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With Us or Against Us

Page 24

by Tony Judt


  frames/t906401.html. Answering to the question of when, if ever, they

  wanted to emigrate to the West, 57% said they desired to do so during

  Yeltsin’s rule. See http://www.fom.ru/reports/frames/t907309.html.

  38. ФOM-ИHФO. Moscow: POF, 1999, no. 45.

  39. Mониторинг общeствeнного мнeния: экономичeскиe и социaльныe

  пeрeмeны. Journal of ACSPO, 1994, no. 1, c. 16.

  40. Sergei Dovlatov recalled what irritated the Russians who met Americans

  for the first time: “Americans are naïve, callous, heartless. One cannot be

  friends with Americans. They drink vodka in microscopic doses. It’s like

  drinking from toothpaste caps. They are not concerned with global

  problems. Their main slogan is ‘Look at things simply!’ And no ecu-

  menical grief! When they divorce, they go to a lawyer. (Instead of pour-

  ing out their hearts to colleagues.) They describe their dreams to

  psychoanalysts. (Instead of calling a friend in the middle of the night.)

  The country is in disorder. Gas is getting expensive. The blacks are every-

  where. Most importantly—democracy is threatened. If not today then

  tomorrow it will stagger and collapse. But we will save it!” Dovlatov,

  Прозa, p. 135.

  41. One amusing but typical example of the persistence of stereotypes is a

  magnum opus prepared in the years of perestroika by a large collective of

  leading Americanists and published under the editorship of Yevgeny

  Primakov, G. Arbatov, and others: Cоврeмeнныe Cоeдинeнныe Штaты

  Aмeрики: Энциклопeдичeокий спрaвочник (Moscow: Political Literature

  Publishing House, 1988). In it, the chapter devoted to the Communist

  Party of the United States is longer than the space devoted to the rest of

  the political parties combined, including the Democratic and the

  Republican. (pp. 94–101). American foreign policy is described as unam-

  biguously aggressive, militaristic, and conducted in bad faith (pp.

  262–271), the economy is described as constantly in crisis (pp.

  136–140), and the mass media are characterized as having a “propaganda

  complex” (p. 404).

  42. An interesting fact related to this is that the number of Russians who are

  against American investment into their regional economy grew from 32%

  in June 1995 to 40% in October 1998 to 46% in June 1999. See

  http://www.fom.ru/reports/frames/t905314.html.

  43. Cоврeмeнноe российскоe общeство: пeрeходный пeриод, p. 22.

  44. In August 1999, 44% considered the United States as the biggest source

  of threat for a nuclear conflict. http://www.fom.ru/reports/frames/

  of 19993406.html.

  45. Oбщeствeнноe мнeниe-2000. По мaтeриaлaм исслeдовaний (Moscow:

  ASCPO, 2000), p. 86. A POF survey from April 1999 showed that from

  August 1997 to April 1999—the month of the NATO bombings in

  Yugoslavia—the number of people who thought Russia had foreign

  enemies grew from 44 to 73%. See http://www.fom.ru/reports/

  frames/short/of1999160.html.

  46. http://www.fom.ru/reports/frames/of19992704.html.

  * * *

  138

  N ikol ai Zlobin

  47. http://www.fom.ru/reports/frames/of19991601.html.

  48. www.fom.ru/survey/dominant/310/761/2510.html.

  49. Incidentally, such an approach has remained popular after 9/11; 40%

  assess Russian–American relations from this point of view. www.fom.ru/

  survey/dominant/310/761/25510.html.

  50. http://www.fom.ru/reports/frames/of19991503.html.

  51. http://www.fom.ru/reports/frames/o904402.html. The same ten-

  dency can be observed in surveys conducted by VTsIOM. See

  www.wciom.ru/vciom/new/press/press020909_22.htm.

  52. http://www.fom.ru/reports/frames/t904209.html.

  53. http://www.fom.ru/reports/frames/of19991703.html.

  54. http://www.fom.ru/reports/frames/of19991802.html.

  55. http://www.fom.ru/reports/frames/t905406.html.

  56. http://www.fom.ru/reports/frames/t904208.html; http://www.fom.

  ru/reports/frames/of19993003.html; http://www.fom.ru/reports/

  frames/o904803.html; http://www.fom.ru/reports/frames/o904402.

  html; http://www.fom.ru/reports/frames/of19991503.html; http://

  www.fom.ru/reports/frames/of19991703.html; http://www.fom.ru/

  reports/frames/of19991802.html; http://www.fom.ru/reports/frames/

  t905406.html. It must be noted that this didn’t prevent public opinion

  from accusing Yeltsin of inaction and the betrayal of fellow Slavs, and led

  to his popularity falling to its lowest point.

  57. VTsIOM Press Release #9, March 25, 2003; www.wciom.ru/vciom/

  new/press030325_09.htm. Press Release #9, April 30, 2003;

  www.wciom.ru/vciom/new/press030430_13.htm.

  58. FOM, April 24, 2003; www.fom.ru/survey/finfo/804/1616/

  6992.html.

  59. FOM, May 5, 2003; www.fom.ru/survey/dominant/810/1629/6251.

  html.

  60. FOM, April 24, 2003; www.fom.ru/survey/dominant/806/1620/

  6216.html.

  61. Only 8% of Russians judged the U.S. withdrawal from the treaty in posi-

  tive terms, and only 5% thought that it may positively reflect on

  Russian–American relations. See http://www.fom.ru/reports/frames/

  of014901.html.

  62. According to a POF survey from March 2002, 79% of Russians sup-

  ported a ban on the import of U.S. poultry. As main reasons for their sup-

  port, they said that it would be a response to the limitations on Russian

  steel exports to the United States, the judging scandals at the Olympics

  and the appearance of American military inspectors in Georgia. The poul-

  try ban, in the opinion of the majority, demonstrated “Russian inde-

  pendence from American and even an ability to oppose it.” See

  http://www.fom.ru/reports/frames/d021130.html; http://www.fom.

  ru/reports/frames/d021108.html.

  63. http://fom.ru/survey/finfo/578/1315/4564.html.

  64. www.wciom.ru/vciom/new/press/press020909_22.htm.

  * * *

  The Special Russian Way

  139

  65. CDI Russia Weekly # 243, February 7, 2003.

  66. Interestingly, according to surveys conducted in France and Russia in the

  summer of 2002, Russians and French hold similar opinion of America;

  i.e., Russian perceptions have shifted closer to the European ones. See

  http://www.wciom.ru/vciom/new/public/public_own/020909_

  usa.htm.

  67. Thorough (lat.).

  68. Oбщeствeннoe мнeниe-2000. По мaтeриaлaм исслeдовaний, p. 82.

  69. Ibid., pp. 81–82. Since the 1990s, the great majority of citizens support

  “the special Russian way.” See L. Gudkov, Pусский нeотрaдиционaлизм.

  In the journal Mониторинг (Moscow: ASCPA, 1997), no. 2, pp. 5–8;

  G. Dilegenskiy, «Зaпaд» вроссийском общeствeнном сознaнии, in the

  journal Oбщeствeнныe нaуки и соврeмeнность (Moscow: INION, 2000),

  no. 5, pp. 71–89.

  70. The Eurasian idea has once again begun gaining popularity in Russian

  society. Its intellectual elaborator has become the “Eurasia” party, with

  Alexa
nder Dugin at the helm. See A. Dugin, Eврaзийский путь кaк

  нaционaльнaя идeя (Moscow: Arktogea-Center, 2002). It contends, in

  part, that “Russia either has a Eurasian future or none at all. Our task is

  to comprehend and triumphantly solidify around the world the Russian

  Eurasian truth” pp. 15, 17.

  71. Danilevskii showed in his famous book Pоссия и Eврoпa [Russia and

  Europe] not only Russia’s uniqueness, but even the uniqueness of the Slav

  people, to which, in the words of philosopher Nikolai Strakhov, “belongs

  an exclusive position among other nations, to which history has no ade-

  quate equal,” Nikolai Strakhov, O книгe Caнилeвского «Pоссия и Eвропa»,

  In Nikolai Danilevsky, Pоссия и Eвропa (Moscow: Kniga, 1991), p. 515.

  72. See Fyodor Tyutchev: “You cannot reason Russia out / you cannot meas-

  ure it with tape / It is a wholly different state / With Russia, you should

  just have faith.” This famous poem was used as a traditional form of self-

  justification for Russians, not only for the West, but even more frequently

  for themselves. I could cite a poem of Mikhail Lermontov, which is also

  frequently used to justify Russia’s “uniqueness”: “I love my land, but

  with a curious love / My reason cannot conquer it / No glory bought

  with blood / No calmness filled with prideful trust / No cherished oaths

  of cloudy pasts / Can stir within me pleasant dreams.”

  73. As an extreme example, I could cite an article by the editor-in-chief of a

  popular newspaper Зaвтрa Alexander Prokhanov, author of the novel

  Господин Гeксогeн, which received the most prestigious Russian literature

  award in 2002: “Once again the dreadful starred-and-striped cobra is ris-

  ing across the ocean on its sinister tail, suspended over the world, fixing

  its merciless reptile gaze toward Iraq. America, gone mad on Yugoslavian

  and Afghani blood, drunk from its unpunished acts, delirious with world

  dominations, is continuing to control the history of the world, fixing its

  course with its super-smart weapons, with its spent uranium cores, its

  vile provocations comparable to the Gulf of Tonkin incident, or the

  * * *

  140

  N ikol ai Zlobin

  destruction of its own skyscrapers in Manhattan. Americans are disgust-

  ing to everyone. Nations look with repulsion upon the transatlantic boor,

  who has only one ally—Israel, the yellowest, most six-sided star on the

  American flag, which will inevitably fade with the next sunrise. ‘Dear

  Lord, bring ruin upon America,’ ”—pray people on all the continents at

  the dawn and dusk of their days. A. Prokhanov, Ирaк, брaт мой, in

  Зaвтрa, August 20, 2002, Even more picturesque is the opinion of the

  leader of LDPR, vice-speaker of the state, Duma Vladimir Zhirinovsky:

  http://www.compromat.ru/main/zhirinovskiy/bushu.htm.

  74. Same for others (lat.).

  75. In May of 2001, POF asked this question of the Russian elite: “Do you

  think the majority of Russians see America favorably, unfavorably, or neu-

  trally?” Surprisingly, the answers were the opposite of the masses’ opin-

  ion: 20% thought the Russians see the United States favorably,

  40%—unfavorably. See Oslon, Aмeрикa: взгляд из Pоссии. Cо и послe

  11 сeнтября, p. 31.

  76. It’s interesting to note that Putin’s support for the United States in the

  immediate wake of 9/11 increased his rating in Russia. See Oslon,

  “Peaкция нa 11 сeнтября в российском общeствeнном мнeнии,” in

  Aмeрикa: взгляд из Pоссии. Cо и послe 11 сeнтября, p. 34.

  77. Bыступлeниe прeзидeнтa Pоссийской Фeдeрaции B. B. Путинa нa

  рaсширeнном совeщaнии с учaстиeм послов Pоссийской Фeдeрaции в MИC

  Pоссии, July 12, 2001, http://www.president.kremlin.ru/text/appears/

  2002/07/17449.shtml.

  78. It must be said that the majority of Russians (60% in the summer of

  2002) did not think that the Cold War was over, and among those who did

  think it was, the ending date was “when Yeltsin began drinking with the

  Americans.” See http://www.fom.ru/reports/frames/d022233.html.

  79. Oslon, Aмeрикa: взгляд из Pоссии. Cо и послe 11 сeнтября, pp. 27, 167.

  80. Ibid., pp. 31, 137, 166, 201. It should be noted that according to sur-

  veys by the ASCPA, a year after the tragedy, the Russians’ opinions did

  not change significantly—52% continued to believe that the Americans

  got what they deserved and that “now they know first-hand how the people

  in Hiroshima and Nagasaki, in Iraq and Yugoslavia felt during the bomb-

  ings”; 42% did not believe so. See http://gazeta.ru/print/2002/09/ 11/

  vrossiinezal.shtml.

  81. Oslon, “10 тeзuсов о Hовой Эпохe”, in Aмeрикa: взгляд из Pоссии. Cо и

  послe 11 сeнтября, p. 10.

  82. http://www.wciom.ru/vciom/new/public/public_own/020909_

  usa.htm; http://www.wciom.ru/vciom/new/press/press020517_12.htm.

  83. http://www.wciom.ru/vciom/new/public/public_own/020507_

  politru20.htm.

  84. http://gazeta.ru/print/2002/09/11/vrossiinezal.shtml; Aмeрикa: взгляд

  из Pоссии. Cо и послe 11 сeнтября, pp. 50–54.

  * * *

  7

  S audi Perceptions of the

  U nited States since 9⁄11

  F. Gregory Gause, III

  There is no bilateral relationship that was more affected by the 9/11

  attacks than the Saudi–American relationship. On the American side,

  the reason is obvious: of the 19 hijackers of the 4 planes that crashed

  into the World Trade Center, the Pentagon, and a field in central

  Pennsylvania, 15 were from Saudi Arabia. Osama bin Laden, the

  leader of the group behind the attacks, also is from Saudi Arabia. As

  Americans learned more about the hijackers, bin Laden, and the more

  general salafi movement, popular anger against Saudi Arabia grew.

  According to a poll by Zogby International, in January 2001, 56 per-

  cent of Americans polled viewed Saudi Arabia favorably and 28 per-

  cent unfavorably. In December 2001, those numbers had basically

  reversed, with only 24 percent viewing Saudi Arabia favorably and

  58 percent unfavorably.1 Much of the American political and media

  elite, which had generally accepted the U.S.–Saudi relationship—an

  exchange of security for oil, to simplify—began to question the value

  for the United States of a close relationship with Riyadh. While the

  Bush administration has asserted since 9/11 that the relationship with

  Saudi Arabia remains solid, there is no question that the unprece-

  dented public focus on Saudi Arabia (even greater than during the

  1973–1974 oil embargo, I would argue) has shaken the foundations

  of the bilateral relationship.

  A similar process took place in Saudi Arabian public opinion after

  the 9/11 attacks. Popular disaffection with the United States was

  already substantial before the attacks. American policy on the Israeli–
r />   Palestinian conflict and on Iraqi sanctions was generally unpopular.

  Bin Laden and other Saudi dissidents had successfully raised the issue

  of the American military presence in the Kingdom. Reacting to the

  * * *

  142

  F . Gregory Gause, III

  intense media scrutiny on Saudi Arabia in the United States that

  followed the attacks, the Saudi government took a number of steps to

  distance itself from the United States. These moves, in effect, opened

  the door to more open expression of anti-Americanism in Saudi

  Arabia than is usually permitted. The Saudi government, perhaps

  taken aback by the vigor of those sentiments, began, in the spring of

  2002, to send signals that there are limits to the anti-Americanism

  that it will tolerate at home. While this was happening, a vigorous

  debate emerged within Saudi salafi circles about the appropriateness

  of even considering dialogue with the West in general and the United

  States in particular.

  This chapter will consider the question of Saudi views toward the

  United States from these various perspectives, with special attention

  to how the government’s policy is both affected and affects general

  public opinion and the debates within the salafi trend.

  The Saudi Government and Public

  Opinion Post-9⁄11

  The first response of officials in the Saudi government to the attacks

  of 9/11 was to deny any Saudi responsibility for them, even to deny

  that any Saudis were involved (carefully noting that bin Laden,

  stripped of his citizenship in 1994, was no longer a Saudi).2 The focus

  on Saudi Arabia in the American media led a number of Saudi offi-

  cials, including Crown Prince Abdallah, to complain publicly that the

  Kingdom was being targeted in a “campaign” against it.3 The Saudi

  government very publicly denied American forces the right to use

  Saudi bases for the air campaign in Afghanistan, even while quietly

  allowing the U.S. to use the command and control center at Prince

  Sultan Airbase, south of Riyadh, to coordinate that campaign.

  Public disquiet over the course of events after 9/11 led Crown

  Prince Abdallah to hold a series of meetings with Saudis from a number

  of sectors (educators, police and security officials, army officers, reli-

 

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