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Labyrinth- the Art of Decision-Making

Page 32

by Pawel Motyl

Challenger space shuttle, 7–8, 155–64

  change, 36–7, 192. See also agents of change

  charismatic leadership, 44–50, 240, 281, 309–10. See also authority/experts

  Chhetri, Madan Khatri, 117

  Chrysler, 10–11, 66–7, 142–3

  Churchill, Winston, 330 -11

  CIA, 69–70

  Clausewitz, Carl von, 215

  clear structures, 318

  cloning, 52–3

  Cockpit Resource Management, 314–6

  collapse, process of, 34–5

  collectivism, 145–7, 328 -2

  Collins, Jim, 34–5

  Columbia Accident Investigation Board (CAIB), 168–82

  Columbia space shuttle, 8, 154–60, 166–8

  communication, 179, 220–1

  Compagnie Générale des Eaux (CGE), 45–6

  competitive advantage, 317–8

  concessions, gaining small, 132–3

  Concorde, 54–7, 326 -10

  Concorde fallacy, 56–8

  conformity, 50–4, 87–8, 92

  Cooper, Robert, 327 -11

  Corleo, Luigi, 231

  Cosa Nostra

  organization, 225–39

  rules, 239–40

  cost-cutting, 113–4, 164–6

  Crimson Tide (film), 303–5, 333 -4

  crowdsourcing, 292–5

  Cuban Missile Crisis, 68–9, 70–4, 171

  cultural differences, 67–8, 142–4

  culture, 142–3. See also individualism; masculinity (MAS) index; power distance index (PDI); uncertainty avoidance

  culture, organizational, 141–2, 151–3, 170, 173–5, 182

  daily leaders, 310

  Daimler-Benz and Chrysler merger, 10–11, 66–7, 142–3

  Dalla Chiesa, Carlo Alberto, 233–4

  DARPA, 326 -5

  data

  Big Data, 287–9, 297

  as growing exponentially, 18–9

  as ignored, 66

  overload, 296

  storage, 287

  unreliable, 24, 131

  Deal, Duane, 175

  decision narcissism, 86

  decision salami, 132–3

  decision-makers, 25, 30, 35, 86, 145

  decision-making

  automation, 132, 289, 298

  conflict due to difference in, 304, 305–6, 333 -4

  democratic, 145, 304

  elements affecting, 318–9

  as game, 187

  improving process, 132

  infrastructure, 241, 245

  and leader formation, 246

  as process, 64–5. See also advocacy decision-making; inquiry decision-making

  Deepwater Horizon, 5, 23

  delusions, 274–8

  Diallo, Nafissatou, 254–5

  difference, 87–8

  dispersed leadership, 310–1, 314–6, 318–9

  Draper Labs, 81–2

  Drucker, Peter, 171, 192

  Eaton, Robert J., 10, 66

  Edgett, Scott, 327 -11

  Eichmann, Adolf, 41–2

  El-Erian, Mohamed A., 24

  emotion, 124–5, 128, 150, 263–5, 266–9

  Encyclopædia Britannica, 35–6, 295

  Enron, 49

  errors, avoidable. See mistakes/accidents

  Eurocontrol, 9–10, 66

  EXCOMM (the Executive Committee of the National Security Council), 71–4, 326 -2

  experts. See authority/experts

  experts/authority, 42–4, 60, 80–1, 88 See also charismatic leadership

  Eyjafjallajökull volcano, 9–10, 66

  failures, analyzing, 128–30

  Falcone, Giovanni, 234–5

  Falkland Islands, 148–9

  Fastow, Andrew, 49

  femininity, 147–50, 329 -3

  financial crisis 1997/98, 7

  financial crisis 2008, 22, 24–5, 31, 223–4

  Fischer, Scott, 4–5, 101–2, 106–13, 106–17, 118–21, 122–4

  Fitch, Dennis, 315

  5 Whys, 100–1

  flight ban, 9–10, 66

  The Fog of War (film), 203, 204–5, 326 -2

  Ford Motor Company, 220–1

  García Márquez, Gabriel, 5

  General Electric (GE), 217–9

  Generation X, 290, 332 -5

  Generation Y, 290, 331 -19

  Generation Z, 332 -6

  generations, 289–92, 331 -19, 332nn4–6

  Genovese, Kitty, 184–5

  Getty, John Paul, III, 230

  Gibson, Mel, 267–8

  globalization, 20–1

  Godfather (film trilogy), 225

  Goldin, Daniel, 164–5

  Goldsmith, Marshall, 100 Coaches program, 220–1

  Goleman, Daniel, 263

  Google, 21–2, 47–8

  Groupon, 46–8

  Grove, Andy, 35

  Grown Up Digital (Tapscott), 290

  Gulf of Tonkin, 3–4, 198–203

  habits, 24, 91–2

  Hackman, J. Richard, 245

  Haise, Fred, 74–5

  Halder, Franz, 209, 210

  Hall, Rob, 4–5, 101–2, 105–17, 118–21, 122–4

  Hallock, James, 164–5

  Ham, Linda, 8, 166–7, 172–3

  Hamann, Stephan, 262

  Hansen, Doug, 109, 110, 124

  Haynes, Alfred C., 314–6

  height, 43, 325 -3

  Herrick, John J., 3–4, 201, 203

  high-context communication, 146–7

  Hillary, Edmund, 104, 327 -4

  HiPPO effect, 325 -2

  Hitachi, 21

  Hitler, Adolf, 193, 206–16, 330 -13

  Hofstede, Geert, 142, 143–4, 146

  How the Mighty Fall (Collins), 34–5

  Hunt, John, 104, 327 -4

  Husband, Rick, 8

  Hyundai, 223–4

  IBM, 144

  identifying issues, 133

  implementation, 134–5

  individualism, 145–6, 328 -2

  individualism index (IDV), 145–6

  infallibility, 216

  inquiry decision-making

  Big Data, 288

  Columbia space shuttle, 168

  in Crimson Tide, 305

  and crowdsourcing, 295

  Cuban Missile Crisis, 70–4

  and intuition, 85–6

  Mount Everest climb, 111–2, 114, 115

  NASA, 80–2, 179

  overview, 68–9

  and time, 131

  Vietnam War, 204

  Internet, 19, 290–1, 293, 294

  Internet of Things (IoT), 288–9

  investors, 30–1

  Irvine, Andrew “Sandy,” 102–3

  Jobs, Steve, 134

  Johnson, Lyndon B., 4, 195, 198–201, 202–5, 330 -6

  Kaczyński, Lech, 9

  Kaczyński, Maria, 9

  Kahneman, Daniel, 269–71, 332 -10

  Kaizen, 97–8, 133, 318

  Kennedy, John F., 68–9, 70–5, 171, 205

  Kerwin, Joseph, 83–4

  Khrushchev, Nikita, 72–4

  Khurana, Rakesh, 49

  KLM, 312

  Koyaanisqatsi (film), 17–8

  Krakauer, Jon, 106, 109–10, 112, 115, 32 -5

  Kranz, Gene, 74–81, 77–85, 84–5

  Kruse, Dale, 124–5

  Kurzweil, Ray, 297

  leadership. See also authentic leaders

  agents of change, 216–8, 220, 248–9

  as architect, 222, 240–1, 249

&nbs
p; and black swan events, 53

  and burdens, 245–6

  charismatic leadership, 44–50, 240, 281, 309–10

  dispersed leadership, 310–1, 314–6, 318–9

  formation of, 246–7

  and inclusivity, 220–1

  vs. managers, 133, 172, 193–4

  overview, 191–4

  and people, 220

  roles of, 248–9

  and solutions, 221–2

  and trust, 221

  and values, 221

  vision and strategy, 195, 205–6, 215–6, 238–9, 248

  LeDoux, Joseph, 263

  Lefkofsky, Eric, 47–8

  Leggio, Luciano, 229–31

  Lem, Stanislaw, 285–6

  libido, 255–62

  Liebergot, Seymour, 77

  logic, 268–71, 278, 298

  Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM), 7

  Lopsang Jangbu, 107, 109, 114

  Lovell, James, 74–5

  Macondo, 5

  Mafia, 225–39

  Mafia rules, 239–40

  Mallory, George Herbert Leigh, 102–3

  managers

  and achievement motive, 280

  candidates for, 120–2

  and decision-making, 218

  groups of, 241–3

  vs. leaders, 133, 172, 193–4

  Mount Everest climbers, 122–3

  at NASA, 156–7, 166, 169, 172–3, 177–8, 180

  as scapegoats, 130–1

  Marcks, Erich, 209–10

  Marshall, Barry James, 99–100

  Mason, Andrew, 46–7

  masculinity (MAS) index, 147–50, 329 -3

  The Master and Margarita (Bulgakov), 299

  Matteo, Giuseppe Di, 237

  McAfee, Andrew, 325 -2

  McBroom, Malburn, 313

  McClelland, David, 278–9

  McNamara, Robert S., 73, 199–205, 326 -2, 330 -6

  mental security, 88

  Mercury space project, 75

  Merkle, Ralph, 296

  Merton, Robert C., 6–7, 33–4

  Messier, Jean-Marie, 45–6

  Messner, Reinhold, 104–5

  Microsoft, 48

  Milgram, Stanley, 41–2

  Millennials, 290, 331 -19

  mistakes/accidents

  and airport security, 333 -10

  and authority/experts, 60

  and innovations, 298, 321

  overview, 11

  repeated, 328 -14

  scapegoats, 100

  value of, 128, 206, 328 -14

  World War II, 215

  monkey hunting, 91–3

  monkey ladder experiment, 50–1, 141

  Moore’s Law, 18

  Morton-Thiokol, 156–7, 159

  Moseley, Winston, 184

  motives. See social motives

  Mount Everest

  climbing as risky, 101, 327 -2

  deaths, 5, 101, 103, 105, 110, 123, 328 -5, 328 -14

  Hall and Fischer climbing events, 107–17, 118–21, 122–3, 328 -7

  history of climbing, 102–5

  Hubbard Medal awards, 327 -4

  overview, 4–5, 101–2, 105–7

  Mountain Madness, 4–5, 101–2, 106–17, 118–21, 122–4

  Mulally, Alan, 219–22

  Mulloy, Lawrence, 156

  Nadella, Satya, 48–9

  Nagy, Piroska, 254–5

  nanotechnology, 297

  NASA

  Apollo space missions, 75–85, 85, 326 -6

  authentic leaders, 172, 174, 181–2

  and authority/experts, 170–1

  CAIB report results, 168–82

  Challenger space shuttle, 7–8, 155–64

  Columbia space shuttle, 8, 154–60, 166–8

  cost-cutting, 164–6

  inquiry decision-making, 80–2, 179

  managers, 156–7, 166, 169, 172–3, 177–8, 180

  and risk, 161

  rules and procedures, 179–81

  and time, 177–8

  Navarra, Michele, 228–30

  Nazi Germany, 193, 207–16, 330 -11, 330 -13

  new normal, 24–5, 37, 192, 246, 292

  Ngô Đình Diê.m, 197–8

  9/11, 20

  Nokia, 31–3

  Norgay, Tenzing, 104, 327 -4

  North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD), 20

  Nuovo, Frank, 33

  obedience, 188–9

  O’Donnell, Kenneth, 200

  O’Keefe, Sean, 164–5

  On War (Clausewitz), 215

  One Hundred Years of Solitude (García Márquez), 5

  Operation Barbarossa, 210–2, 330 -13

  organizational culture

  adopting, 173–4

  definition, 141

  as important, 222

  overview, 318

  power of, 170

  shaping, 151–3, 182

  values, 221, 222–5, 227, 237, 239–40

  Page, Larry, 21–2

  PageRank algorithm, 21–2

  Palo Alto Research Center (PARC), 134–5

  Paul, Getty, John, 230

  Paulus, Friedrich Wilhelm, 213–4

  PDSA (Plan-Do-Study-Act), 98

  Petrov, Stanislav Yevgrafovich, 307–8, 333 -5

  Pistorius, Oscar, 265, 332 -7

  Pittman, Sandy Hill, 106–7, 110, 112, 114

  Porsche, 6–7

  positive paranoia, 89–90

  positivity, 29–30, 31, 34, 60

  Powell, Colin, 59

  power distance index (PDI), 144–5, 146, 328 -1

  power of habit, 24

  pressure, 161–3, 171, 187–8, 203

  priming, 271–3

  process audits, 90

  project elimination, 91, 132

  Provenzano, Bernardo, 230, 231, 237, 237–9

  racism, 264–5

  RAND Corporation, 285–6, 332 -1

  rapid response teams, 89–92, 93–4, 132

  rationality. See logic

  RCA (root cause analysis)

  Challenger space shuttle, 160–2

  and collectivist cultures, 147

  and emotion, 128

  implementation of, 182

  Mount Everest climb, 111–7, 118–21, 122–4

  overview, 100–1

  vs. scapegoating, 131

  step-by-step, 136–7

  and time, 131

  ulcers, 98–100

  and winning organizations, 133

  Reagan, Ronald, 154–5, 158, 162

  Reber, Paul, 296

  Reggio, Godfrey, 17–8

  responsibility, 179–80, 183–6, 215–6, 242, 244–5

  Riina, Salvatore, 230–5, 237

  risk

  Challenger space shuttle, 160

  denial of, 34

  and dispersed leadership, 310

  Hyundai, 224

  and libido, 258

  Mount Everest climb, 111–4

  NASA, 161

  and psychological safety, 88

  routinized decision-making, 65

  and success, 36–7

  Rocha, Rodney, 170, 181

  Rogers Commission, 158–60, 162, 163, 164

  routinized decision-making, 64–5

  rowing teams joke, 129

  rules and procedures

  in Cosa Nostra, 239–40

  in Crimson Tide (film), 305–6

  Daimler/Chrysler conflict, 142–3

  following, 152

  going against, 152, 307–8, 333 -5

/>   Mount Everest climb, 106, 123

  NASA operation, 179–81

  overview, 308–9

  of RCA, 100–1

  and turkey syndromes, 185–6

  rules of decision making. See under decision-making

  Rumsfeld, Donald, 319

  Saint-Exupéry, Antoine de, 245

  Sarkozy, Nicolas, 254–5

  scapegoats, 100, 128, 130, 133

  Schrempp, Jürgen E., 10, 66

  Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence (SETI), 292–3

  sexual drive. See libido

  sexual harassment/assault, 7, 256–7, 260, 262

  Sharp, Ulysses S. Grant, 4, 201–2

  shock experiment, 41–2

  Sicily, 225–6. See also Cosa Nostra

  signals from space, 292–3

  signs, 30, 31–2, 35

  singularity, 297

  Six Sigma system, 218

  Skilling, Jeffrey, 49

  smart devices, 288

  Smircich, Linda, 142

  social motives, 278–81

  Southeast Asia, 195–7. See also Vietnam; Vietnam War

  Soviet Union, 209–15, 306–7, 330 -13, 333 -5

  Spurrier, Steven, 274–7

  Stage-Gate, 84–5, 327 -11

  Star Wars defense, 306–7

  Steenkamp, Reeva, 264–5

  Sterling, Donald, 264–5, 331 -6

  Stiviano, V., 263–4

  Stoléru, Serge, 261

  stomach ulcers, 98–100

  Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI), 306–7

  Strauss-Kahn, Dominique, 254–6

  success, 34, 37

  Sud Aviation, 54–7

  sunk costs effect, 56–8, 205, 215

  Swigert, Jack, 74–5, 83–4, 326 -6

  Symbian operating system, 31–2

  System 0, 332 -10

  System 1 & System 2, 269–71, 332 -10

  Taleb, Nassim Nicholas, 19

  Tapscott, Don, 290–1

  technological evolution, 18, 285–9, 293–8, 332 -2

  terrorism, 20

  Thompson, Llewellyn “Tommy,” 72–4

  time

  and advocacy mode, 65

  considering, 63

  and inquiry decision-making, 131

  at NASA, 80–1, 177–8

  and teams, 88–9

  Titanics, 56–9

  Toffler, Alvin, 18

  Top Gun (film), 303, 333 -1

  Total Quality Management (TQM), 97

  trends, 30–1

  Trinsum Group, 7

  trust, 221

  trusted methods, 12, 24–5

  tsunami, 20–1

  TU-144 aircraft, 54

  turkey syndrome

  and black swan events, 33, 90

  Columbia space shuttle, 169

  Mount Everest climb, 112

  Nokia, 32–3

  story of, 29–30

  Vietnam War, 204

  Twain, Mark, 206, 287

  uncertainties, 150–1, 319–30, 334 -12

  uncertainty avoidance, 150–1, 329 -4

  unknowns, 150–1, 319–20, 334 -12

 

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