us/​en/​reports-​downloads/​2011-​Reports/​State​ofMedia​Consumer​Usage​Report.​pdf.

  138 spends 80 percent of his or her campaign money

  eMarketer, “Are Political Ad Dollars Going Online?,” May 14, 2008, http://​www.​emarketer.​com/​Article.​aspx?​id=​1006271&​R=100​6271.

  139 Philadelphia and easily find several low-cost print shops

  Christopher Munden, “A Brief History of Early Publishing in Philadelphia,” Philly Fiction, http://​phillyfiction.​com/​more/​brief_​history_​of_​early_​days_​of_​philadelphia_​publishing.​html.

  140 destructive trend is likely to get much worse before it gets better

  Citizens United v. FEC, 130 S. Ct. 876 (2010); Adam Liptak, “Justices, 5-4, Reject Corporate Spending Limit,” New York Times, January 22, 2010.

  141 television is much more tightly controlled than the Internet

  Charles Clover, “Internet Subverts Russian TV’s Message,” Financial Times, December 1, 2011.

  142 “There is one face: Putin”

  David M. Herszenhorn, “Putin Wins, but Opposition Keeps Pressing,” New York Times, March 4, 2012.

  143 people aged sixty-five and older watch, on average

  Alana Semuels, “Television Viewing at All-Time High,” Los Angeles Times, February 24, 2009.

  144 most major cities that people used to read

  Donald A. Ritchie, Reporting from Washington: The History of the Washington Press Corps (New York: Oxford University Press, 2005), p. 131.

  145 the morning newspapers began to go bankrupt as well

  Mark Fitzgerald, “How Did Newspapers Get in This Pickle?,” Editor & Publisher, March 18, 2009.

  146 digital news stories already reach more people

  David Carr, “Tired Cries of Bias Don’t Help Romney,” New York Times, October 1, 2012.

  147 staring at chalk on a blackboard

  “Why Do 60% of Students Find Their Lectures Boring?,” Guardian, May 11, 2009.

  148 sharp declines in budgets for public education

  “Education Takes a Beating Nationwide,” Los Angeles Times, July 31, 2011.

  149 college-level instruction on the Internet

  Tamar Lewin, “Questions Follow Leader of For-Profit Colleges,” New York Times, May 27, 2011; Tamar Lewin, “For-Profit College Group Sued as U.S. Lays Out Wide Fraud,” New York Times, August 9, 2011.

  150 The school was later prosecuted and shut down

  “Degrees for Sale at Spam U.,” CBS News, February 11, 2009, http://​www.​cbsnews.​com/​2100-​205_​162-​659418.​html; “Diploma Mill Operators Hit with Court Judgments,” Consumer Affairs, March 18, 2005, http://​www.​consumer​affairs.​com/​news04/​2005/​diploma_​mill.​html.

  151 emergence of chronic disease states that account for most medical problems

  “Counting Every Moment,” Economist, March 3, 2012.

  152 beginning to improve the allocation and deployment of public health resources

  Andrea Freyer Dugas et al., “Google Flu Trends: Correlation with Emergency Department Influenza Rates and Crowding Metrics,” Clinical Infectious Diseases 54, no. 4 (January 8, 2012).

  153 insurance companies have begun to use data mining techniques

  “Very Personal Finance,” Economist, June 2, 2012.

  154 for customers whose data profiles classify them as low-risk

  Ibid.

  155 the legend of Doctor Faust first appeared

  Christopher Marlowe, The Tragical History of Doctor Faustus, 1604, edited by Rev. Alexander Dyce, http://​www.​gutenberg.​org/​files/​779/​779-​h/​779-​h.htm.

  156 historians claim that Faust was based

  Philip B. Meggs and Alston W. Purvis, Meggs’ History of Graphic Design, 5th ed. (Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2012), p. 76–77.

  157 “Faustian bargains”

  Herman Kahn, “Technology and the Faustian Bargain,” January 1, 1976, http://​www.​hudson.​org/​index.​cfm?​fuseaction=​publication_​details&​id=​2218; Lance Morrow, “The Faustian Bargain of Stem Cell Research,” Time, July 12, 2001.

  158 read by the government without a warrant

  John Seabrook, “Petraeus and the Cloud,” New Yorker, November 14, 2012.

  159 reliance on the cloud creates new potential choke points

  Nicole Perlroth, “Amazon Cloud Service Goes Down and Takes Popular Sites with It,” New York Times, October 22, 2012.

  160 “So you have these two fighting against each other”

  Richard Siklos, “Information Wants to Be Free … and Expensive,” CNN, July 20, 2009, http://​tech.​fortune.​cnn.​com/​2009/​07/​20/​information-​wants-​to-​be-​free-​and-​expensive/

  161 on servers based in Sweden, Iceland, and possibly other locations

  Andy Greenberg, “Wikileaks Servers Move to Und
erground Nuclear Bunker,” Forbes, August 30, 2010.

  162 broke into numerous other government and corporate

  “WikiLeaks Backlash: The First Global Cyber War Has Begun, Claim Hackers,” Guardian, December 11, 2010.

  163 Independent groups of hacktivists

  Hayley Tsukayama, “Anonymous Claims Credit for Crashing FBI, DOJ Sites,” Washington Post, January 20, 1012; Ellen Nakashima, “CIA Web Site Hacked; Group LulzSec Takes Credit,” Washington Post, June 15, 2011; Thom Shanker and Elisabeth Bumiller, “Hackers Gained Access to Sensitive Military Files,” New York Times, July 14, 2011; David E. Sanger and John Markoff, “I.M.F. Reports Cyberattack Led to ‘Very Major Breach,’ ” New York Times, June 11, 2011; David Batty, “Vatican Becomes Latest Anonymous Hacking Victim,” Guardian, March 7, 2012; Melanie Hick, “Anonymous Hacks Interpol Site After 25 Arrests,” Huffington Post, January 3, 2012, http://​www.​huffingtonpost.​co.​uk/​2012/​03/​01/​anonymous-​hacks-​interpol-​_n_1312544.​html; Martin Beckford, “Downing Street Website Also Taken Down by Anonymous,” Telegraph, April 8, 2012; Tom Brewster, “Anonymous Strikes Downing Street and Ministry of Justice,” TechWeek Europe, April 10, 2012, http://​www.​techweek​europe.​co.​uk/​news/​anonymous-​government-​downing-​street-​moj-​71979; “NASA Says Was Hacked 13 Times Last Year,” Reuters, March 2, 2012.

  164 hackers recorded the call and put it on the web

  Duncan Gardham, “ ‘Anonymous’ Hackers Intercept Conversation Between FBI and Scotland Yard on How to Deal with Hackers,” Telegraph, February 3, 2012.

  165 penetrated by a cyberattack believed to have originated in China

  Michael Joseph Gross, “Enter the Cyber-Dragon,” Vanity Fair, September 2011.

  166 “fifth domain” for potential military conflict

  Susan P. Crawford, “When We Wage Cyberwar, the Whole Web Suffers,” Bloomberg, April 25, 2012.

  167 “a global cyber arms race”

  David Alexander, “Global Cyber Arms Race Engulfing Web—Defense Official,” Reuters, April 11, 2012.

  168 cybersecurity technology, offense has the advantage over defense

  Ibid.; Ron Rosenbaum, “Richard Clarke on Who Was Behind the Stuxnet Attack,” Smithsonian, April 2, 2012.

  169 which prevented ancient Greece’s conquest by Persia

 

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