Collision 2012: Obama vs. Romney and the Future of Elections in America

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Collision 2012: Obama vs. Romney and the Future of Elections in America Page 51

by Balz, Dan


  One article in particular: Drew Westen, “What Happened to Obama?,” New York Times, August 6, 2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/07/opinion/sunday/what-happened-to-obamas-passion.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0.

  “While many folks here are flattered”: “Welcome, Mr. President,” Dubuque Telegraph Herald, August 16, 2011.

  On his second day: Eileen Mozinski Schmidt, “Obama in Iowa,” Dubuque Telegraph Herald, August 17, 2011.

  The New York Times’ Mark Landler: Mark Landler, “Far from Capital, Obama Still Finds Its Woes,” New York Times, August 17, 2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/18/us/politics/18obama.html?_r=0.

  At his last stop: Jeff Zeleny, “Obama, on Midwest Tour, Moves to Regain Mantle of Campaigner,” New York Times, August 18, 2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/19/us/politics/19memo.html?_r=0.

  “It was distressing”: “Oh, Grow Up,” New York Times, September 1, 2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/02/opinion/oh-grow-up.html?_r=0.

  “Mr. Boehner, Mr. McConnell”: Jack Brammer and Kelsey Sheridan, “At Ohio River Bridge, Obama Calls Out McConnell, Boehner on Jobs,” Lexington Herald-Leader, September 23, 2011, http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2011/09/23/125034/at-ohio-river-bridge-obama-calls.html.

  One blog, created by a pair: We Are the 99 Percent, http://wearethe99percent.tumblr.com/.

  Mother Jones magazine: Adam Weinstein, “‘We Are the 99 Percent’ Creators Revealed,” motherjones.com, October 7, 2011, http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2011/10/we-are-the-99-percent-creators.

  “Obama has gone from a modest favorite”: Nate Silver, “Is Obama Toast? Handicapping the 2012 Election,” New York Times Magazine, November 6, 2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/06/magazine/nate-silver-handicaps-2012-election.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0.

  Later that year: Sasha Issenberg, “How President Obama’s Campaign Used Big Data to Rally Individual Voters,” MIT Technology Review, December 19, 2012, http://www.technologyreview.com/featuredstory/509026/how-obamas-team-used-big-data-to-rally-voters/.

  They consulted with: Benedict Carey, “Academic ‘Dream Team’ Helped Obama’s Effort,” New York Times, November 12, 2012, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/13/health/dream-team-of-behavioral-scientists-advised-obama-campaign.html?pagewanted=all.

  BOOK TWO: THE REPUBLICANS

  One clip showed Romney saying grace: To view the video, go to http://www.gather.com/viewVideo.action?id=11821949021852363.

  “State auditors, county commissioners”: Nicholas Confessore and Ashley Parker, “Romney, Always Campaigning for Others . . . and for Himself,” New York Times, November 5, 2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/06/us/politics/mitt-romney-campaigns-tirelessly-and-not-just-for-himself.html?pagewanted=all.

  “Romney had accomplished”: Ryan Lizza, “Romney’s Dilemma,” New Yorker, June, 6, 2011, http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2011/06/06/110606fa_fact_lizza?currentPage=all.

  The morning of the speech: Editorial, “Obama’s Running Mate,” Wall Street Journal, May 12, 2011, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703864204576317413439329644.html.

  The next morning: Untitled Romney letter to the editor, Wall Street Journal, May 13, 2011, http://professional.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703730804576319660196107724.html?mod=WSJ_Opinion_AboveLEFTTop&mg=reno-wsj.

  “The likely Republican presidential candidate”: Editorial, “Romney’s Daredevil Act,” Wall Street Journal, May 13, 2011, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703864204576319312743766234.html.

  In the first year of Obama’s presidency: Sam Tanenhaus, The Death of Conservatism (New York: Random House, 2009), Kindle edition, Loc 4 of 127.

  “President Obama, are you listening?”: Video of CNBC’s Rick Santelli, February 19, 2009, http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bEZB4taSEoA.

  Some scholars saw it: Alan Abramowitz, “Partisan Polarization and the Rise of the Tea Party Movement,” prepared for the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting, September 2011.

  Others described it: Gary Jacobson, “The President, the Tea Party, and Voting Behavior in 2010,” prepared for the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting, September 2011.

  Still others noted: Nicole C. Rae, “The Return of Conservative Populism: The Rise of the Tea Party and Its Impact on American Politics,” prepared for the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting, September 2011.

  In the summer of 2012: Dan Balz and Jon Cohen, “Big Gulf Between Parties, Divisions Within,” Washington Post, August 18, 2012, http://articles.washingtonpost.com/2012-08-18/politics/35492941_1_democratic-party-fractious-coalitions-gop-coalition.

  In another case: Andrew Ferguson, “The Boy from Yazoo City,” Weekly Standard 16, no. 15 (December 27, 2010), http://www.weeklystandard.com/articles/boy-yazoo-city_523551.html.

  “I take a little umbrage”: Karen Tumulty interview with Mike Huckabee, transcript of interview shared with the author.

  “Instead of throwing red meat”: Karen Tumulty, “Does Mike Huckabee Still Want to Be President?,” Washington Post, February 21, 2011, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/02/20/AR2011022003760.html.

  She turned to Jason Recher: To view the video, go to http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eO5pzipR6uc.

  In the video, Palin said: “Full Text of Sarah Palin’s Statement,” Politico.com, January 12, 2011, http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0111/47478.html.

  In January 2010, Daniels: A fuller account of this meeting is contained in Tom Bevan and Carl Cannon’s e-book Election 2012: The Battle Begins (New York: Crown, 2012), Kindle edition, Loc 1206 of 2342.

  Christie was born in Newark: Almanac of American Politics, http://www.nationaljournal.com/almanac/member/1782.

  “He was indisputably”: Ibid.

  As talk of a candidacy continued: Andy Barr, “Chris Christie: ‘Zero Chance’ for 2012 Bid,” Politico.com, November 4, 2010, http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1110/44712.html.

  Former Minnesota senator David Durenberger: Graydon Royce, “A Mix of Boyish Charm and Drive That Found a Purpose,” Minneapolis Star Tribune, October 20, 2006.

  “Not because he was negative”: Ibid.

  On one occasion: Brian Montopoli, “Sarah Palin, Michele Bachmann Rally Thousands in Minneapolis,” CBSnews.com, April 7, 2010, http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-20001959-503544.html.

  CNBC’s Lawrence Kudlow: Larry Kudlow, “Pawlenty 5 Percent Growth Vision,” Town-hallFinance.com, http://finance.townhall.com/columnists/larrykudlow/2011/06/11/pawlenty_5_percent_growth_vision.

  Jack Welch, the former CEO: Abby W. Schachter, “Pawlenty Boring? Not When He Envisions 5 Percent Growth,” New York Post, June 10, 2011, http://www.nypost.com/p/blogs/capitol/pawlenty_boring_not_when_he_envisions_1Zmbl3s31XUfEk3JFijvdI.

  Veteran reporter Walter Shapiro: Walter Shapiro, “The New Hampshire Debate: Michele Bachmann’s Surprisingly Mature Performance,” NewRepublic.com, June 14, 2011, http://www.tnr.com/article/politics/89944/new-hampshire-debate-michele-bachmann.

  “His job description is debate coach”: Amy Gardner, “The Candidate Whisperer: The Man Behind Michele Bachmann,” Washington Post, September 21, 2011, http://articles.washingtonpost.com/2011-09-21/lifestyle/35274117_1_bachmann-team-michele-bachmann-debate-coach.

  The Register’s Jennifer Jacobs wrote: Jennifer Jacobs, “Iowa Poll: Bachmann in Lead; Cain Third; Others Find Little Traction,” Des Moines Register, June 25, 2011, http://caucuses.desmoinesregister.com/2011/06/25/iowa-poll-romney-bachmann-in-lead-cain-third-others-find-little-traction/.

  The Dallas Morning News reported: “50 Things You Need to Know About Texas Gov. Rick Perry,” Dallas Morning News, October 11, 2010, http://www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/state-politics/20101011-50-things-you-need-to-know-about-texas-gov.-rick-perry.ece.

  His mother made his clothes: Mark Z. Barabak, “Rick Perry Has a History of Acrimony with George W. Bush,” Lo
s Angeles Times, June 30, 2011, http://articles.latimes.com/print/2011/jun/30/nation/la-na-0630-perry-bush-20110630.

  He was an Eagle Scout: “50 Things You Need to Know About Texas Gov. Rick Perry.”

  Jay Root of the Texas Tribune: Jay Root, Oops: A Diary from the 2012 Campaign Trail (San Francisco: Byliner, 2012), Kindle edition, Loc 3051 of 3136.

  On the night of October 30: Jonathan Martin, Maggie Haberman, Anna Palmer, and Kenneth P. Vogel, “Herman Cain Accused by Two Women of Inappropriate Behavior,” Politico.com, October 30, 2011, http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1011/67194.html.

  Cain’s lawyer appeared to contradict: Brian Montopoli, “Herman Cain ‘Reassessing’ Candidacy After Affair Claim,” CBSnews.com, November 29, 2011, http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-57332967-503544/herman-cain-reassessing-candidacy-after-affair-claim/.

  Four days after White made her statement: John DiStaso, “Cain: Wife Didn’t Know About Friendship, ‘Financial Assistance’ to Ginger White,” New Hampshire Union Leader, December 1, 2011, http://www.unionleader.com/article/20111201/NEWS0605/111209989.

  “We went through the two worst months”: Karen Tumulty, “Newt Gingrich: GOP’s Consummate Survivor Is Back on His Feet,” Washington Post, October 29, 2011, http://articles.washingtonpost.com/2011-10-29/politics/35277681_1_newt-gingrich-chick-fil-a-herman-cain.

  “I think he’s making a big mistake”: Jonathan Martin, “Iowa Governor Terry Branstad to Mitt Romney: ‘Iowans Don’t Like to Be Ignored,’” Politico.com, November 16, 2011, http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1111/68489.html.

  Ten of those committees: R. Sam Garrett, “Super PACs in Federal Elections: Overview and Issues for Congress,” Congressional Research Service, October 6, 2011, http://op.bna.com/der.nsf/id/rtar-8n6pkq/$File/Super%20Pacs%20in%20Federal%20Elections.pdf.

  “This isn’t a year-and-a-half campaign”: Richard A. Oppel Jr., “Paul’s ‘Ground Game,’ in Place Since ’08, Gives Him an Edge,” New York Times, December 16, 2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/17/us/politics/ron-pauls-ground-game-gives-him-an-edge.html?pagewanted=all.

  Then came this paragraph: “Romney Leads Paul in New Des Moines Register Iowa Poll; Santorum Surges,” Des Moines Register, December 31, 2011, http://caucuses.desmoinesregister.com/2011/12/31/romney-leads-paul-in-new-des-moines-register-iowa-poll-santorum-surging/.

  “If he wants to counterbalance”: Nicholas Confessore and Eric Lipton, “A Big Check, and Gingrich Gets a Big Lift,” New York Times, January 9, 2012, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/10/us/politics/sheldon-adelson-a-billionaire-gives-gingrich-a-big-lift.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0.

  The New Yorker’s Steve Coll: Steve Coll, “The Truth in ‘King of Bain,’” New Yorker blog, January 19, 2012, http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/comment/2012/01/romney-king-of-bain.html?printable=true¤tPage=all.

  When a woman in the audience: Jim Rutenberg and Ashley Parker, “As Attacks Heat Up, Romney’s Lead Narrows in S.C.,” New York Times, January 18, 2012, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/19/us/romneys-lead-narrows-in-south-carolina-as-negative-advertising-heats-up.html?pagewanted=all.

  Later, as he rode up the elevator: Philip Rucker, “Which Romney Will Show Up After Defeat?,” Washington Post, January 21, 2012, http://articles.washingtonpost.com/2012-01-21/politics/35441333_1_mitt-romney-enterprise-and-economic-freedom-guest-laundry-room.

  Gingrich, greeted with chants: Jim Rutenberg, “Gingrich Wins South Carolina Primary, Upending G.O.P. Race,” New York Times, January 21, 2012, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/22/us/politics/south-carolina-republican-primary.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0.

  Politico’s Reid Epstein: Reid J. Epstein, “Mitt Romney: Newt Gingrich Is a ‘Failed Leader,’ ‘Disgrace,’” Politico.com, January 22, 2012, http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0112/71802.html.

  Those comments came: “Excerpt from Santorum Interview,” USA Today, April 23, 2003, http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/news/washington/2003-04-23-santorum-excerpt_x.htm.

  “We’re giving the Democrats”: Joe Hallett and David Eggert, “Front-Runners Busy on Final Day Before Primary,” Columbus Dispatch, March 6, 2012, http://www.dispatch.com/content/stories/local/2012/03/06/supershowdown-front-runners-busy-on-final-day.html.

  Republican pollster Bill McInturff: Mark Murray, “NBC/WSJ Poll: Primary Season Takes ‘Corrosive’ Toll on GOP and Its Candidates, NBCNews.com, March 4, 2012, http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/03/04/10578249-nbcwsj-poll-primary-season-takes-corrosive-toll-on-gop-and-its-candidates?lite.

  “The 160 pages and 59 proposals”: Editorial, “Mitt Romney’s 59 Economic Flavors,” Wall Street Journal, September 7, 2011, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424053111904537404576554692126810066.html.

  BOOK THREE: THE CHOICE

  The Economist magazine: “An Intractable Problem Is Getting Worse,” Economist, October 1, 2011.

  William Frey, one of the nation’s: William H. Frey, “The 2010 Census: America on the Cusp,” Millken Institute Review, Second Quarter 2012, http://www.milkeninstitute.org/publications/review/2012_4/47-58MR54.pdf.

  Frey sketched out Romney’s challenge: William H. Frey, “Why Minorities Will Decide the 2012 Election,” Brookings Institution, May 2012, http://www.brookings.edu/research/opinions/2012/05/01-race-elections-frey.

  Gary Jacobson of the University of California: Gary Jacobson, “Barack Obama and the American Public: The First 18 Months,” prepared for the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting, September 2010.

  In 1976, about a quarter: Bill Bishop with Robert Cushing, The Big Sort: Why the Clustering of Like-Minded America Is Tearing Us Apart (New York: Houghton Mifflin/Mariner Books, 2009), 10, 305–6.

  A Pew Research Center study: “Partisan Polarization Surges in Bush, Obama Years: Trends in American Values: 1987–2012,” Pew Research Center, June 4, 2012, http://www.people-press.org/2012/06/04/partisan-polarization-surges-in-bush-obama-years/.

  The summer 2012 study: Dan Balz and Jon Cohen, “Big Gulf Between Political Parties, Divisions Within,” Washington Post, August 18, 2012, http://articles.washingtonpost.com/2012-08-18/politics/35492941_1_democratic-party-fractious-coalitions-gop-coalition.

  He urged everyone he knew: Michael Luo, “99 Weeks Later, Jobless Have Only Desperation,” New York Times, August 2, 2010, http://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/03/us/03unemployed.html?_r=0.

  Ed Rendell, the former governor: Zeke Miller, “Is This Obama’s Party?,” Buzzfeed.com, May 22, 2012, http://www.buzzfeed.com/zekejmiller/is-this-obamas-party.

  On June 21, the Washington Post: Tom Hamburger, “Romney’s Bain Capital Invested in Companies That Moved Jobs Overseas,” Washington Post, June 21, 2012, http://articles.washingtonpost.com/2012-06-21/politics/35460959_1_american-jobs-private-equity-firm-employment.

  In July a Boston Globe story: Callum Borchers and Christopher Rowland, “Romney Stayed Longer at Bain,” Boston Globe, July 12, 2012, http://www.boston.com/news/politics/articles/2012/07/12/government_documents_indicate_mitt_romney_continued_at_bain_after_date_when_he_says_he_left/?page=full.

  The next morning, Obama was interviewed: “Obama: Romney Not Necessarily Qualified to Think About ‘Economy as a Whole,’” CBSnews.com, July 13, 2012, http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-505267_162-57471664/obama-romney-not-necessarily-qualified-to-think-about-economy-as-a-whole/.

  Romney went on Fox News: “Romney Calls ‘Felony’ Remark ‘Beneath the Dignity’ of Presidency, Urges Obama to ‘Rein in’ Team,” FoxNews.com, July 13, 2012, http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/07/13/romney-calls-felony-remark-beneath-dignity-presidency-urges-obama-to-rein-in/.

  “The political science research”: John Sides, “Were Obama’s Early Ads Really the Game Changer?,” FiveThirtyEight blog, New York Times, December 29, 2012, http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/12/29/were-obamas-early-ads-really-the-game-changer/.

  Sherry Magner, a pharmacy clerk: Philip Rucker, “As Romney, Ryan Campaign A
cross Wisconsin, ‘Chemistry’ and Talk of a Ticket,” Washington Post, April 4, 2013, http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/as-romney-and-ryan-campaign-across-wisconsin-chemistry-and-talk-of-a-ticket/2012/04/04/gIQAB4sCvS_story_1.html.

  The New York Post, citing sources: Josh Margolin and Beth Defalco, “Christie Chose NJ over Mitt’s VP Role Due to Fears That They’d Lose: Sources,” New York Post, August 27, 2012, http://www.nypost.com/p/news/national/christie_had_veeping_doubts_b1gkN5io8CtDgcuiuEgMqL.

  In addition, then-representative David Rivera: Chris Cillizza, “Could David Rivera Cost Marco Rubio the Vice Presidency?” Washington Post, May 1, 2012, http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/could-david-rivera-keep-marco-rubio-from-the-vice-presidency/2012/05/01/gIQAVYSauT_blog.html.

  A Guardian writer dubbed: Rachel Shabi, “Mitt Romney’s Insult-the-World Tour Excels in Picking on the Palestinians,” Guardian, July 31, 2012, http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/jul/31/mitt-romney-world-tour-palestinians.

  The Weekly Standard had put: Stephen F. Hayes, “Man with a Plan: How Paul Ryan Became the Intellectual Leader of the Republican Party,” Weekly Standard 17, no. 42 (July 23, 2012), http://www.weeklystandard.com/articles/man-plan_648570.html.

  National Review’s Rich Lowry: Rich Lowry, “Don’t Fear Paul Ryan,” New York Post, August 9, 2012, http://www.nypost.com/p/news/opinion/opedcolumnists/don_fear_paul_ryan_ykQKQgfNTms4EZVtXr9FAJ.

  He learned that David liked fireworks: Larry Bivins, “Vermont Couple Give Romney Testimonial at GOP Convention Tonight,” Burlington Free Press, August 30, 2012, http://www.burlingtonfreepress.com/article/20120830/NEWS03/308300029/Vermont-couple-to-give-Romney-testimonial-at-GOP-convention-tonight.

  Within minutes of his posting: David Corn, “The Story Behind the 47 Percent Video,” MotherJones.com, December 31, 2012, http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2012/12/story-behind-47-video.

  New York Times columnist: David Brooks, “Thurston Howell Romney,” New York Times, September 17, 2012, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/18/opinion/brooks-thurston-howell-romney.html.

 

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