The Bear and the Dragon jrao-11

by Tom Clancy

  The general scowled in the confines of his staff car. It was what he got for being smart and energetic. A properly prepared and trained military district didn’t need a man like him, did it? No, his talents were needed by a shithole like this one. Just once, he thought, might a good officer get a reward for good performance instead of another “challenge,” as they called it? He grunted. Not in this lifetime. The dunces and dolts drew the comfortable districts with no threats and lots of equipment to deal with them.

  His worst worry was the air situation. Of all the Russian military arms, the air forces had suffered the most from the fall of the Soviet Union. Once Far East had had its own fleets of tactical fighters, poised to deal with a threat from American aircraft based in Japan or on aircraft carriers of their Pacific Fleet, that plus what was needed to face off the Chinese. No more. Now he had perhaps fifty usable aircraft in theater, and the pilots for those got perhaps seventy flight hours per year, barely enough to make sure they could take off and land safely. Fifty modern fighter-class aircraft, mainly for air-to-air combat, not air-to-ground. There were several hundred more, rotting at their bases, mainly in hardened shelters to keep them dry, their tires dry-rotted and internal seals cracked from lack of use because of the spare-parts shortage that grounded nearly the entire Russian air force.

  “You know, Andrey, I can remember when the world shook with fear of our country’s army. Now, they shake with laughter, those who bother to take note of us.” Bondarenko took a sip of vodka from a flask. It had been a long time since he’d drunk alcohol on duty, but it was cold-the heater in the car was broken-and he needed the solace.

  “Gennady Iosifovich, it is not as bad as it appears-”

  “I agree! It is worse!” CINC-FAR EAST growled. “If the Chinks come north, I shall learn to eat with chopsticks. I’ve always wondered how they do that,” he added with a wry smile. Bondarenko was always one to see the humor in a situation.

  “But to others we appear strong. We have thousands of tanks, Comrade General.”

  Which was true. They’d spent the morning inspecting monstrous sheds containing of all things T-34/85 tanks manufactured at Chelyabinsk in 1946. Some had virgin guns, never fired. The Germans had shaken in their jack-boots to see these tanks storm over the horizon, but that’s what they were, World War II tanks, over nine hundred of them, three complete division sets. And there were even troops to maintain them! The engines still turned over, serviced as they were by the grandchildren of the men who’d used them in combat operations against the fascisti. And in the same sheds were shells, some made as recently as 1986, for the 85-mm guns. The world was mad, and surely the Soviet Union had been mad, first to store such antiques, then to spend money and effort maintaining them. And even now, more than ten years after the demise of that nation-state, the sheer force of bureaucratic inertia still sent conscripts into the sheds to maintain the antique collection. For what purpose? No one knew. It would take an archivist to find the documents, and while that might be of interest to some historian of a humorous bent, Bondarenko had better things to do.

  “Andrey, I appreciate your willingness to see the lighter side of every situation, but we do face a practical reality here.”

  “Comrade General, it will take months to get permission to terminate this operation.”

  “That is probably true, Andruska, but I remember a story about Napoleon. He wished to plant trees by the side of the French roads to shade his marching troops. A staff officer said, but, Marshal, it will take twenty years for the trees to grow enough to accomplish that. And Napoleon said, yes, indeed, so we must start at once! And so, Colonel, we will start with that at once.”

  “As you say, Comrade General.” Colonel Aliyev knew that it was a worthwhile idea. He only wondered if he would have enough time to pursue all of the ideas that needed accomplishing. Besides, the troops at the tank sheds seemed happy enough. Some even took the tanks out into the open to play with them, drive them about the nearby test range, even shoot the guns occasionally. One young sergeant had commented to him that it was good to use them, because it made the war movies he’d seen as a child seem even more real. Now that, Colonel Aliyev thought, was something to hear from a soldier. It made the movies better. Damn.

  Who does that slant-eyed motherfucker think he is?” Gant demanded out in the garden.

  “Mark, we laid a rather firm note on them this morning, and they’re just reacting to it.”

  “Cliff, explain to me why it’s okay for other people to talk like that to us, but it’s not okay for us to talk that way to them, will you?”

  “It’s called diplomacy,” Rutledge explained.

  “It’s called horseshit, Cliff,” Gant hissed back. “Where I come from, if somebody disses you like that, you punch him right in the face.”

  “But we don’t do that.”

  “Why not?”

  “Because we’re above it, Mark,” Rutledge tried to explain. “It’s the little dogs that yap at you. The big powerful dogs don’t bother. They know they can rip your head off. And we know we can handle these people if we have to.”

  “Somebody needs to tell them that, Cliffy,” Gant observed. “Because I don’t think they got the word yet. They’re talking like they own the world, and they think they can play tough-guy with us, Cliff, and until they find out they can’t, we’re going to have a lot more of their shit to deal with.”

  “Mark, this is how it’s done, that’s all. It’s just how the game is played at this level.”

  “Oh, yeah?” Gant countered. “Cliff, it’s not a game to them. I see that, but you don’t. After this break, we’re going back in there, and they’re going to threaten us. What do we do then?”

  “We brush it off. How can they threaten us?”

  “The Boeing order.”

  “Well, Boeing will have to sell its airplanes to somebody else this year,” Rutledge said.

  “Really? What about the interests of all those workers we’re supposed to represent?”

  “Mark, at this level, we deal with the big picture, not the little one, okay?” Rutledge was actually getting angry with this stock trader.

  “Cliffy, the big picture is made up of a lot of little ones. You ought to go back in there and ask if they like selling things to us. Because if they do, then they have to play ball. Because they need us a fucking lot more than we need them.”

  “You don’t talk that way to a great power.”

  “Are we a great power?”

  “The biggest,” Rutledge confirmed.

  “Then how come they talk that way to us?”

  “Mark, this is my job. You’re here to advise me, but this is your first time to this sort of ball game, okay? I know how to play the game. It’s my job.”

  “Fine.” Gant let out a long breath. “But when we play by the rules and they don’t, the game gets a little tedious.” Gant wandered off on his own for a moment. The garden was pretty enough. He hadn’t done this sort of thing enough to know that there was usually a garden of some sort for diplomats to wander in after two or three hours of talking at each other in a conference room, but he had learned that the garden was where a lot of the real work got done.

  “Mr. Gant?” He turned to see Xue Ma, the diplomat/spook he’d chatted with before.

  “Mr. Xue,” TELESCOPE said in his own greeting.

  “What do you think of the progress of the talks?” the Chinese diplomat asked.

  Mark was still trying to understand this guy’s use of language. “If this is progress, I’d hate to see what you call an adverse development.”

  Xue smiled. “A lively exchange is often more interesting than a dull one.”

  “Really? I’m surprised by all this. I always thought that diplomatic exchange was more polite.”

  “You think this impolite?”

  Gant again wondered if he was being baited or not, but decided the hell with it. He didn’t really need his government job anyway, did he? And taking it had involved a conside
rable personal sacrifice, hadn’t it? Like a few million bucks. Didn’t that entitle him to say what the hell he thought?

  “Xue, you accuse us of threatening your national identity because we object to the murders your government-or its agents, I suppose-committed in front of cameras. Americans don’t like it when people commit murder.”

  “Those people were breaking our laws,” Xue reminded him.

  “Maybe so,” Gant conceded. “But in America when people break the law, we arrest them and give them a trial in front of a judge and jury, with a defense lawyer to make sure the trial is fair, and we damned sure don’t shoot people in the head when they’re holding a goddamned newborn infant!”

  “That was unfortunate,” Xue almost admitted, “but as I said, those men were breaking the law.”

  “And so your cops did the judge/jury/executioner number on them. Xue, to Americans that was the act of a barbarian.”

  The “B” word finally got through. “America cannot talk to China in that way, Mr. Gant.”

  “Look, Mr. Xue, it’s your country, and you can run your country as you wish. We’re not going to declare war on you for what you do inside your own borders. But there’s no law that says we have to do business with you either, and so we can stop buying your goods-and I have news for you: The American people will stop buying your stuff if you continue to do stuff like that.”

  “Your people? Or your government?” Xue asked, with a knowing smile.

  “Are you really that stupid, Mr. Xue?” Gant fired back.

  “What do you mean?” The last insult had actually cracked through the shell, Gant saw.

  “I mean America is a democracy. Americans make a lot of decisions entirely on their own, and one of them is what they spend their money on, and the average American will not buy something from a fucking barbarian.” Gant paused. “Look, I’m a Jew, okay? Sixty-some years ago, America fucked up. We saw what Hitler and the Nazis were doing in Germany, and we didn’t act in time to stop it. We really blew the call and a lot of people got killed unnecessarily, and we’ve been seeing things on TV about that since I was in short pants, and it ain’t never going to happen again on our watch, and when people like you do stuff like what we just saw, it just sets off the Holocaust light in American heads. Do you get it now?”

  “You cannot talk to us in that way.”

  Again with the broken record! The doors were opening. It was time to head back inside for the next round of confrontational diplo-speak.

  “And if you persist in attacking our national sovereignty, we will buy elsewhere,” Xue told him with some satisfaction.

  “Fine, and we can do the same. And you need our cash a lot more than we need your trade goods, Mr. Xue.” He must have finally understood, Gant thought. His face actually showed some emotion now. So did his words:

  “We will never kowtow to American attacks on our country.”

  “We’re not attacking your country, Xue.”

  “But you threaten our economy,” Xue said, as they got to the door.

  “We threaten nothing. I am telling you that my fellow citizens will not buy goods from a country that commits barbarities. That is not a threat. It is a statement of fact.” Which was an even greater insult, Gant did not fully appreciate.

  “If America punishes us, we will punish America.”

  Enough was goddamned enough. Gant pulled the door open halfway and stopped to face the diplomat/spook:

  “Xue, your dicks aren’t big enough to get in a pissing contest with us.” And with that, he walked on inside. A half hour later, he was on his way out again. The words had been sharp and heated, and neither side had seen any purpose in continuing that day-though Gant strongly suspected that once Washington heard about that morning’s exchanges, there wouldn’t be any other day.

  In two days, he’d be totally jet-lagged but back at his office on 15th Street. He was surprised that he was looking forward to that.

  Anything from WestPac?” Mancuso asked. ”They just put three submarines to sea, a Song and two of the Kilos the Russians sold them,” BG Lahr answered. ”We’re keeping an eye on them. La Jolla and Helena are close by. Tennessee is heading back to Pearl as of midday.” The former boomer had been on patrol for fifty days, and that was about enough. ”Our surface assets are all back to sea. Nobody’s scheduled to get back into Taipei for twelve days.”

  “So, the Taipei hookers get two weeks off?” CINCPAC asked with a chuckle.

  “And the bartenders. If your sailors are like my soldiers, they may need the relaxation,” the J-2 replied, with a smile of his own.

  “Oh, to be young and single again,” Bart observed. “Anything else out there?”

  “Routine training on their side, some combined air and ground stuff, but that’s up north by the Russian border.”

  “How good do they look?”

  Lahr shrugged. “Good enough to give the Russians something to think about, sir. On the whole, the PLA is trained up as good as I’ve ever known them to be, but they’ve been working hard for the past three or four years.”

  “How many of them?” Bart asked, looking at his wall map, which was a lot more useful for a sailor than a soldier. China was just a beige shape on the left border.

  “Depends on where. Like, if they go north into Russia, it’d be like cockroaches in some ghetto apartment in New York. You’d need a lot o’ Raid to deal with it.”

  “And you said the Russians are thin in their East?”

  Lahr nodded. “Yep. Admiral, if I was that Bondarenko guy, I’d sweat it some. I mean, it’s all theoretical as a threat and all, but as theoretical threats go, that’s one that might keep me awake at night.”

  “And what about reports of gold and oil in eastern Siberia?”

  Lahr nodded. “Makes the threat less theoretical. China’s a net importer of oil, and they’re going to need a lot more to expand their economy the way they plan to-and on the gold side, hell, everybody’s wanted that for the last three thousand years. It’s negotiable and fungible.”

  “Fungible?” That was a new word for Mancuso.

  “Your wedding band might have been part of Pharaoh Ramses II’s double-crown once,” Lahr explained. “Or Caligula’s necklace, or Napoleon’s royal scepter. You take it, hammer it, and it’s just raw material again, and it’s valuable raw material. If the Russian strike’s as big as our intel says, it’ll be sold all over the world. Everybody’ll use it for all sorts of purposes, from jewelry to electronics.”

  “How big’s the strike supposed to be?”

  Lahr shrugged. “Enough to buy you a new Pacific Fleet, and then some.”

  Mancuso whistled. That was real money.

  It was late in Washington, and Adler was up late, again, working in his office. SecState was usually a busy post, and lately it had been busier than usual, and Scott Adler was getting accustomed to fourteen-hour days. He was reading over post reports at the moment, waiting for the other shoe to drop in Beijing. On his desk was a STU-6 secure telephone. The “secure telephone unit” was a sophisticated encryption device grafted onto an AT amp;T-made digital telephone. This one worked on a satellite-communications channel, and though its signal therefore sprinkled down all over the world from its Defense Department communications satellite, all the casual listener would get was raspy static, like the sound of water running out of a bathroom faucet. It had a randomized 512-bit scrambling system that the best computers at Fort Meade could break about a third of the time after several days of directed effort. And that was about as secure as things got. They were trying to make the TAPDANCE encryption system link into the STU units to generate a totally random and hence unbreakable signal, but that was proving difficult, for technical reasons that nobody had explained to the Secretary of State, and that was just as well. He was a diplomat, not a mathematician. Finally, the STU rang in its odd trilling warble. It took eleven seconds for the two STU units on opposite sides of the world to synchronize.

  “Adler.”

&nb
sp; “Rutledge here, Scott,” the voice said on the other side of the world. “It didn’t go well,” he informed SecState at once. “And they’re canceling the 777 order with Boeing, as we thought they would.”

  Adler frowned powerfully into the phone. “Super. No concessions at all on the shootings?”

  “Zip.”

  “Anything to be optimistic about?”

  “Nothing, Scott, not a damned thing. They’re stonewalling like we’re the Mongols and they’re the Chin Dynasty.”

  Somebody needs to remind them that the Great Wall ultimately turned out to be a waste of bricks, EAGLE didn’t bother saying aloud. “Okay, I need to discuss this with the President, but you’re probably going to be flying home soon. Maybe Carl Hitch, too.”

  “I’ll tell him. Any chance that we can make some concession, just to get things going?”

  “Cliff, the likelihood that Congress will roll over on the trade issue is right up there with Tufts making the Final Four. Maybe less.” Tufts University did have a basketball team, after all. “There’s nothing we can give them that they would accept. If there’s going to be a break, they’re the ones who’ll have to bend this time. Any chance of that?”

  “Zero” was the reply from Beijing.

  “Well, then, they’ll just have to learn the hard way.” The good news, Adler thought, was that the hard lessons were the ones that really did teach you something. Maybe even the Chinese.

  What did that capitalist diao ren say?” Zhang asked. Shen told him what Xue had relayed, word-for-word. ”And what does he represent?”

  “We is personal assistant to the American Treasury Minister. Therefore we think he has the ear of both his minister and the American president,” Shen explained. “He has not taken an active part in the talks, but after every session he speaks privately with Vice Minister Rutledge. Exactly what their relationship is, we do not know for certain, and clearly he is not an experienced diplomat. He talks like an arrogant capitalist, to insult us in so crude a way, but I fear he represents the American position more forthrightly than Rutledge does. I think he gives Rutledge the policy he must follow. Rutledge is an experienced diplomat, and the positions he takes are not his own, obviously. He wants to give us some concessions. I am sure of that, but Washington is dictating his words, and this Gant fellow is probably the conduit to Washington.”