The Wizard and the Prophet2

by Charles C. Mann

  Cushman, G. T. 2014 (2013). Guano and the Opening of the Pacific World: A Global Ecological History. CUP.

  ———. 2006. “The Lords of Guano: Science and the Management of Peru’s Marine Environment, 1800–1973.” Ph.D. dissertation, University of Texas at Austin.

  ———. 2004. “Enclave Vision: Foreign Networks in Peru and the Internationalization of El Niño Research During the 1920s.” Proceedings of the International Commission on the History of Meteorology 1:65–74.

  ———. 2003. “Who Discovered the El Niño–Southern Oscillation?” Paper given at Presidential Symposium on the History of the Atmospheric Sciences, 83rd Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, Long Beach, CA.*

  Czaplicki, A. 2007. “ ‘Pure Milk Is Better Than Purified Milk’: Pasteurization and Milk Purity in Chicago, 1908–1916.” Social Science History 31:411-33.

  Dabdoub, C. 1980. Breve Historia del Valle del Yaqui. México, D.F.: Editores Asociados Mexicanos.

  Dahl, E. J. 2001. “Naval Innovation: From Coal to Oil.” Joint Force Quarterly 27:50–56.*

  Dalrymple, D. G. 1986 (1969). Development and Spread of High-Yielding Wheat Varieties in Developing Countries. 7th ed. Washington, DC: Bureau for Science and Technology.

  Damodoran, H. 2016. “After the Revolution.” Indian Express, 6 Dec.

  Darrah, W. C. 1972. Pithole, the Vanished City: A Story of the Early Days of the Petroleum Industry. Gettysburg, PA: William Culp Darrah.

  Darwin, C. 1872. On the Origin of Species. 6th ed. London: John Murray.*

  ———. 1859. On the Origin of Species. 1st ed. London: John Murray.*

  Darwin, C., and A. Wallace. 1858. “On the Tendency of Species to Form Varieties.” Journal of the Proceedings of the Linnean Society of London (Zoology) 3:45–50.*

  Darwin, F., ed. 1887. The Life and Letters of Charles Darwin, Including an Autobiographical Chapter. 3 vols. London: John Murray.

  Dasgupta, B. 1977. Agrarian Change and the New Technology in India. Geneva: U.N. Research Institute for Social Development.

  Davis, D. B. 2006. Inhuman Bondage: The Rise and Fall of Slavery in the New World. OUP.

  Dawe, D. 2000. “The Contribution of Rice Research to Poverty Alleviation.” In Sheehy, J.E., et al., eds. Redesigning Rice Photosynthesis to Increase Yield. Amsterdam: Elsevier, 3-12.

  Dawkins, R. 2004. The Ancestor’s Tale: A Pilgrimage to the Dawn of Life. Boston: Houghton Mifflin.

  Day, D. T. 1909. “Petroleum Resources of the United States.” In United States National Conservation Commission. Report of the National Conservation Commission, with Accompanying Papers, 3:446–64. Washington, DC: Government Printing Office (60th Cong., 2nd Sess., Doc. 676).*

  DeConto, R. M., and D. Pollard. 2016. “Contribution of Antarctica to Past and Future Sea-Level Rise.” Nature 531:591–97.

  Deese, R. S. 2015. We Are Amphibians: Julian and Aldous Huxley on the Future of Our Species. UCB.

  Defoe, D. 1719. The Life and Strange Surprizing Adventures of Robinson Crusoe, of York, Mariner. London: W. Taylor.*

  ———. 1711. An Essay upon the Trade to Africa. [London].*

  De Gans, H. 2002. “Law or Speculation? A Debate on the Method of Forecasting Population Size in the 1920s.” Population 57:83–108.

  Delacorte, G. T. 1929. “Dell Publications.” Writer’s Digest, Jan.

  De Las Rivas, J., et al. 2002. “Comparative Analysis of Chloroplast Genomes: Functional Annotation, Genome-Based Phylogeny, and Deduced Evolutionary Patterns.” Genome Research 12:567–83.*

  DeLillo, D. 1989 (1982). The Names. NY: Vintage Books.

  Delyannis, E. 2005. “Historic Background of Desalination and Renewable Energies.” Solar Energy 75:357–66.

  Delyannis, E., and V. Belessiotis. 2010. “Desalination: The Recent Development Path.” Desalination 264:206–13.

  Dennery, É. 1931 (1930). Asia’s Teeming Millions, and Its Problems for the West, trans. J. Peile. London: Jonathan Cape.

  DeNovo, J. A. 1955. “Petroleum and the United States Navy before World War I.” Mississippi Valley Historical Review 41:641–56.

  Depew, D. J. 2010. “Darwinian Controversies: An Historiographical Recounting.” Science and Education 19:323–66.

  de Ponti, T., et al. 2012. “The Crop Yield Gap Between Organic and Conventional Agriculture.” Agricultural Systems 108:1–9.

  Desrochers, P., and C. Hoffbauer. 2009. “The Post War Intellectual Roots of the Population Bomb: Fairfield Osborn’s ‘Our Plundered Planet’ and William Vogt’s ‘Road to Survival’ in Retrospect.” The Electronic Journal of Sustainable Development 1:37-61.*

  Devereux, M. W. 1941. “Reasons for the Replacement of Children in Foster Home Care Placed by the Boston Children’s Aid Association in 1938, 1939, and 1940.” M.A. thesis, Boston University School of Social Work.*

  Devereux, S. 2000. Famine in the Twentieth Century. Institute of Development Studies Working Paper 105. Brighton, UK: University of Sussex.*

  Devlin, J. C., and G. Naismith. 1977. The World of Roger Tory Peterson. NY: New York Times Books.

  Dey, D. 1995. Acorn Production in Red Oak. Sault Ste. Marie: Ontario Forest Research Institute.*

  Diamond, J. 2012. The World Until Yesterday: What Can We Learn from Traditional Societies? New York: Viking.

  ———. 2006. Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed. NY: Viking.

  DiFonzo, J. H., and R. C. Stern. 2007. “Addicted to Fault: Why Divorce Reform Has Lagged in New York.” Pace Law Review 27:559–603.*

  Dil, A.. 2004. “Life and Work of M. S. Swaminathan: An Introductory Essay.” In Life and Work of M. S. Swaminathan: Toward a Hunger-Free World, ed. A. Dil, 29–64. Madras: EastWest Books.

  Dileva, F. D. 1954. “Iowa Farm Price Revolt.” Annals of Iowa 32:171–202.

  DiMichele, W. A., et al. 2007. “Ecological Gradients within a Pennsylvanian Mire Forest.” Geology 35:415–18.

  Dmitri, C., et al. 2005. The 20th Century Transformation of U.S. Agriculture and Farm Policy. Washington, D.C.: USDA (Economic Information Bulletin 3).

  Dodson, J., et al. 2014. “Use of Coal in the Bronze Age in China.” The Holocene 24:525–30.

  Doel, R. E. 2009. “Quelle Place pour les Sciences de l’Environnement Physique dans l’Histoire Environnementale?” Revue d’Histoire Moderne et Contemporaine 56(4): 137–64.*

  Donnelly, K. 2014. “The Red Sea–Dead Sea Project Update.” In Gleick, P. H., et al. The World’s Water, Volume 8. Washington: Island Press, 153-58.

  Doughty, R. W. 1988. Return of the Whooping Crane. Austin: University of Texas Press.

  Dowie, M. 2009. Conservation Refugees: The Hundred-Year Conflict Between Global Conservation and Native Peoples. MIT.

  Drescher, S. 2009. Abolition: A History of Slavery and Antislavery. CUP.

  Dréze, J. 1991. “Famine Prevention in India.” In Sen, A., and J. Drèze, eds. The Political Economy of Hunger, vol. 2. Oxford: Clarendon Press, 13-124.

  Dubin, H. J., and J. P. Brennan. 2009. Combating Stem and Leaf Rust of Wheat: Historical Perspective, Impacts, and Lessons Learned. IFPRI Discussion Paper 910. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute.

  Duffy, D. C. 1994. “The Guano Islands of Peru: The Once and Future Management of a Renewable Resource.” BirdLife Conservation Series 1:68–76.

  ———. 1989. “William Vogt: A Pilgrim on the Road to Survival.” American Birds 43:1256–57.

  Durham, W. H. 1979. Scarcity and Survival in Central America: Ecological Origins of the Soccer War. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press.

  Dworkin, S. 2009. The Viking in the Wheat Field: A Scientist’s Struggle to Preserve the World’s Harvest. NY: Walker Publishing Company.

  Dwyer, J. J. 2002. “Diplomatic Weapons of the Weak: Mexican Policymaking during the U.S.-Mexican Agrarian Dispute, 1934–41.” Diplomatic History 26:375–95.

  Dyson, T. 2005 (1996). Population and Food: Global Trends and Future Prospects. NY: Routledge.

  Dyson, T., an
d A. Maharatna. 1992. “Bihar Famine, 1966-67 and Maharashtra Drought, 1970-73: The Demographic Consequences.” Economic and Political Weekly 27:1325-32.

  E.A.L. 1948. “Is Starvation Ahead?” Boston Globe, 5 Aug.

  East, E. M. 1923. Mankind at the Crossroads. NY: Charles Scribner’s Sons.*

  Easterbrook, G. 1997. “Forgotten Benefactor of Humanity.” AM 279:75–82.

  Ebelot, A. 1869. “La Chaleur Sociale et les Applications Industrielles.” Revue des Deux Mondes 83:1019–21.

  Ebenstein, A. 2010. “The ‘Missing Girls’ of China and the Unintended Consequences of the One Child Policy.” Journal of Human Resources 45:87–115.

  Edwards, P. N. 2011. “History of Climate Modeling.” WIREs Climate Change 2:128–39.

  Edwards, R. D. 2011. “Trends in World Inequality in Life Span Since 1970.” Population and Development Review 37:499–528.

  Egerton, F. E. 1973. “Changing Concepts of the Balance of Nature.” Quarterly Review of Biology 48:322–50.

  Eguiguren Escudero, V. 1894. “Las Lluvias en Piura.” Boletín de la Sociedad Geográfica de Lima 4:241–58.

  Ehrlich, P. R. 2008. “Population, Environment, War, and Racism: Adventures of a Public Scholar.” Antipode 40:383-88.

  ———. 1969. “Eco-Catastrophe!” Ramparts, September.*

  ———. 1968. The Population Bomb. NY: Ballantine Books.

  Ehrlich, P. R., and A. H. Ehrlich. 1981. Extinction: The Causes and Consequences of the Disappearance of Species. NY: Random House.

  ———. 1974. The End of Affluence: A Blueprint for Your Future. NY: Ballantine Books.

  Ehrlich, P. R., and J. P. Holdren. 1969. “Population and Panaceas: A Technological Perspective.” BioScience 19:1065–71.

  Eiberg, H., et al. 2008. “Blue Eye Color in Humans May Be Caused by a Perfectly Associated Founder Mutation in a Regulatory Element Located Within the HERC2 Gene Inhibiting OCA2 Expression.” Human Genetics 123:177–87.

  Ellegard, A. 1958. “Public Opinion and the Press: Reactions to Darwinism.” Journal of the History of Ideas 19:379–87.

  Ellman, M. 1981. “Natural Gas, Restructuring and Re-industrialisation: The Dutch Experience of Industrial Policy.” In Oil or Industry? Energy, Industrialisation and Economic Policy in Canada, Mexico, the Netherlands, Norway and the United Kingdom, ed. T. Barker and V. Brailovsky, 149–66. London: Academic Press.

  Ellis, R. J. 1979. “Most Abundant Protein in the World.” Trends in Biochemical Sciences 4:241–44.

  Elton, C. S. 1930. Animal Ecology and Evolution. Oxford: Clarendon Press.

  Emerson, R. W. 1860. The Conduct of Life. Boston: Ticknor and Fields.*

  Energy Information Administration (U.S.). 2016. Annual Energy Outlook. Washington, DC: Department of Energy.*

  ———. 2013. Updated Capital Cost Estimates for Utility Scale Electricity Generating Plants. Washington, DC: Department of Energy.*

  ———. 1990–. Electric Power Monthly. Washington, DC: Department of Energy.*

  ———. 1970–. Electric Power Annual 2014. Washington, DC: Department of Energy.*

  Epstein, P. R., et al. “Full Cost Accounting for the Life Cycle of Coal.” Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1219:73–98.

  Erdélyi, A. 2002. The Man Who Harvests Sunshine: The Modern Gandhi; M. S. Swaminathan. Budapest: Tertia Kiadó.

  Ericsson, J. 1888. “The Sun Motor.” Scientific American Supplement 26:10592.*

  ———. 1870. “Ericsson’s Solar Engine.” Engineering (London), 14 Oct.*

  Errington, P. 1938. “No Quarter.” Bird-Lore 40:5-6.

  Esfandiary, F. M. 1973. Up-Wingers: A Futurist Manifesto. NY: John Day Co.

  Esteva, G. 1983. The Struggle for Rural Mexico. South Hadley, MA: Bergin & Garvey.

  European Environment Agency. 2011. Europe’s Environment: An Assessment of Assessments. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union.*

  Evans, H. B. 1997. Water Distribution in Ancient Rome: The Evidence of Frontinus. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.

  Evans, S. M. 1997 (1989). Born for Liberty: A History of Women in America. 2nd ed. NY: Free Press.

  Eve, A. S., and C. H. Creasey. 1945. Life and Work of John Tyndall. London: Macmillan & Co.

  Evenson, R. E., and D. Gollin. 2003. “Assessing the Impact of the Green Revolution, 1960 to 2000.” Science 300:758–62.

  Ezkurdia, I., et al. 2014. “Multiple Evidence Strands Suggest That There May Be as Few as 19,000 Human Protein-Coding Genes.” Human Molecular Genetics 23:5866–78.

  Fagan, B. 2009 (1999). Floods, Famines, and Emperors: El Niño and the Fate of Civilizations. 2nd ed. NY: Basic Books.

  Fagundes, N. J. R., et al. 2007. “Statistical Evaluation of Alternative Models of Human Evolution.” PNAS 104:17614–19.

  Fairbarn, R. H. 1919. History of Chickasaw and Howard Counties, Iowa. 2 vols. Chicago: S. J. Clarke.

  Famiglietti, J. S. 2014. “The Global Groundwater Crisis.” Nature Climate Change 4:945–48.

  Farley, J. 2004. To Cast Out Disease: A History of the International Health Division of the Rockefeller Foundation. OUP.

  Fatondji, D., et al. 2001. “Zai: A Traditional Technique for Land Rehabilitation in Niger.” ZEF News: 1–2.

  Feder, E. 1976. “McNamara’s Little Green Revolution: World Bank Scheme for Self-Liquidation of Third World Peasantry.” Economic and Political Weekly 11:532–41.

  Ferguson, R. B. 2013a. “Pinker’s List: Exaggerating Prehistoric War Mortality.” In Fry, ed. 2013:112–31.

  ———. 2013b. “The Prehistory of War and Peace in Europe and the Near East.” In Fry, ed. 2013:191–240.

  ———. 1995. Yanomami Warfare: A Political History. Santa Fe, NM: School of American Research Press.

  Ferling, J. 2013. Jefferson and Hamilton: The Rivalry That Forged a Nation. NY: Bloomsbury.

  Ferrier, R. W. 2000 (1982). The History of the British Petroleum Company. Vol. 1. CUP.

  Feuer, L. S. 1975. “Is the ‘Darwin–Marx Correspondence’ Authentic?” Annals of Science 32: 1–12.

  Fialka, J. 1974. “Solar Energy’s Big Push into the Marketplace.” Washington Star, 17 July.

  Fischer, T., et al. 2014. Crop Yields and Global Food Security: Will Yield Increase Continue to Feed the World? Canberra: Australian Centre for International Agricultural Research.

  Fitzgerald, D. 1986. “Exporting American Agriculture: The Rockefeller Foundation in Mexico, 1943–53.” Social Studies of Science 16:457–83.

  Flader, S. L. 1994. Thinking like a Mountain: Aldo Leopold and the Evolution of an Ecological Attitude Toward Deer, Wolves, and Forests. Madison: University of Wisconsin Press.

  Flandreau, C. E. 1900. The History of Minnesota and Tales of the Frontier. St. Paul, MN: E. W. Porter.*

  Flanner, J. 1949. “Letter from Paris.” The New Yorker, 7 May.

  Fleming, J. R. 2010. Fixing the Sky: The Checkered History of Weather and Climate Control. CUP.

  ———. 2007. The Callendar Effect: The Life and Work of Guy Stewart Callendar (1898–1964). Boston: American Meteorological Society.

  ———. 1998. Historical Perspectives on Climate Change. OUP.

  Floudas, D., et al. 2012. “The Paleozoic Origin of Enzymatic Lignin Decomposition Reconstructed from 31 Fungal Genomes.” Science 336:1715–19.

  Foley, J. 2014. “A Five-Step Plan to Feed the World.” National Geographic 225:4–21.

  Foote, E. 1856. “Circumstances Affecting the Heat of the Sun’s Rays.” American Journal of Science and Arts 22:382-83.

  Forest Europe. 2015. State of Europe’s Forests 2015. Madrid: Ministerial Conference on the Protection of Forests in Europe.*

  Fosdick, R. B. 1988. The Story of the Rockefeller Foundation. NY: Transaction Publishers.

  Foskett, D. J. 1953. “Wilberforce and Huxley on Evolution.” Nature 172:920.

  Fourcroy, A. F., and L. N. Vauquelin. 1806. “Mémoire sur le Guano, ou sur l’Engrais Naturel des Îlots de la Mer du Sud, près des Côtes du Pérou.
” Memoires de l’Institut des Sciences, Lettres et Arts: Sciences Mathématiques et Physiques 6:369–81.*

  Fourier, J. 1824. “Remarques Générales sur les Températures du Globe Terrestre et des Espaces Planétaires.” Annales de Chemie et de Physique 27:136–67.*

  ———. 1827. “Mémoire sur les Températures du Globe Terrestre et des Espaces Planétaires.” Mémoires de l’Académie Royale des Sciences 7:569–604.*

  Fowler, G. 1972. “Hugh Moore, Industrialist, Dies.” NYT, 26 Nov.

  Fox, S. 1981. The American Conservation Movement: John Muir and His Legacy. Madison: University of Wisconsin Press.

  Frank, C. R., Jr. 2014. The Net Benefits of Low and No-Carbon Electricity Technologies. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution.*

  Franklin, B. 1755. Observations Concerning the Increase of Mankind, Peopling of Countries, &c. Boston: S. Kneeland.*

  Frederickson, D. S. 1991. “Asilomar and Recombinant DNA: The End of the Beginning.” In Biomedical Politics, ed. K. E. Hanna, 258–307. Washington, DC: National Academies Press.

  Freebairn, D. K. 1995. “Did the Green Revolution Concentrate Incomes? A Quantitative Study of Research Reports.” World Development 23:265-79.

  Freeman, M. C., et al. 2015. “Climate Sensitivity Uncertainty: When Is Good News Bad?” PTRS 373(2055).

  Freese, B. 2004 (2003). Coal: A Human History. NY: Penguin Books.

  Freire, P. 2014 (1968). Pedagogy of the Oppressed, trans. M. B. Ramos. NY: Bloomsbury.

  Fritts, C. E. 1883. “On a New Form of Selenium Cell, and Some Electrical Discoveries Made by Its Use.” American Journal of Science 126:465–72.*

  ———. 1885. “On the Fritts Selenium Cells and Batteries.” Proceedings of the American Association for the Advancement of Science 33:97–108.*

  Froeb, A. C. 1936. “Accomplishments in Mosquito Control in Suffolk County, Long Island.” In Proceedings of the New Jersey Mosquito Extermination Association 1936:128–29.

  Fromartz, S. 2006. Organic, Inc.: Natural Foods and How They Grew. NY: Harvest Books.

  Frost, P. 2006. “European Hair and Eye Color: A Case of Frequency-Dependent Sexual Selection?” Evolution and Human Behavior 27:85–103.