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Light of the Stars

Page 21

by Adam Frank


  18.Adam Frank, “Could You Power Your Home With A Bike?,” NPR, December 8, 2016, http://www.npr.org/sections/13.7/2016/12/08/504790589/could-you-power-your-home-with-a-bike.

  19.Rudy M. Baum Sr., “Future Calculations: The First Climate Change Believer,” Distillations, Summer 2016, https://www.chemheritage.org/distillations/magazine/future-calculations.

  20.L. Miller, F. Gans, and A. Kleidon, “Estimating Maximum Global Land Surface Wind Power Extractability and Associate Climatic Consequences,” Earth System Dynamics 2 (2011): 112.

  21.It’s worth mentioning that it is possible that the distribution of exo-civilizations might be more complicated than providing a well-defined average. There might, for example, be two peaks in the lifetimes of a large sample of exo-civilizations (one short and long). This kind of result would be interesting in its own right.

  CHAPTER 6: THE AWAKENED WORLDS

  1.Marina Alberti, Cities That Think Like Planets (Seattle: University of Washington Press, 2016).

  2.Drake and Sobel, Is Anyone Out There?.

  3.Drake and Sobel, Is Anyone Out There?. Also, “First Soviet-American Conference on Communication with Extraterrestrial Intelligence,” Icarus 16, no. 2 (April 1972): 412.

  4.Kenneth I. Kellermann, “Nicolay Kardashev,” National Radio Astronomy Observatory, http://rahist.nrao.edu/kardashev_reber-medal.shtml.

  5.Nikolai Kardashev, “Transmission of Information by Extraterrestrial Civilizations,” Soviet Astronomy 8, no. 2 (September/October 1964): 217, and Milan M. Cirkovic, “Kardashev’s Classification at 50+: A Fine Vehicle with Room for Improvement,” Serbian Astronomical Journal 191 (2015): 1–15.

  6.“Energy of a Nuclear Explosion,” The Physics Factbook, https://hypertextbook.com/facts/2000/MuhammadKaleem.shtml.

  7.Freeman J. Dyson, “Search for Artificial Stellar Sources of Infrared Radiation,” Science 131, no. 3414 (June 3, 1960): 1667–68.

  8.J. T. Wright et al.,“The Ĝ Infrared Search for Extraterrestrial Civilizations with Large Energy Supplies, II. Framework, Strategy, and First Result,” Astrophysical Journal 792, no. 1 (2014): 27.

  9.Cirkovic, “Kardashev’s Classification.”

  10.Carl Sagan, Carl Sagan’s Cosmic Connection: An Extraterrestrial Perspective, ed. Jerome Agel (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2000).

  11.Michio Kaku, “The Physics of Extraterrestrial Civilizations,” http://mkaku.org/home/articles/the-physics-of-extraterrestrial-civilizations/.

  12.Isaac Asimov, Foundation (New York: Gnome Press, 1951).

  13.Second Law of Thermodynamics, http://hyperphysics.phy-astr.gsu.edu/hbase/thermo/seclaw.html.

  14.Matt Williams, “What is the Weather Like on Mercury?,” Universe Today, July 24, 2017, https://www.universetoday.com/85348/weather-on-mercury/.

  15.Volatility is a concept from physics and chemistry and is the tendency of a substance to vaporize. Volatiles in planetary science are substances that will vaporize (or boil) at “normal” temperatures and pressures. Iron, for example, is not considered a volatile, while water, CO2, and methane are volatiles.

  16.L. Kaltenegger and D. Sasselov, “Detecting Planetary Geochemical Cycles on Exoplanets: Atmospheric Signatures and the Case of SO2,” Astrophysical Journal 708, no. 2 (2010): 1162–67, and J. F. Kasting and D. E. Canfield, “The Global Oxygen Cycle,” in Fundamentals of Geobiology, eds. A. H. Knoll, D. E. Canfield, and K. O. Konhauser (Hoboken, NJ: Wiley-Blackwell, 2012), 93–104.

  17.Adam Frank, Axel Kleidon, and Marina Alberti, “Earth as a Hybrid Planet: The Anthropocene in an Evolutionary Astrobiological Context,” Anthropocene (forthcoming).

  18.Donald Canfield, “The Early History of Atmospheric Oxygen,” Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences 33 (2005): 1–36.

  19.Eleni Stavrinidou et al., “Electronic Plants,” Science Advances 1, no. 10 (November 2015).

  20.David Grinspoon, The Earth in Human Hands (New York: Grand Central Publishing, 2016).

  21.Based on Vernadsky’s writings, the Jesuit priest and paleontologist Pierre Teilhard de Chardin worked on his own, decidedly more mystical version of the noosphere. P. Teilhard de Chardin, The Phenomenon of Man, trans. Bernard Wall (New York: Harper, 1959), 238.

  22.The “Big History Project” is an attempt to teach history in a way that puts humanity in its place along with the rest of the cosmos. See https://www.bighistoryproject.com/home.

  INDEX

  Italic page numbers refer to illustrations.

  Page numbers listed correspond to the print edition of this book. You can use your device’s search function to locate particular terms in the text.

  abiogenesis, 48

  Ackerman, Thomas P., 93–94

  Adriatic Sea, predator and prey studies in, 174–76, 179

  agency-dominated biospheres, 219–22

  aggression, of exo-civilizations, 50

  agricultural revolution, 4

  Alberti, Marina, 193, 198, 217

  aliens, 13–14, 171; See also exo-civilizations

  Alvin submersible, 113–15

  Ames Research Center, SETI meeting at, 141–42

  Anasazi civilization, 182

  Anders, William, 107–8, 108

  Andersen, Ross, 157

  anoxygenic phototrophs, 116, 117

  Anthropocene era; See also astrobiological perspective on Anthropocene era

  Earth vs. human civilization in, 121, 222–25

  energy consumption, CO2 concentration, and population in, 199

  energy transformation limits in, 213–14, 220

  frequency of conditions leading to, 171

  as Great Filter, 26–27

  and Great Oxidation Event, 117–18

  narratives about, 55

  waste products in, 188

  anthropogenic climate change (human-driven climate change), 26–27, 70, 100–107

  Apollo 8 mission, 107–8, 108

  Archean eon, 110–11, 116–17, 218

  Aristotle, 29, 158

  Arrhenius, Svante, 69, 190

  Asimov, Issac, 212

  astrobiological perspective on Anthropocene era

  and climate change, 224–25

  and Noachian period on Mars, 91

  questions of, 12–15

  relationship of civilization and planet in, 209

  role of humans in, 15–17

  sociological questions about exo-civilizations in, 174

  astrobiology, 10–12, 53, 90

  astrometric sky mapping, 134–36, 142

  Astronomical Journal, 135, 136

  astronomy

  history of, 30–31

  radio, 36–37, 39–42, 65

  technology for, 36–37

  Atchley, Dana, 43

  Atlas-Agena rocket, 71

  atmosphere

  as detector of life, 123–24

  and energy transformations on planets, 215–16

  of Mars, 90–91

  over Earth’s history, 99–100, 110

  and surface temperature of planets, 68–70

  of Venus, 65

  atmospheric pressure, on Mars, 89–90

  atomic weapons, 34–35

  atomism, 28–29

  average lifetime of technological civilization (L)

  in Drake equation, 49–50

  and exo-civilization modeling, 186, 192, 201–2

  and exoplanet data on existence of exo-civilizations, 154

  Green Bank conference estimates of, 53–54

  importance of determining, 169–71

  averages, in exo-civilization modeling, 186

  Babylonians, 189

  bacteria, in Earth’s history, 114–16

  Basener, Bill, 183–84

  Batalha, Natalie, 146–49, 224

  Baum, L. Frank, 38

  bedrock, on Mars, 78

  Berkner, Lloyd, 40

  Big Bang, 9

  Big History Project, 250n.22

  binary stars, 134, 135, 138, 144

  biogeochemistry, 120

  bi
osphere(s)

  agency-dominated, 219–22

  in Earth system science, 127–30

  and energy consumption, 213, 214

  and energy transformations on planets, 217–22

  evolution of, 221

  in Gaia theory, 123–27

  influence on Earth’s history of, 118–22

  modeling exoplanet, 185

  thick, 218, 219

  thin, 217–19

  bio-technical probability (fbt)

  and constraints on exo-civilization modeling, 171

  of exo-civilizations at any point in time, 153–55

  pessimistic estimations of, 157–64

  birth rate of stars (N*), 46, 150

  Black Cloud, The (Hoyle), 46

  Black Death, 196

  “blueberries,” on Mars, 90

  Borman, Frank, 107

  Borucki, Bill, 143, 145–46, 224

  Brander, James A., 182–84

  brightness, 137, 139; See also transit method

  Brin, David, 25

  Bruno, Giordano, 30, 135, 234n.16

  Butler, Paul, 144

  Byurakan Observatory meeting, 206–8, 207

  Calvin, Melvin, 43, 44, 54

  Cambrian Explosion, 112

  Camp Century, 100–107, 102, 224

  Canfield, Donald, 113–15, 218, 224

  carbon cycle, 73, 74

  carbon dioxide

  in Earth’s atmosphere, 99

  and energy consumption/population in Anthropocene era, 199

  and greenhouse effect, 69–70

  in Martian atmosphere, 86, 124

  in Venusian atmosphere, 65

  Carboniferous era, 112

  Carroll-Nellenback, Jonathan, 194, 198

  carrying capacity, 178, 182, 183

  Carson, Rachel, 55–56

  Carter, Brandon, 162–63, 247n.37

  Catholic Church, 29, 30

  Central Park nuclear freeze demonstration (1982), 92–93

  Chariots of the Gods? (von Däniken), 181

  chemical equilibrium, 123, 124

  Cirkovic, Milan M., 210

  cities, sustainable, 205–6

  civilizations

  average lifetime of, See average lifetime of technological civilization (L)

  coevolution of planets and, 14–15

  human, See human civilization

  Kardashev scale of progress for, 208–14

  on other planets, See exo-civilizations

  studying environment’s interactions with, 193–98

  sustainable, See sustainable civilizations

  Class 1 planets, 217

  Class 2 planets, 217, 219

  Class 3 planets, 217–19

  Class 4 planets, 218–19

  Class 5 planets, 218–22

  climate, 11, 84

  on Earth vs. Mars, 86–89

  on Mars, 79, 83–84, 86–89

  as military concern, 103–4

  negative feedback cycle on, 74

  in nuclear winter modeling, 94

  positive feedback loop on, 73–74

  on Venus, 63–67

  climate change, 12

  and Anthropocene era as Great Filter, 26–27

  anthropogenic (human-driven), 26–27, 70, 100–107

  and astrobiological perspective on Anthropocene era, 224–25

  in Earth’s history, 223

  exo-civilizations in study of, 54–58, 164–66

  and habitability of Mars, 89–91

  ice core data on, 106–7

  and influence of human civilization on Earth, 6, 7

  Mars model, 84–86

  science vs. storytelling on, 8–10

  waste products of civilization building as cause of, 188

  climate science, 94–95, 102–4

  Cocconi, Giuseppe, 41–44

  coevolution, 14–15, 130

  Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory, 105

  cold trap, 74, 238n.32

  Cold War, 21, 35, 39, 56, 58, 93, 101, 103, 122

  Collapse (Diamond), 182

  collapse, in exo-civilization modeling, 196, 197

  collision theory, 33, 38

  combustion, 189, 190–91

  communications, with exo-civilizations, 43–50

  compact multi solar systems, 148

  conservation, 55–56

  continent making, 110–11, 113

  convective circulation, 215

  Conversations on the Plurality of Worlds (de Fontenelle), 30–31, 31

  Copernicus, Nicolaus, 29–30

  Coriolis force, 88

  Cornell University, 38

  Coruscant, 212

  craters, on Mars, 80–81

  cratons, 110

  Crick, Francis, 207

  Curiosity rover, 78, 89, 90

  cyanobacteria, 116

  Daisyworld model, 129

  D’Ancona, Umberto, 175–77, 176, 179

  Dansgaard, Willi, 105, 224

  Darwin, Charles, 9, 31, 32, 118, 172

  Darwinian evolution, 172–73

  “dead” worlds, 216, 217

  de Fontenelle, Bernard, 30–31, 31, 34

  delayed collapse, 196, 197–98

  desert greening, 219–20

  Diamond, Jared, 182

  “die-off” trajectory, 195–96, 196, 233n.11

  Drake, Frank, 40, 57, 104, 166, 223

  at Byurakan Observatory meeting, 206

  and Drake equation, 47, 51–52

  and exoplanet discovery, 140, 150

  and Green Bank conference, 43–45, 51–52

  Milky Way as focus of, 236n.50

  and Project Ozma, 37–42

  radio astronomy techniques of, 65

  Drake equation; See also average lifetime of technological civilization (L)

  components of, 45–50

  constraints on exo-civilization modeling from, 171–74

  effects of exoplanet discovery on, 149–51, 153–55

  focus of pessimism line vs., 165

  at Green Bank conference, 50–54

  optimistic estimations for components of, 158–59

  pessimistic estimations for components of, 159–64

  Dunn, Alan, 22

  dust storms, Martian, 81–82, 94

  Dutch, on Easter Island, 180–81, 184

  Dyson, Freeman, 209–11

  Dyson spheres, 210, 211

  Earth

  in Anthropocene era, 121

  atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration, 65

  brightness of Sun vs., 137

  climate change on, in context of exo-civilizations, 54–58

  coevolution of life and, 10–11

  effects of Anthropocene era for human civilization vs., 222–25

  energy from Sun on, 209

  energy transformations on, 218, 220

  environmental impact of combustion on, 190–91

  equilibrium temperature of, 68–69

  formation of, 109

  greenhouse effect on, 69–70

  influence of human civilization on, 4–8

  on Kardashev scale, 211

  mechanics of climate on Mars vs., 86–89

  proximity to Venus, 148

  system-based understanding of, 56

  trade winds on, 87–88

  uses of exo-civilization modeling on, 198–202

  water loss on, 74

  Earthrise photograph, 107–8, 108, 121

  Earth’s history, 6–7, 99–130

  anthropogenic climate change in, 100–107

  atmospheric changes in, 99–100

  and Earthrise image, 107–8

  Earth system science perspective on, 127–30

  eons of, 109–13

  Gaia theory of, 122–27

  Great Oxidation Event in, 113–18

  influence of biosphere on, 118–22

  Earth-sized exoplanets, 144–45

  Earth system science, 127–30, 222

  Easter Island, 180–84, 181

&nbs
p; ecology, 176

  Egyptian Church of the Eternal Source, 127

  Einstein, Albert, 52, 118, 137

  electromagnetic spectrum, 36

  endosymbiosis, 125

  energy consumption

  and CO2 concentration/population in Anthropocene era, 199

  environmental impact of, 190–91

  impact of technology on, 187

  in Kardashev scale, 209–13

  energy sources

  effects of switching, 196, 197–98

  in exo-civilization modeling, 186–90

  planetary numbers of, 188–90

  energy transformations

  constraints on, 213–14

  planetary classification based on, 214–22

  in thermodynamics, 214–15

  environment

  civilizations’ interactions with, 181–84, 193–98

  on Easter Island, 181–84

  impact of energy source use on, 190–91

  environmental collapse, 182–84

  environmental movement, 128

  eons, 109–13

  Epicurus, 28, 158

  Epsilon Eridani, 41

  equilibrium, chemical, 123, 124

  equilibrium temperature, 68, 126

  evolutionary biology, 171–73

  evolution theory, 31, 32, 172–73

  exo-civilization modeling, 169–202

  average lifetime of civilizations from, 169–71, 201–2

  averages in, 186

  constraints on, 171–74

  energy sources in, 186–90

  environmental impact of energy consumption in, 190–91

  histories of exo-civilizations in, 185–86

  and history of Easter Island, 180–84

  for studying civilization and environmental interactions, 193–98

  theoretical archaeology of exo-civilizations, 184–202

  theoretical biology as basis for, 174–80

  uses of, on Earth, 198–202

  exo-civilizations, 21–58

  in astrobiology of Anthropocene, 13–14

  Byurakan meeting on, 206–8

  climate change on Earth in context of, 54–58

  distribution of, 248–49n.21

  Drake’s equation for, 50–54

  Frank Drake’s search for, 37–42

  Fermi’s Paradox on, 21–28

  formation of, 171, 173–74

  Green Bank conference on, 43–50

  historical views on, 28–34

  histories of, 185–86

  probability of existence of, 151–64

  in study of climate change, 164–66

  and technological advances during atomic age, 34–37

  theoretical archaeology of, 184–202

  exoplanet discovery, 133–66

  effects of, on Drake’s equation, 150–51

  and exo-civilizations in study of climate change, 164–66

 

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