Popularity

Home > Other > Popularity > Page 17
Popularity Page 17

by Roger Ibbotson


  ———. 1976b. “Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation: Simulations of the Future (1976–2000).” Journal of Business 49 (3): 313–38.

  Idzorek, Thomas M. 2015. “How Popularity Drives Returns.” Morningstar Magazine (April/May): 48–51.

  Idzorek, Thomas M., and Roger G. Ibbotson. 2017. “Popularity and Asset Pricing.” Journal of Investing 26 (1): 46–56.

  Idzorek, Thomas M., James X. Xiong, and Roger G. Ibbotson. 2012. “The Liquidity Style of Mutual Funds.” Financial Analysts Journal 68 (6): 38–53.

  Jegadeesh, Narasimhan. 1990. “Evidence of Predictable Behavior of Security Returns.” Journal of Finance 45 (3): 881–98.

  Jegadeesh, Narasimhan, and Sheridan Titman. 1993. “Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency.” Journal of Finance 48 (1): 65–91.

  Jensen, Michael C., Fischer Black, and Myron Scholes. 1972. “The Capital Asset Pricing Model: Some Empirical Tests.” In Studies in the Theory of Capital Markets , edited by Michael C. Jensen. New York: Praeger.

  Jensen, Michael J. 1968. “The Performance of Mutual Funds in the Period 1945–1964.” Journal of Finance 23 (2): 389–416.

  Jerison, Meyer. 1984. “Social Welfare and the Unrepresentative Representative Consumer.” Working paper, SUNY Albany.

  Jorion, Phillippe, and William N. Goetzmann. 1999. “Global Stock Markets in the Twentieth Century.” Journal of Finance 54 (3): 953–80.

  Kahneman, Daniel, and Amos Tversky. 1979. “Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk.” Econometrica 47 (2): 263–91.

  Kirman, Alan. 2006. “Heterogeneity in Economics.” Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination 1 (1): 89–117.

  Kraus, Alan, and Robert H. Litzenberger. 1976. “Skewness Preference and the Valuation of Risk Assets.” Journal of Finance 31 (4): 1085–100.

  Kumar, Alok. 2007. “Do the Diversification Choices of Individual Investors Influence Stock Returns?” Journal of Financial Markets 10 (4): 362–90.

  Lakonishok, Josef, Andrea Shleifer, and Robert W. Vishny. 1994. “Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk.” Journal of Finance 49 (5): 1541–78.

  Lintner, John. 1965. “The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets.” Review of Economics and Statistics 47 (1): 13–37.

  ———. 1969. “The Aggregation of Investor’s Diverse Judgements and Preferences in Purely Competitive Security Markets.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 4 (4): 347–400.

  Lo, Andrew W. 2017. Adaptive Markets: Financial Evolution at the Speed of Thought . Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.

  Madden, Thomas J., Frank Fehle, and Susan Fournier. 2006. “Brands Matter: An Empirical Demonstration of the Creation of Shareholder Value through Branding.” Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science 34 (2): 224–35.

  Markowitz, Harry M. 1952. “Portfolio Selection.” Journal of Finance 7 (1): 77–91.

  ———. 1959. Portfolio Selection: Efficient Diversification of Investments . New York: John Wiley.

  ———. 1987. Mean–Variance Analysis in Choice and Capital Markets . Oxford, UK: Basil Blackwell Ltd.

  Mehra, Rajnish, and Edward Prescott. 1985. “The Equity Premium: A Puzzle.” Journal of Monetary Economics 15 (2): 145–61.

  ———. 2003. “The Equity Premium in Retrospect.” In Handbook of the Economics of Finance , edited by G. Constantinides, Rene M. Stultz, and M. Harris, 889–938. Amsterdam: Elsevier.

  Mitton, Todd, and Keith Vorkink. 2007. “Equilibrium Underdiversification and the Preference for Skewness.” Review of Financial Studies 20 (4): 1255–88.

  Odean, Terrance. 1999. “Do Investors Trade Too Much?” American Economic Review 89(5): 1279–98.

  Pástor, L., and R. Stambaugh. 2003. “Liquidity and Expected Return.” Journal of Political Economy 111 (3): 642–85.

  Pesando, James E. 1993. “Art as Investment: The Market for Modern Prints.” American Economic Review 83 (5): 1075–89.

  Plyakha, Yuliya, Raman Uppal, and Grigory Vilkov. 2014. “Equal or Value Weighting? Implications for Asset-Pricing Tests.” Working paper (15 January). http://ssrn.com/abstract=1787045 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1787045 .

  Reinganum, Marc R. 1981. “Misspecification of Capital Asset Pricing: Empirical Anomalies Based on Earnings’ Yield and Market Values.” Journal of Financial Economics 9 (1): 19–46.

  Rietz, Thomas A. 1988. “The Equity Risk Premium: A Solution.” Journal of Monetary Economics 22 (1): 117–31.

  Ross, Stephen A. 1976. “The Arbitrage Theory of Capital Asset Pricing.” Journal of Economic Theory 13 (3): 341–60.

  Rostad, Knut A. 2013. The Man in the Arena: Vanguard Founder John C. Bogle and His Lifelong Battle to Serve Investors First . New York: John Wiley.

  Sharpe, William F. 1964. “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Conditions of Risk.” Journal of Finance 19 (3): 425–42.

  ———. 1988. “Determining a Fund’s Effective Asset Mix.” Investment Management Review (December): 59–69.

  ———. 1992. “Asset Allocation: Management Style and Performance Measurement.” Journal of Portfolio Management 18 (2): 7–19.

  Shefrin, Hersh, and Meir Statman. 1994. “Behavioral Capital Asset Pricing Theory.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 29 (3): 323–49.

  Siegel, Laurence B. 2017. “The Equity Risk Premium: A Contextual Literature Review.” In Literature Reviews . Charlottesville, VA: CFA Institute Research Foundation.

  Spaenjers, Christophe, William N. Goetzmann, and Elena Mamonova. 2015. “The Economics of Aesthetics and Record Prices for Art since 1701.” Explorations in Economic History 57 (July).

  Statman, Meir. 2004. “The Diversification Puzzle.” Financial Analysts Journal 60 (4): 44–53.

  ———. 2017. Finance for Normal People: How Investors and Markets Behave . New York: Oxford University Press.

  Statman, Meir, Kenneth L. Fisher, and Deniz Anginer. 2008. “Affect in a Behavioral Asset-Pricing Model.” Financial Analysts Journal 64 (2): 20–29.

  Statman, Meir, and Denys Glushkov. 2011. “A Behavioral Asset Pricing Model with Social Responsibility Factors.” Working paper (18 November).

  Stattman, Dennis. 1980. “Book Values and Stock Returns.” The Chicago MBA: A Journal of Selected Papers 4: 25–45.

  Stein, John P. 1977. “The Monetary Appreciation of Paintings.” Journal of Political Economy 85 (5): 1021–35.

  Straehl, Phillip U., and Roger G. Ibbotson. 2017. “The Long-Run Drivers of Stock Returns: Total Payouts and the Real Economy.” Financial Analysts Journal 73 (3): 32–52.

  Thaler, Richard H., and Cass R. Sunstein. 2008. Nudge: Improving Decisions about Health, Wealth, and Happiness . New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.

  Tversky, Amos, and Daniel Kahneman. 1974. “Judgement and Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.” Science 185 (4147): 1124–31.

  Weil, Philippe. 1989. “The Equity Premium Puzzle and the Risk-Free Rate Puzzle.” Journal of Monetary Economics 24 (3): 401–21.

  Williams, John Burr. 1938. The Theory of Investment Value . Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.

  Xiong, James X., and Roger G. Ibbotson. 2015. “Momentum, Acceleration, and Reversal.” Journal of Investment Management 13 (1): 84–95.

  Xiong, James X., and Thomas M. Idzorek. Forthcoming 2019. “Quantifying the Skewness Loss of Diversification.” Journal of Investment Management 17 (2).

  Zajonc, Robert B. 1980. “Feeling and Thinking: Preferences Need No Inferences.” American Psychologist 35 (2): 151–75.

  The CFA Institute

  Research Foundation

  Board of Trustees

  2018–2019

  Chair

  Ted Aronson, CFA AJO

  Jeffery V. Bailey, CFA* Tonka Bay, MN

  Bill Fung, PhD Aventura, FL

  Diane Garnick Greenwich, CT

  JT Grier, CFA* Virginia Retirement System

  J
oanne Hill CBOE Vest Financial

  George R. Hoguet, CFA Chesham Investments, LLC

  Robert Jenkins, FSIP London Business School

  Joachim Klement, CFA Fidante Partners

  Vikram Kuriyan, PhD, CFA GWA and Indian School of Business

  Aaron Low, CFA LUMIQ

  Diane Nordin, CFA Concord, MA

  Mauro Miranda, CFA CFA Society Brazil

  Sophie Palmer, CFA Jarislowsky Fraser

  Paul Smith, CFA CFA Institute

  *Emeritus

  Officers and Directors

  Executive Director

  Bud Haslett, CFA

  CFA Institute

  Gary P. Brinson Director of Research

  Laurence B. Siegel

  Blue Moon Communications

  Associate Research Director

  Luis Garcia-Feijoo, CFA, CIPM

  Coral Gables, Florida

  Secretary

  Jessica Critzer

  CFA Institute

  Treasurer

  Kim Maynard

  CFA Institute

  Research Foundation Review Board

  William J. Bernstein

  Efficient Frontier Advisors

  Elroy Dimson

  London Business School

  Stephen Figlewski

  New York University

  William N. Goetzmann

  Yale School of Management

  Elizabeth R. Hilpman

  Barlow Partners, Inc.

  Paul D. Kaplan, CFA

  Morningstar, Inc.

  Robert E. Kiernan III

  Advanced Portfolio Management

  Andrew W. Lo

  Massachusetts Institute of Technology

  Alan Marcus

  Boston College

  Paul O’Connell

  FDO Partners

  Krishna Ramaswamy

  University of Pennsylvania

  Andrew Rudd

  Advisor Software, Inc.

  Stephen Sexauer

  Allianz Global Investors Solutions

  Lee R. Thomas

  Pacific Investment Management Company

  Named Endowments

  The CFA Institute Research Foundation acknowledges with sincere gratitude the generous contributions of the Named Endowment participants listed below.

  Gifts of at least US$100,000 qualify donors for membership in the Named Endowment category, which recognizes in perpetuity the commitment toward unbiased, practitioner-oriented, relevant research that these firms and individuals have expressed through their generous support of the CFA Institute Research Foundation.

  Ameritech

  Anonymous

  Robert D. Arnott

  Theodore R. Aronson, CFA

  Asahi Mutual Life Insurance Company

  Batterymarch Financial Management

  Boston Company

  Boston Partners Asset Management, L.P.

  Gary P. Brinson, CFA

  Brinson Partners, Inc.

  Capital Group International, Inc.

  Concord Capital Management

  Dai-Ichi Life Insurance Company

  Daiwa Securities

  Mr. and Mrs. Jeffrey Diermeier

  Gifford Fong Associates

  Investment Counsel Association of America, Inc.

  Jacobs Levy Equity Management

  John A. Gunn, CFA

  John B. Neff, CFA

  Jon L. Hagler Foundation

  Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan, Ltd.

  Lynch, Jones & Ryan, LLC

  Meiji Mutual Life Insurance Company

  Miller Anderson & Sherrerd, LLP

  Nikko Securities Co., Ltd.

  Nippon Life Insurance Company of Japan

  Nomura Securities Co., Ltd.

  Payden & Rygel

  Provident National Bank

  Frank K. Reilly, CFA

  Salomon Brothers

  Sassoon Holdings Pte. Ltd.

  Scudder Stevens & Clark

  Security Analysts Association of Japan

  Shaw Data Securities, Inc.

  Sit Investment Associates, Inc.

  Standish, Ayer & Wood, Inc.

  State Farm Insurance Company

  Sumitomo Life America, Inc.

  T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.

  Templeton Investment Counsel Inc.

  Frank Trainer, CFA

  Travelers Insurance Co.

  USF&G Companies

  Yamaichi Securities Co., Ltd.

  Senior Research Fellows

  Financial Services Analyst Association

  For more on upcoming CFA Institute Research Foundation publications and webcasts, please visit www.cfainstitute.org/learning/foundation .

  Research Foundation monographs are online at www.cfainstitute.org .

  RESEARCH FOUNDATION CONTRIBUTION FORM

  https://www.cfainstitute.org/en/research/foundation/donate

  ___________

  The residual (ϵ i,t ) is computed from the regression of the excess return on the contemporaneous market excess return for security i in period t . The term ϵ m,t is the market return in period t in excess of average market return.

  44 Our data consist of the stock universe consisting of all the stocks on the NYSE, American Stock Exchange, and NASDAQ for the 26-year period from January 1991 through August 2017. We collected monthly returns from Morningstar Direct. We included stocks with an initial price greater than $5 in each period. We excluded derivative securities of foreign stocks, such as ADRs. January 1991 covers 833 stocks, and August 2017 covers 2,219 stocks.

  45 http://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/data_library.html .

  46 The WRDS (Wharton Research Data Services) website is at wrds-web.wharton.upenn. edu. CRSP (Center for Research in Security Prices) data are from the University of Chicago, Booth School of Business. The Compustat data are from Standard & Poor’s, which is a division of the McGraw-Hill Companies.

  47 The inclusion criteria for stocks were as follows: common stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange, the American Stock Exchange and successor exchanges, or the NASDAQ exchange but excluding real estate investment trusts, warrants, American depositary receipts, exchange-traded funds, Americus Trust components, and closed-end funds. Data for trading volume, total returns, earnings, shares outstanding, and price had to be available for the 12 months of the selection year. The stock price at the end of the selection year had to be at least $2. Finally, the market cap of included companies had to rank within the largest 3,000 for the year and exceed a fixed fraction of the aggregate market cap at year end, equal to that of a $140 million company at the end of 2014.

  48 In particular, we did not include Fama–French regression coefficients because they may not be indicative of underlying characteristics, such as size or value.

  49 See Note 21 in Chapter 2 .

  50 IK included return on equity (ROE) as a measure of value. Because ROE is based on book value, however, rather than market value (as is the case with both B/M and E/P), we do not regard it as a measure of value. Furthermore, because the market cap or share price of a stock is the denominator in B/M and E/P and market cap is an indirect indicator of popularity, B/M and E/P are clearly related to popularity.

 

 

 


‹ Prev