US-China Relations (3rd Ed)

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US-China Relations (3rd Ed) Page 14

by Robert G Sutter

cy used successfully by President Nixon and National Security Adviser Kis-

  singer in early interaction with China. Their approach allowed for very little

  consultation with Congress, key US allies, or the Taiwan government regard-

  ing the conditions and timing of the 1978 normalization agreement. In

  contrast to general US congressional, media, and popular support for the

  surprise Nixon opening to China, President Carter and his aides clearly were

  less successful in winning US domestic support for their initiatives. Many in

  Congress were satisfied with the stasis that developed in US-PRC-ROC rela-

  tions in the mid-1970s and unconvinced that the United States had a strategic

  or other need to pay the price of breaking a US defense treaty and other

  official ties with a loyal government in Taiwan for the sake of formalizing

  already existing relations with the PRC. Bipartisan majorities in Congress

  resisted the president’s initiatives and passed laws, notably the Taiwan Rela-

  tions Act (TRA), that tied the hands of the administration on Taiwan and

  other issues. 42

  The Taiwan Relations Act was passed by Congress in March 1979 and

  signed by President Carter on April 10, 1979. The initial draft of the legisla-

  tion was proposed by the Carter administration to govern US relations with

  Taiwan once official US ties were ended in 1979. Congress rewrote the

  legislation, adding or strengthening provisions on US arms sales, economic

  relations, human rights, congressional oversight, and opposition to threats

  and use of force. Treating Taiwan as a separate entity that would continue to

  receive US military and other support, the law appeared to contradict the US

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  stance in the US-PRC communiqué of 1978 establishing official US-PRC

  relations. Subsequently, Chinese and Taiwan officials and their supporters in

  the United States competed to incline US policy toward the commitments in

  the US-PRC communiqué or the commitments in the TRA. US policy usual-

  ly supported both, though it sometimes seemed more supportive of one set of

  commitments than the other. 43

  Running against President Carter in 1980, California Governor Ronald

  Reagan criticized Carter’s handling of Taiwan. Asserting for a time that he

  would restore official relations with Taipei, Reagan later backed away from

  this stance but still claimed he would base his policy on the Taiwan Relations

  Act. The Chinese government put heavy pressure on the Reagan administra-

  tion, threatening serious deterioration in relations over various issues but

  especially continuing US arms sales to Taiwan. 44

  Viewing close China-US relations as a key element in US strategy against

  the Soviet Union, Secretary of State Alexander Haig led those in the Reagan

  administration who favored maintaining close China-US relations and op-

  posed US arms sales to Taiwan that might provoke China. For a year and a

  half, Haig and his supporters were successful in leading US efforts to accom-

  modate PRC concerns over Taiwan, especially regarding US arms sales to

  the ROC, in the interest of fostering closer US-China cooperation against the

  Soviet Union. The United States ultimately signed with China the August 17,

  1982, communiqué. In the communiqué, the United States agreed gradually

  to diminish arms sales, and China agreed it would seek peaceful reunification

  of Taiwan with the mainland. Subsequent developments showed that the

  vague agreement was subject to varying interpretations. President Reagan

  registered private reservations about the agreement, and his administration

  also took steps to reassure Taiwan’s leader of continued US support. 45

  Looking back at the first decade of opening and developing US-China

  contacts leading to the normalization of relations, prevailing assessments

  follow a pattern that seems consistent with the perspective of realism in IR

  theory. They show a strong tendency on the part of US leaders to focus on

  relations with China as the key element in a new US approach to East Asian

  and world affairs. The war in Vietnam, the growing challenge of an expand-

  ing Soviet Union, the seeming decline in US power and influence in East

  Asian and world affairs, and major US internal disruptions and weaknesses

  seemed to support emphasis on a new US approach to China with important

  benefits for US foreign policy and other interests. US leadership attention

  focused on doing what was needed to advance the new China relationship

  and gave secondary attention to long-standing US allies and other close

  relationships in East Asia or manipulated them in ways that would accord

  with the China-first emphasis in US policy. Emblematic of this trend, Nix-

  on’s surprise announcement in July 1971 that he would visit China was so

  shocking and disturbing to the long-standing and more conservative China

  Rapprochement and Normalization

  77

  policy of the government of Prime Minister Eisaku Sato of Japan that it

  brought down the Japanese government. Available scholarship shows that

  Nixon deliberately withheld information of the American shift so he could

  “stick it to Japan” and show US frustration with Japan’s trade and economic

  policies working against US interests. 46

  The US emphasis on China came with significant costs for the United

  States and US interests, though scholarship tends to depict the benefits of the US approach as justifying the costs. 47 Notably, US leaders came to overesti-mate the power, influence, and utility of China in assisting US efforts to

  withdraw from Vietnam and to shore up international opposition to Soviet

  expansion. By so doing, they gave advantage to China in negotiations over

  contentious US-China issues regarding Taiwan and other disputes. Seeking

  sometimes unattainable advantages from improved relations with China, US

  leaders sacrificed relations with an ally, Taiwan, and treated relations with

  Japan and other Asian allies and associates in ways that subordinated those

  relations to US interests in improving relations with China. They also sacri-

  ficed attention to those US values and interests in Asian and world affairs

  that were inconsistent with a pragmatic pursuit of better ties with China.

  The elitist approach of US leaders followed a pattern of secret diplomacy

  and deal making that undermined the US administration’s credibility with the

  Congress and significant segments of the US media and public opinion. It

  also undermined the constitutionally mandated shared powers the executive

  and legislative branches hold in the conduct of US foreign policy. This

  experience established an atmosphere of suspicion and cynicism in American

  domestic politics over China policy and set the stage for often bitter and

  debilitating fights in US domestic politics over China policy in ensuing years

  that on balance are seen not to serve the overall national interests of the

  United States. 48

  The Pan-Asian Approach of George Shultz

  and Chinese Accommodation

  Amid continued strong Chinese pressure tactics on a wide range of US-China

  disputes, US policy shifted with Haig’s resignation in 1982 and the appoint-

  ment of George Shultz as se
cretary of state. Reagan administration officers

  who were at odds with Haig’s emphasis on the need for a solicitous US

  approach to China came to the fore. They were led by Paul Wolfowitz, who

  was chosen by Shultz as assistant secretary of state for East Asian affairs;

  Richard Armitage, the senior Defense Department officer managing relations

  with China and East Asia; and Gaston Sigur, the senior National Security

  Council staff aide on Asian affairs and later assistant secretary of state for

  East Asian affairs. While officers who had backed Haig’s pro-China slant

  were transferred from authority over China policy, the new US leadership

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  contingent with responsibility for East Asian affairs shifted US policy toward

  a less solicitous and accommodating stance toward China, while giving much

  higher priority to US relations with Japan, as well as other US allies and

  friends in East Asia. There was less emphasis on China’s strategic impor-

  tance to the United States in American competition with the Soviet Union,

  and there was less concern among US policy makers about China possibly

  downgrading relations over Taiwan and other disputes. 49

  The scholarship on the US opening to China that began in the Nixon

  administration, reviewed above, focuses on powerful strategic and domestic

  imperatives that drove the United States and China to cooperate in a prag-

  matic search for advantage for their respective national and leadership inter-

  ests. It underlines the primacy of China in American foreign policy in Asia

  while relations with Japan and other East Asian allies and friends remained

  secondary and were sometimes viewed as declining assets or liabilities. 50

  Some scholars, often using a cost-benefit analysis seen in the realist

  school of thought, discern an important shift in US strategy toward China and

  in East Asia more broadly beginning in 1982. 51 The reevaluation of US

  policy toward China under Secretary of State Shultz is seen to bring to power

  officials who opposed the high priority on China in US strategy toward East

  Asia and the world, and who gave much greater importance to US relations

  with Japan and other US allies in securing US interests amid prevailing

  conditions. The reevaluation on the whole is depicted as working to the

  advantage of the United States. It notably is seen to have added dimensions

  related to a changing balance of forces affecting Chinese security and other

  interests in Asian and world affairs, which prompted heretofore demanding

  Chinese leaders to reduce pressures on the United States for concessions on

  Taiwan and other disputed issues. The changes in Chinese policy helped

  open the way for several years of comparatively smooth US-China relations

  after a period of considerable discord in the late 1970s and early 1980s.

  Other scholars also employ cost-benefit assessments, which are seen in

  the realist school of thought to explain the improvement in US-China rela-

  tions at the time through analyses focused on the dynamics of US-China

  relations. 52 They discern US compromises and accommodations in negotiations and relations with China that assuaged Chinese demands and met Chi-

  nese interests over Taiwan and other issues. They tend to avoid analysis of

  how any shift in emphasis in US policy away from a focus on China and

  toward a greater emphasis on Japan and the East Asian region might have

  altered Chinese calculations and the overall dynamic in US interaction with

  China.

  The analysis in the assessment detailed below supports the former view. It

  shows that the Chinese leaders grudgingly adjusted to the new US stance,

  viewing their interests best served by less pressure and more positive initia-

  tives to the Reagan administration, seen especially in their warm welcome

  Rapprochement and Normalization

  79

  for the US president on his visit to China in 1984. Cooperative Chinese

  relations with the United States were critically important to the Chinese

  leadership in maintaining Chinese security in the face of continuing pressure

  from the Soviet Union and in sustaining the flow of aid, investment, and

  trade essential to the economic development and modernization underway in

  China—the linchpin of the Chinese Communist leadership’s plans for sus-

  taining its rule in China. Meanwhile, the Reagan leadership learned not to

  confront important Chinese interests over issues like Taiwan in overt and

  egregious ways, seeking to continue US military and other support for Tai-

  wan in ways less likely to provoke strong Chinese reaction. Thus, the accom-

  modations that characterized US-China relations in Reagan’s second term in

  office were mutual, but they involved significant Chinese adjustments and

  changes influenced by the new posture toward China undertaken by Secre-

  tary of State Shultz and his colleagues.

  In this author’s assessment, the scholarship that portrays the improvement

  in US-China relations at that time as largely based on the dynamics of US-

  China relations seems too narrowly focused. In this scholarship, the United

  States is seen to make compromises in ways that accommodate Chinese

  interests and thus allow for smoother US-China relations. By limiting the

  focus to the dynamics of US-China ties, this scholarship seems to miss the

  importance of the shift in US emphasis during the tenure of George Shultz.

  Overall, that shift seems to have significantly enhanced US power and lever-

  age over China in negotiations over Taiwan and other disputes and com-

  pelled China to make concessions on its part in order to ensure a positive

  relationship with the United States advantageous to Chinese interests. This

  changed dynamic, with the United States in a more commanding position

  vis-à-vis China, also was much more acceptable to congressional members,

  media, and others in US politics that had been alienated by the secrecy and

  perceived excessive US deference to China in the previous decade. It made

  executive-congressional relations over China policy much smoother than in

  the previous six years.

  China’s Shifting Strategic Calculus and the Importance

  of the United States

  The significance of the shifts in American policy toward China and Asia

  undertaken during the tenure of Secretary Shultz and under the direction of

  such influential US officials as Wolfowitz, Armitage, and Sigur are shown

  below to be important for China’s broader international calculations, influ-

  encing its approach toward the United States. Chinese foreign policy was

  strongly influenced by Chinese assessments in line with realist IR theory of

  the relative power and influence of the Soviet Union and the United States

  and the effects these had on key Chinese interests of security and develop-

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  ment. Throughout much of the 1970s, China had been more vocal than the

  United States in warning of the dangers of expansion by the Soviet Union,

  seen as the greatest threat to China’s security and integrity. Chinese officials and commentary depicted Soviet efforts to contain China in Asia through its

  military buildup and advanced nuclear ballistic missile depl
oyments along

  the Sino-Soviet border, its deployments of mobile mechanized divisions in

  Mongolia, its stepped-up naval activity in the western Pacific along the Chi-

  na coast, its military presence in Vietnam, including active use of formerly

  US naval and air base facilities, and its ever-closer military relationship with India and growing involvement with and eventual invasion of Afghanistan.

  These Soviet actions were seen as part of a wider expansion of Soviet power

  and influence that China judged as needing to be countered by a united

  international front including China and led by the United States. 53

  For much of the 1970s, particularly after the resignation of President

  Nixon, Chinese officials and commentary saw the United States vacillate

  between a tough line toward the USSR and an approach seeking détente and

  accommodation with Moscow. Concern over US resolve toward Moscow

  saw China criticize Secretary of State Henry Kissinger for being too soft

  toward Moscow during the Ford administration, favoring instead the harder

  line advocated by Defense Secretary James Schlesinger. Carter administra-

  tion officials like UN envoy Andrew Young, who took a moderate view

  toward Soviet-backed Cuban troop deployments and other Soviet expansion

  in Africa, were roundly criticized in Chinese media. More cautious official

  commentary registered reservations about Secretary of State Cyrus Vance’s

  approach in seeking arms limitation talks with Moscow, while Chinese offi-

  cials and commentary registered approval of National Security Advisor Brze-

  zinski’s tough anti-Soviet stance. 54

  Over time, and especially after the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in late

  1979, Chinese leaders began to recalculate the balance of forces affecting

  their interests and their respective approaches to the Soviet Union and the

  United States. The previous perceived danger that the United States would

  “appease” the Soviet Union and thereby allow Moscow to direct its pressure

  against China now appeared remote. Carter’s last year in office and Reagan’s

  initial stance toward the USSR saw a large increase in US defense spending

  and military preparations. Closely allied with the United States, European

 

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