Klein, Gary
Knetsch, Jack
know, use of word
knowledge; reconstruction of past states of
kouros
Krueger, Alan
Kunreuther, Howard
Kuran, Timur
labor negotiations
Lady Macbeth effect
language, complex vs. simple
Larrick, Richard
Larson, Gary
law, see legal cases law of large numbers
law of small numbers; and bias of confidence over doubt
laziness of System 2
Layard, Richard
leaderless group challenge
leadership and business practices; at Google
LeBoeuf, Robyn
legal cases: civil, damages in; DNA evidence in; fourfold pattern and; frivolous; loss aversion in; malpractice; outcome bias in
leisure time
less-is-more pattern
Lewis, Michael
libertarian policies
Lichtenstein, Sarah
life: evaluation of; stories in; satisfaction in; thinking about
Linda problem
List, John
loans
logarithmic functions
loss aversion; in animals; enhanced; goals as reference points in; in legal decisions; status quo and
loss aversion ratio
losses
lotteries
Lovallo, Dan
Love Canal
luck
lying
Malkiel, Burton
Malmendier, Ulrike
malpractice litigation
Mao Zedong
march of historyuote>
Markowitz, Harry
marriage; life satisfaction and
Mathematical Psychology (Dawes, Tversky, and Coombs)
matter, relation of mind to
McFarland, Cathy
media, availability heuristic and
medical school admissions
medical survey problem
medicine; expertise in; malpractice litigation; overconfidence in; physicians; unique cases in; unusual treatments in
Mednick, Sarnoff
Meehl, Paul
meetings
memory, memories; associative, see associative memory; availability heuristic and, see availability; duration neglect in; experienced utility and; illusions of; and the remembering self; of vacations
mental accounts
mental effort, see effort mental energy
mental shotgun
mere exposure effect
messages, persuasive
metaphors
Michigan/Detroit problem
Michigan State University
Michotte, Albert
Miller, Dale
mind, relation of matter to
Mischel, Walter
miswanting
MIT
money and wealth: cultural differences in attitudes toward; happiness and; income vs. leisure; mental accounts and; poverty; priming and; utility of
Moneyball (Lewis)
mood, see emotions and mood Morgenstern, Oskar
Moses illusion
motivation
movies
“MPG Illusion, The” (Larrick and Soll)
mug experiments
Mullainathan, Sendhil
Müller-Lyer illusion
multiple regression
Mussweiler, Thomas
mutual funds
names: complicated; of famous people
narrative fallacy
narrow framing; disposition effect
Naturalistic Decision Making (NDM)
negativity dominance
negotiations
neuroeconomics
New York Times, The
New York University
9/11
Nisbett, Richard
Nixon, Richard
Nobel Prize
norms
norm theory
novelty
Nudge (Thaler and Sunstein)
nutrition
Oakland A’s
Obama, Barack
obesity
Odean, Terry
Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs
one-sided evidence
Oppenheimer, Danny
optimal experience
optimism; in CEOs; resilience and
optimistic bias; competition neglect; in entrepreneurs; overconfidence; planning fallacy; premortem and; risk taking and
Oregon Research Institute
organ donation
organizations
outcome bias
outside view
ou>
pain; chronic; cold-hand experiment and; colonoscopies and; duration neglect and; injection puzzle and; memory of; operation experiment and; peak-end rule and; in rats
paraplegics
parole
past: and confusing experiences with memories; hindsight bias and; regret and
pastness
pattern seeking
Pavlov, Ivan
peak-end rule
persuasive messages
physicians; malpractice litigation and
piano playing and weight, measuring
plane crashes
planning fallacy; mitigating
plausibility
pleasure; in rats
Plott, Charles
poignancy
political experts
political preference
Pólya, George
Pope, Devin
Porras, Jerry I.
positive test strategy
possibility effect: gambles and; threats and
post-traumatic stress
poverty
precautionary principle
predictability, insensitivity to
predictions and forecasts; baseline; clinical vs. statistical; disciplining; of experts, see expert intuition; extreme, value of; formulas for, see formulas; increasing accuracy in; low-validity environments and; nonregressive; objections to moderating; optimistic bias in; outside view in; overconfidence in; planning fallacy and; short-term trends and; valid, illusion of; see also probability
preference reversals; unjust
premonition, use of word
premortem
pretentiousness language
pricing policies
priming; anchoring as
t="-5%">
Princeton University
probability; base rates in, see base rates; decision weights and, see decision weights; definitions of; and disciplining intuition; less-is-more pattern and; Linda problem and; overestimation of; plausibility and; and predicting by representativeness; prior, insensitivity to; professional stereotypes and; of rare events, see rare events; representativeness and, see representativeness; similarity and; subjective; as sum-like variable; see also predictions and forecasts
probability neglect
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
professional stereotypes
professorial candidates
prospect theory; in Albert and Ben problem; blind spots of; cumulative; decision weights and probabilities in; fourfold pattern in; frames and; graph of losses and gains in; loss aversion in; reference points in
“Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk” (Kahneman and Tversky)
prototypes
psychiatric patients
psychological immune system
psychology, teaching
psychopathic charm
psychophysics
psychotherapists
pundits; see also expert intuition punishments: altruistic; rewards and; self-administered
pupil dilation
questionnaire and gift experiments
questions; substitution of, see substitution
Rabin, Matthew
radiologists
rafters, skilled
rail projects
randomness and chance;
misconceptions of Random Walk Down Wall Street, A (Malkiel)
rare events; overestimation of; regret and
rational-agent model
rationality
Rationality and the Reflective Mind (Stanovich)
">rats
Reagan, Ronald
reciprocal priming
recognition
recognition-primed decision (RPD) model
Redelmeier, Don
reference class forecasting
regression to the mean; causal interpretations and; correlation and; difficulty in grasping; two-systems view of
“Regression towards Mediocrity in Hereditary Stature” (Galton)
regret
religion
remembering self
Remote Association Test (RAT)
reorganizations in companies
repetition
representativeness; base rates and; see also base rates; in Linda problem; predicting by; professional stereotypes and; sins of; in Tom W problem
research: artifacts in; hypothesis testing in; optimism in
resemblance; in predictions
resilience
responsibility
retrievability of instances
reversals; unjust
rewards; self-administered
Rice, Condoleezza
risk assessment; aggregation and; broad framing in; decision weights in, see decision weights; denominator neglect and; by experts; and format of risk expression; fourfold pattern in; for health risks; hindsight bias and; laws and regulations governing; loss aversion in; narrow framing in; optimistic bias and; policies for; possibility effect and; precautionary principle and; probability neglect and; public policies and; small risks and; of technologies; terrorism and; see also gambles
risk aversion
risk seeking
“Robust Beauty of Improper Linear Models in Decision Making, The” (Dawes)
Rosett, Richard
Rosenzweig, Philip
Royal Dutch Shell
Royal Institution
Rozin, Paul
< Philip
Rumsfeld, Donald
Russell Sage Foundation
Russia
Saddam Hussein
sadness
safety; health risks and; health violation penalties and; precautionary principle and
samples, sampling: accidents of; and bias of confidence over doubt; law of large numbers; law of small numbers; size of; small, exaggerated faith in
Samuelson, Paul
San Francisco Exploratorium
Savage, Jimmie
Save More Tomorrow
Schelling, Thomas
Schkade, David
school size
Schwarz, Norbert
Schweitzer, Maurice
Science
Scientific American
scientific controversies
scientific research: artifacts in; hypothesis testing in; optimism in
Scottish Parliament
self-control
self-criticism
Seligman, Martin
selves; experiencing; remembering
sets
Shafir, Eldar
similarity judgments
Simmel, Mary-Ann
Simon, Herbert
Simons, Daniel
Simpson, O. J.
single evaluations; joint evaluations vs.
ski jump event
skills; acquisition of; environment of; feedback and practice in; illusions of; in stock-picking
Slovic, Paul
Slovic, Roz
slow thinking
<="0>
smiles, in face reading
smiling; availability heuristic and
Smith, Vernon
socializing
social science
Soll, Jack
somatic marker hypothesis
soul
Sources of Power (Klein)
Soviet Union
Spinoza, Baruch
Sports Illustrated
Stalin, Joseph
Standard & Poor’s (S&P)
Stanford University
Stanovich, Keith
statistics and statistical thinking; and accidents of sampling; base rates and, see base rates; Bayesian; and bias of confidence over doubt; causes and; chance in; deciding on size of sample; extreme outcomes and; faith in small samples; law of large numbers; law of small numbers; sample size decisions and; see also probability
status quo, defending
Steiger, James H.
stereotypes; causal; about professions
Steve the librarian
stock market
stock picking
stock portfolios
stock trading, insider
Stone, Arthur
stories, life
St. Petersburg paradox
Strack, Fritz
strangers, assessment of
Strangers to Ourselves (Wilson)
Streep, Meryl
strength, assessments of
structured settlements
Stumbling to Happiness (Gilbert)
substitution; and mood heuristic for happiness; and 3-D heuristic
success, uot
sum-like variables
sunk-cost fallacy
Sunstein, Cass
Super Bowl
supply and demand
surgeons
Surowiecki, James
surprise
Thinking, Fast and Slow Page 63
